Abstract
This chapter demonstrates the potential of stochastic actor-oriented models (SAOMs) and co-evolution designs for policy-diffusion research. SAOMs are statistical models, introduced by Snijders (1995), for studying network data measured over time. In this chapter, I introduce these models in a non-technical way and present an exemplary application to the diffusion of national foreign trade policies (FTPs) via trade flows across countries.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Notes
- 1.
I thank Kai-Uwe Schnapp, Christian W. Martin, James Hollway, and Thomas Sommerer for helpful comments.
- 2.
- 3.
This list describes various examples of policy diffusion that would be more accurately described as “polity diffusion,” such as institutional settings or the national legal organization of political authority. I nonetheless use the term “policy diffusion” when referring to all of these examples (cf. Gilardi 2012; Solingen 2012).
- 4.
The terms actor, vertex, and node as well as tie and edge are synonyms with respect to network analysis. The vocabulary mainly differs between academic disciplines.
- 5.
Jackson (2008) speaks of “diffusion within networks.” I prefer the shorter term “network diffusion” but make no claims as to conceptual differences.
- 6.
For a more comprehensive treatment of these and additional alternative models, see, e.g., Jackson (2008).
- 7.
For non-directed networks, Wasserman and Faust (1995, p. 109) provide the following definition of components: “The nodes in a disconnected graph may be partitioned into two or more subsets in which there are no paths between the nodes in different subsets. The connected subgraphs in a graph are called components.”
References
Anselin, L. (2001). Spatial econometrics. In B. H. Baltagi (Ed.), A companion to theoretical econometrics (pp. 310–330). Oxford: Blackwell.
Barbieri, K. & Keshk, O. (2012). Correlates of war project trade data set codebook, Version 3.0. Retrieved from http://correlatesofwar.org
Barbieri, K., Keshk, O., & Pollins, B. (2009). Trading data: Evaluating our assumptions and coding rules. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 26(5), 471–491.
Bass, F. (1969). A new product growth model for consumer durables. Management Science, 15(5), 215–227.
Bearman, P. S., Moody, J., & Stovel, K. (2004). Chains of affection. The structure of adolescent romantic and sexual networks. American Journal of Sociology, 110(1), 44–91.
Beck, N., Gleditsch, K. S., & Beardsley, K. (2006). Space is more than geography: Using spatial econometrics in the study of political economy. International Studies Quarterly, 50, 27–44.
Brinks, D., & Coppedge, M. (2006). Diffusion is no illusion: Neighbor emulation in the third wave of democracy. Comparative Political Studies, 39(4), 463–489.
Cao, X. (2012). Global networks and domestic policy convergence. World Politics, 64(3), 375–425.
Coleman, J. S., Katz, E., & Menzel, H. (1966). Medical innovation: A diffusion study. Indianapolis: Bobbs-Merrill.
Dreher, A. (2006). Does globalization affect growth? Evidence from a new index of globalization. Applied Economics, 38(10), 1091–1110.
Dreher, A., Gaston, N., & Martens, P. (2008). Measuring globalisation: Gauging its consequences. New York: Springer.
Franzese, R. J., & Hays, J. C. (2008). Interdependence in comparative politics: Substance, theory, empirics, substance. Comparative Politics, 41(4/5), 742–780.
Franzese, R. J., Hays, J. C., & Kachi, A. (2012). Modeling history dependence in network-behavior coevolution. Political Analysis, 20(2), 175–190.
Friedkin, N. E. (1998). A structural theory of social influence. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Friedkin, N. E. (2001). Norm formation in social influence networks. Social Networks, 23, 167–189.
Getis, A. (2010). Spatial interaction and spatial autocorrelation: A cross-product approach. In L. Anselin & S. J. Rey (Eds.), Perspectives on spatial data analysis, Advances in spatial science, the regional science series (pp. 23–33). Berlin: Springer.
Gilardi, F. (2012). Transnational diffusion: Norms, ideas, and policies. In W. Carlsnaes, T. Risse, & B. Simmons (Eds.), Handbook of international relations (pp. 453–477). Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications.
Gleditsch, K. S., & Ward, M. D. (2006). Diffusion and the international context of democratization. International Organization, 60, 911–933.
Greenan, C. (2015). Diffusion of innovations in dynamic networks. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 178(1), 147–166.
Greene, W. H. (2012). Econometric analysis (7th ed.). Boston: Pearson.
Heston, A., Summers, R., & Aten, B. (2012). Penn World Table Version 7.1. Retrieved from http://pwt.econ.upenn.edu/
Hollway, J. R. C. (2015). The evolution of global fisheries governance, 1960–2010 (DPhil thesis, University of Oxford).
Holzinger, K., Jörgens, H., & Knill, C. (2007a). Transfer, Diffusion und Konvergenz. In K. Holzinger, H. Jörgens, & C. Knill (Eds.), Transfer, Diffusion und Konvergenz von Politiken (PVS Sonderheft 38) (pp. 11–35). Wiesbaden: VS.
Holzinger, K., Jörgens, H., & Knill, C. (Eds.). (2007b). Transfer, Diffusion und Konvergenz von Politiken (PVS Sonderheft 38). Wiesbaden: VS.
Jackson, M. O. (2008). Social and economic networks (1.). Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.
Kadushin, C. (2012). Understanding social networks: Theories, concepts, and findings. New York: Oxford University Press.
Karch, A. (2007). Emerging issues and future directions in state policy diffusion research. State Politics and Policy Quarterly, 7(1), 54–80.
Kinne, B. J. (2014). Dependent diplomacy: Signaling, strategy, and prestige in the diplomatic network. International Studies Quarterly, 58(2), 247–259.
Krugman, P. R. (1981). Intraindustry specification and the gains from trade. The Journal of Political Economy, 89(5), 959–973.
Manger, M. S., & Pickup, M. A. (2016). The coevolution of trade agreement networks and democracy. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 60(1), 164–191.
Maoz, Z. (2012). Preferential attachment, homophily, and the structure of international networks, 1816–2003. Conflict Management and Peace Science, 29(3), 341–369.
Marin, A., & Wellman, B. (2011). Social network analysis. In J. Scott & P. J. Carrington (Eds.), The SAGE handbook of social network analysis (pp. 11–25). London: Sage.
Marshall, M. G., Jaggers, K., & Gurr, T. R. (2011). Polity IV project dataset users’ manual. Retrieved from http://www.systemicpeace.org/inscr/p4manualv2010.pdf
Martin, C. W. (2009). Interdependenz und ideologische Position: Die konditionale Diffusion der Zigarettenbesteuerung in den US-amerikanischen Bundesstaaten 1971–2006. Politische Vierteljahresschrift, 50(2), 253–277.
Martin, C. W., & Mohrenberg, S. (2015). Estimating trade policy interdependence when spatial weights are endogenous to trade policy. Presented at the 73rd annual MPSA conference, Chicago.
Martin, C. W., & Schneider, G. (2007). Pfadabhängigkeit, Konvergenz oder regulativer Wettbewerb: Determinanten der Außenwirtschaftsliberalisierung, 1978–2002. In K. Holzinger, H. Jörgens, & C. Knill (Eds.), Transfer, Diffusion und Konvergenz von Politiken (pp. 449–469). PVS Sonderheft 38. Wiesbaden: VS.
McPherson, M., Smith-Lovin, L., & Cook, J. M. (2001). Birds of a feather: Homophily in social networks. Annual Review of Sociology, 27, 415–444.
Mohrenberg, S. (2014). Networks and regimes: Analyses of national political systems in international networks (PhD thesis, University of Hamburg).
Moran, P. A. P. (1950). Notes on continuous stochastic phenomena. Biometrika, 37(1/2), 17–23.
Neumayer, E. (2008). Distance, power and ideology: Diplomatic representation in a world of nation-states. Area, 40(2), 228–236.
Newman, M. E. J. (2010). Networks: An introduction. New York: Oxford University Press.
O’Loughlin, J., Ward, M. D., Lofdahl, C. L., Cohen, J. S., Brown, D. S., Reilly, D., Gleditsch, K. S., & Shin, M. (1998). The diffusion of democracy, 1946–1994. Annals of the Association of American Geographers, 88(4), 545–574.
O’Quigley, J. (2008). Proportional hazards regression. New York: Springer.
Rhue, L., & Sundararajan, A. (2014). Digital access, political networks and the diffusion of democracy. Social Networks, 36, 40–53.
Ripley, R. M., Snijders, T. A. B., Boda, Z., Vörös, A., & Preciado, P. (2015, May 22). Manual for RSiena. Retrieved from http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/~snijders/siena/RSiena_Manual.pdf
Rogers, E. M. (1983). Diffusion of innovations (3.). New York, NY: The Free Press.
Ross, M. H., & Homer, E. (1976). Galton’s problem in cross-national research. World Politics, 29(1), 1–28.
Ryan, R., & Gross, N. (1943). The diffusion of hybrid seed corn in two iowa communities. Rural Sociology, 8(1), 15–24.
Simmons, B. A., & Elkins, Z. (2004). The globalization of liberalization. American Political Science Review, 98(1), 171–189.
Snijders, T. A. B. (1995). Methods for longitudinal social network data: Review and Markov process models. In E. Tiit, T. Kollo, & H. Niemi (Eds.), New trends in probability and statistics. Proceedings of the 5th Tartu conference, Multivariate statistics and matrices in statistics (Vol. 3, pp. 211–227). Vilnius, Lithuania: TEV Vilnius.
Snijders, T. A. B. (2001). The statistical evaluation of social network dynamics. Sociological Methodology, 31(1), 361–395.
Snijders, T. A. B. (2005). Models for longitudinal network data. In P. J. Carrington, J. Scott, & S. Wasserman (Eds.), Models and methods in social network analysis (pp. 215–247). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Snijders, T. A. B., Steglich, C., & Schweinberger, M. (2007). Modeling the co-evolution of networks and behavior. In K. van Montfort, H. Oud, & A. Satorra (Eds.), Longitudinal models in the behavioral and related sciences (pp. 41–71). Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum.
Snijders, T. A. B., van de Bunt, G. G., & Steglich, C. (2010). Introduction to stochastic actor-based models for network dynamics. Social Networks, 32, 44–60.
Solingen, E. (2012). Of dominoes and firewalls: The domestic, regional, and global politics of international diffusion. International Studies Quarterly, 56, 631–644.
Steglich, C., Snijders, T. A. B., & Pearson, M. (2010). Dynamic networks and behavior: Separating selection from influence. Sociological Methodology, 40(1), 329–393.
Stone, D. (1999). Learning lessons and transferring policy across time, space and disciplines. Politics, 19(1), 51–59.
Udehn, L. (2002). The changing face of methodological individualism. Annual Review of Sociology, 28, 479–507.
Valente, T. W. (2005). Network models and methods for studying the diffusion of innovations. In P. J. Carrington, J. Scott, & S. Wasserman (Eds.), Models and methods in social network analysis (pp. 98–116). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Valente, T. W., Watkins, S., Jato, M. N., Van der Straten, A., & Tsitsol, L. M. (1997). Social network associations with contraceptive use among Cameroonian women in voluntary associations. Social Science and Medicine, 45(5), 677–687.
Volden, C., Ting, M. M., & Carpenter, D. P. (2008). A formal model of learning and policy diffusion. American Political Science Review, 102(3), 319–332.
Ward, M. D., & Gleditsch, K. S. (2008). Spatial regression models. Thousand Oaks: Sage Publications.
Warren, T. C. (2010). The geometry of security: Modeling interstate alliances as evolving networks. Journal of Peace Research, 47(6), 697–709.
Wasserman, S., & Faust, K. (1995). Social network analysis: Methods and applications (17 // Repr.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Wellman, B. (1988). Structural analysis: From method and metaphor to theory and substance. In B. Wellman & S. D. Berkowitz (Eds.), Social structures: A network approach (1., pp. 19–61). Structural analysis in the social sciences 2. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Zhou, M. (2011). Intensification of geo-cultural homophily in global trade: Evidence from the gravity model. Social Science Research, 40(1), 193–209.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2017 Springer International Publishing AG
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Mohrenberg, S. (2017). Studying Policy Diffusion with Stochastic Actor-Oriented Models. In: Hollstein, B., Matiaske, W., Schnapp, KU. (eds) Networked Governance. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50386-8_10
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-50386-8_10
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, Cham
Print ISBN: 978-3-319-50384-4
Online ISBN: 978-3-319-50386-8
eBook Packages: Social SciencesSocial Sciences (R0)