Skip to main content

Introduction

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Scenario-based Strategic Planning

Part of the book series: Roland Berger School of Strategy and Economics ((RBSE))

Abstract

In an increasingly uncertain world characterized by complexity and volatility, managers must be more flexible in their strategy processes. Traditional strategic management frameworks fail to provide adequate answers in this context. Our solution is "scenario-based strategic planning", a framework for strategic management in an uncertain world. In this chapter, we introduce this approach and outline the structure of the book.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 59.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 69.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Ansoff HI. 1957. Strategies for Diversification. Harvard Business Review 35(5): 113–124.

    Google Scholar 

  • Bordo M., Eichengreen B., Klingebiel D., Martinez-Peria M. 2001. Is the Crisis Problem Growing More Severe? Economic Policy 16(32): 51–82.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bradfield RM. 2008. Cognitive Barriers in the Scenario Development Process. Advances in Developing Human Resources 10(2): 198–215.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Camillus JC., Datta DK. 1991 Managing strategic issues in a turbulent environment. Long Range Planning 24(2): 67–74.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dye R., Sibony O., Viguerie P. 2009. Strategic planning: Three tips for 2009. The McKinsey Quarterly 9(1): 1–2.

    Google Scholar 

  • Eisenhardt KM., Sull DN. 2001. Strategy as Simple Rules. Harvard Business Review 79(1): 106–116.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grant RM. 2003. Strategic Planning in a Turbulent Environment: Evidence from the Oil Majors. Strategic Management Journal 24(6): 491–517.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mintzberg H. 1991. Learning 1, planning 0: reply to Igor Ansoff. Strategic Management Journal 12(6): 463–466.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mintzberg H. 1994a. The Rise and Fall of Strategic Planning. New York: The Free Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Moyer K. 1996. Scenario Planning at British Airways-A Case Study. Long Range Planning 29(2): 172–181.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ocasio W., Joseph J. 2008. Rise and Fall- or Transformation? The Evolution of Strategic Planning at the General Electric Company 1940-2006. Long Range Planning 41(3): 248–272.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Porter ME. 1979. How Competitive Forces Shape Strategy. Harvard Business Review 57(2): 137–145.

    Google Scholar 

  • Porter ME. 1980. Competitive Advantage: Techniques for analyzing Industries and Competitors. New York: The Free Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Prahalad CK., Hamel G. 1994. Competing for the future. Boston: Harvard Business School Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schoemaker P. 1995. Scenario Planning: A Tool for Strategic Thinking. Sloan Management Review 37(2): 25–40.

    Google Scholar 

  • Schwenker B., Boetzel S. 2007. Making Growth Work – How Companies Can Expand and Become More Efficient. Berlin: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Shell International 2003. Scenarios: An Explorer’s Guide. London: Shell.

    Google Scholar 

  • van der Heijden K. 2005. Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation. Chichester: John Wiley & Sons.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wack P. 1985. Scenarios: Uncharted waters ahead. Harvard Business Review 63(5): 73–89.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wulf T., Meißner P., Stubner S. 2010. Szenario-basierte strategische Planung – ein Ansatz zur Integration der Szenarioplanung in die strategische Planung, in: Gausemeier, J. : Vorausschau und Technologieplanung, Paderborn, 443–458.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wulf T., Stubner S., Meißner P., Brands C. (2012) Szenariobasierte strategische Planung in volatilen Umfeldern. Zeitschrift für Controlling & Management special issue 2/2012: 34–38.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Burkhard Schwenker .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer Fachmedien Wiesbaden

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Schwenker, B., Wulf, T. (2013). Introduction. In: Schwenker, B., Wulf, T. (eds) Scenario-based Strategic Planning. Roland Berger School of Strategy and Economics. Springer Gabler, Wiesbaden. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-658-02875-6_1

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics