Skip to main content

Nonlinear Time Series Analyses in Industrial Environments and Limitations for Highly Sparse Data

  • Chapter
Innovation through Knowledge Transfer 2012

Part of the book series: Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies ((SIST,volume 18))

  • 1605 Accesses

Abstract

This work presents case studies of effective knowledge transfer in projects that focused on using nonlinear time series analyses in varied industrial settings. Applications, characterized by intricate dynamical processes, ranged from e-commerce to predicting services request in support centres. A common property of these time series is that they were originated by nonlinear and potentially high-dimensional systems in weakly stationary environments. Therefore, large amount of data was typically required for providing useful forecasts and thus a successful transfer of knowledge. However, in certain scenarios, classifications or predictions have to be inferred from time windows containing only few relevant patterns. To address this challenge, we suggest here the combined use of statistical learning and time series reconstruction algorithms in industrial domains where datasets are severely limited. These ideas could entail a successful transfer of knowledge in projects were more traditional data mining approaches may fail.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 129.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  • Abe, N., Verma, N., Schroko, R., Apte, C.: Cross channel optimized marketing by reinforcement learning. In: Proceedings of the KDD, pp. 767–772 (2004)

    Google Scholar 

  • Balaguer-Ballester, E., Camps-Valls, G., Carrasco-Rodriguez, J.L., Soria, E., del Valle-Tascon, S.: Effective one-day ahead prediction of hourly surface ozone concentrations in eastern Spain using linear models and neural networks. Ecological Modeling 156, 27–41 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Balaguer-Ballester, E., Lapish, C., Seamans, J., Durstewitz, D.: Attracting dynamics of frontal cortex ensembles during memory-guided decision making. PLoS Computational Biology 7(5), e1002057 (2011), doi:10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002057

    Google Scholar 

  • Balaguer-Ballester, E., Soria, E., Palomares, A., Martín-Guerrero, J.D.: Predicting service request in support centres based on nonlinear dynamics, ARMA modelling and neural Networks. Expert Systems with Applications 34, 665–672 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Carberry, S.: Techniques for Plan Recognition. User Modeling and User Adapted Interaction 11, 31–48 (2001)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Carpenter, G.A., Grossberg, S.: ART2: Self-Organization of Stable Category Recognition Codes for Analog Input Patterns. In: Pattern Recognition by Self-Organizing Neural Networks. MIT Press (1991)

    Google Scholar 

  • Duda, R.O., Hart, P.E., Stork, D.G.: Pattern classification. John Wiley and Sons (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  • Fu, Y., Shandu, K., Shih, M.: Fast clustering of web users based on navigation pattern. In: Proceedings of SCI 1999/ISAS1999, Orlando, USA (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  • Gómez-Pérez, G., Martín-Guerrero, J.D., Soria-Olivas, E., Balaguer-Ballester, E., Palomares, A., Casariego, N.: Assigning discounts in a marketing campaign by using reinforcement learning. Expert Systems with Applications 36, 8022–8831 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hill, W., Stead, L., Rosenstein, M., Furnas, G.: Recommending and Evaluating choices in a virtual community of use. In: CHI 1995: Conference Proceedings on Human Factors in Computing Systems, Denver, USA, pp. 194–201 (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  • Kohonen, T.: Self-Organizing Maps, 2nd edn. Springer, Berlin (1997)

    Book  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Martín-Guerrero, J.D., Balaguer-Ballester, E., Camps-Valls, G., Palomares, A., Serrano-López, A.J., Gómez-Sanchís, J., Soria, E.: Machine Learning Methods for One-Session Ahead Prediction of Accesses to Page Categories. In: De Bra, P.M.E., Nejdl, W. (eds.) AH 2004. LNCS, vol. 3137, pp. 420–424. Springer, Heidelberg (2004)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Martín-Guerrero, J.D., Lisboa, P.J.G., Palomares-Chust, A., Soria, E., Balaguer-Ballester, E.: An approach based on Adaptive Resonance Theory for analyzing the viability of recommender systems in a citizen web portal. Expert Systems with Applications 33, 743–753 (2007)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Martín-Guerrero, J.D., Soria, E., Gómez-Sanchis, J., Soriano-Asensi, A., Palomares, A., Balaguer-Ballester, E.: Studying the feasibility of a recommender in a citizen Web Portal based on user modeling and clustering algorithm. Expert Systems with Applications 30, 299–312 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pfeifer, P.E., Carraway, R.L.: Modeling customer relationships as markov chains. Journal of Interactive Marketing 14, 43–55 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reichheld, F.F.: The loyalty effect: The hidden force behind growth, profits, and lasting value. Harvard Business School Press, Boston (2001)

    Google Scholar 

  • Resnick, P., Iacovou, N., Suchak, M., Bergstrom, P., Riedl, J.: An Open Architecture for Collaborative Filtering of Netnews. In: Proceedings of the Conference on Computer Supported Cooperative Work, pp. 175–186. Chapel Hill (1994)

    Google Scholar 

  • Sauer, T., Yorke, J., Casdagli, M.: Embedology. J. Stat. Phys. 65, 579–616 (1992)

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Schafer, J.B., Konstan, J., Riedl, J.: Recommender Systems in E-Commerce. In: Proceedings of the First ACM Conference on Electronic Commerce EC 1999, Denver, USA, pp. 158–166 (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  • Smith, A.J.: Applications of the self-organising map to reinforcement learning. Neural Networks 15, 1107–1124 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sutton, R.S., Barto, A.G.: Reinforcement learning: An introduction. MIT Press, Cambridge (1998)

    Google Scholar 

  • Takens, F.: Detecting strange attractors in turbulence. Springer lecture notes in mathematics, vol. 898, pp. 366–381 (1981)

    Google Scholar 

  • Vapnik, V.N.: The nature of statistical learning. Springer, New York (1999)

    Google Scholar 

  • Zukerman, I., Albrecht, D.W.: Predictive Statistical Models for User Modeling. User Modeling and User Adapted Interaction 11, 5–18 (2001)

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Balaguer-Ballester, E. (2013). Nonlinear Time Series Analyses in Industrial Environments and Limitations for Highly Sparse Data. In: Howlett, R., Gabrys, B., Musial-Gabrys, K., Roach, J. (eds) Innovation through Knowledge Transfer 2012. Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies, vol 18. Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34219-6_6

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-34219-6_6

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-642-34218-9

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-642-34219-6

  • eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics