Skip to main content

A PROLOG-Based PC-Implementation for New Product Introduction

  • Conference paper
Data, Expert Knowledge and Decisions

Summary

Activities which improve knowledge about and/or support decisions concerning NPI (New Product Introduction) are known to belong to an important area within marketing research as well as within applications of marketing research to reality. Additionally, the NPI-area seems to be well-suited for illustrating basic principles of a prototype implementation of a knowledge-based decision support system.

Thus, attempts have been made to design such a prototype to aid NPI-efforts. In this paper, a first version of an NPI-prototype is described; it allows parameter specifications adapted to the different levels of knowledge of possible users, supplies help functions, supports a GO/ON/NO classification with respect to a first attempt of NPI-decisionmaking, and results in a final GO/NO solution.

The prototype is implemented by means of ARITY-PROLOG on PC under MS-DOS. By a marketing example it will be demonstrated how managers applying the prototype are assisted in finally deciding upon certain NPI-situations.

Research has been supported by the Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 84.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 109.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Abraham MM, Lodish LM (1987) PROMOTER: An Automated Promotion Evaluation System. The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, Working Paper No. 86–033 R, Draft 4

    Google Scholar 

  • Blackburn JD, Clancy KJ (1982) LITMUS: A New Product Planning Model, in: Zotners AA (ed.) Marketing Planning Models. North Holland, Amsterdam, New York, Oxford, pp 43–61

    Google Scholar 

  • Blattberg R, Golanty J (1978) TRACKER: An Early Test Market Forecasting and Diagnostic Model for New Product Planning. Journal of Marketing Research 15: 192–202

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Böckenholt I, Both M, Gaul W (1987) PROLOG-Based Decision Support for Data Analysis in Marketing, this volume.

    Google Scholar 

  • Böckenholt I, Gaul W (1987) New Product Introduction Based on Pre-Test Market Data, in: Proceedings of EMAC/ESOMAR Symposium on Micro and Macro Modelling: Research on Prices, Consumer Behaviour and Forecasting, pp 77–96

    Google Scholar 

  • Buchanan BG, Barstow D, Bechtel R, Bennett J, Clancey W, Kulikowski C, Mitchell T, Waterman DA (1983) Constructing an Expert System, in: Hayes-Roth F, Waterman DA, Lenat DB (eds.) Building Expert Systems. Addison-Wesley, Reading, MA, pp 127–167

    Google Scholar 

  • Dodson JA, Muller E (1978) Models of New Product Diffusion through Advertising and Word-of-Mouth. Management Science 24: 1568–1578

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hayes-Roth F, Waterman DA, Lenat DB (1983): An Overview of Expert Systems, in: op. cit. sub Buchanan et al. ( 1983 ), pp 3–29

    Google Scholar 

  • Lehmann E (1984): Expertensysteme, Ãœberblick über den aktuellen Wissensstand ( 1983 ) Siemens AG, München

    Google Scholar 

  • Mahajan V, Muller E, Sharma S (1984) An Emprical Comparison of Awareness Forecasting Models of New Product Introduction. Marketing Science 3: 179–197

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pringle LG, Wilson RD, Brody EI (1982) NEWS: A Decision-Oriented Model for New Product Analysis and Forecasting. Marketing Science 1: 1–29

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rangaswamy A, Burke R, Wind J, Eliashberg J (1986) Expert Systems for Marketing. The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, Working Paper No. 86–036

    Google Scholar 

  • Stefik M, Aikins J, Balzar R, Benoit J, Birnbaum L, Hayes-Roth F, Sacerdoti E (1983) Basic Concepts for Building Expert Systems, in: op. cit. sub Buchanan et al. ( 1983 ), pp 59–86

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 1988 Springer-Verlag Berlin · Heidelberg

About this paper

Cite this paper

Gaul, W., Schaer, A. (1988). A PROLOG-Based PC-Implementation for New Product Introduction. In: Gaul, W., Schader, M. (eds) Data, Expert Knowledge and Decisions. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-73489-2_5

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-73489-2_5

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-73491-5

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-73489-2

  • eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive

Publish with us

Policies and ethics