Skip to main content

Strategy-Based Dynamic Real-Time Route Prediction

  • Conference paper
Spatial Information Theory (COSIT 2013)

Part of the book series: Lecture Notes in Computer Science ((LNTCS,volume 8116))

Included in the following conference series:

Abstract

People often experience difficulty traversing novel environments. Predicting where wayfinders will go is desirable for navigational aids to prevent mistakes and influence inefficient traversals. Wayfinders are thought to use criteria, such as minimizing distance, that comprise wayfinding strategies for choosing routes through environments. In this contribution, we computationally generated routes for five different wayfinding strategies and used the routes to predict subsequent decision points that wayfinders in an empirical study traversed. It was found that no single strategy was consistently more accurate than all the others across the two environments in our study. We next performed real-time classification to infer the most probable strategy to be in use by a wayfinder, and used the classified strategy to predict subsequent decision points. The results demonstrate the efficacy of using multiple wayfinding strategies to dynamically predict subsequently traversed decision points, which has implications for navigational aids, among other real-world applications.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 39.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 54.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. Bailenson, J.N., Shum, M.S., Uttal, D.H.: The Initial Segment Strategy: a Heuristic for Route Selection. Memory & Cognition 28(2), 306–318 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  2. Bojduj, B., Weber, B., Richter, K.-F., Bertel, S.: Computer Aided Architectural Design: Wayfinding Complexity Analysis. In: 12th International Conference on Computer Supported Cooperative Work in Design, CSCWD, pp. 919–924. IEEE (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  3. Bonacich, P.: Factoring and Weighting Approaches to Status Scores and Clique Identification. Journal of Mathematical Sociology 2(1), 113–120 (1972)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Brunyé, T.T., Mahoney, C.R., Gardony, A.L., Taylor, H.A.: North is Up (Hill): Route Planning Heuristics in Real-World Environments. Memory & Cognition 38(6)

    Google Scholar 

  5. Brunyé, T.T., Gagnon, S., Waller, D., Hodgson, E., Tower-Richardi, S., Taylor, H.A.: Up North and Down South: Implicit Associations Between Topography and Cardinal Direction. The Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology 65(10), 1880–1894 (2012)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Dalton, R.C.: The Secret is to Follow Your Nose. Environment and Behavior 35(1), 107 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Dave, K., Lawrence, S., Pennock, D.M.: Mining the Peanut Gallery: Opinion Extraction and Semantic Classification of Product Reviews. In: Proceedings of the 12th International Conference on World Wide Web, pp. 519–528. ACM (2003)

    Google Scholar 

  8. Dee, H.M., Hogg, D.C.: Navigational Strategies in Behaviour Modelling. Artificial Intelligence 173(2), 329–342 (2009)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Duckham, M., Kulik, L.: “Simplest” Paths: Automated Route Selection for Navigation. In: Kuhn, W., Worboys, M.F., Timpf, S. (eds.) COSIT 2003. LNCS, vol. 2825, pp. 169–185. Springer, Heidelberg (2003)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  10. Frankenstein, J., Büchner, S.J., Tenbrink, T., Hölscher, C.: Influence of Geometry and Objects on Local Route Choices during Wayfinding. In: Hölscher, C., Shipley, T.F., Olivetti Belardinelli, M., Bateman, J.A., Newcombe, N.S. (eds.) Spatial Cognition VII. LNCS, vol. 6222, pp. 41–53. Springer, Heidelberg (2010)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  11. Garcia, A., Finomore, V., Burnett, G., Baldwin, C., Brill, C.: Individual Differences in Multimodal Waypoint Navigation. In: Proceedings of the Human Factors and Ergonomics Society Annual Meeting, vol. 56, pp. 1539–1543. SAGE Publications (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  12. Gardony, A.L., Brunyé, T.T., Mahoney, C.R., Taylor, H.A.: How Navigational Aids Impair Spatial Memory: Evidence for Divided Attention. Spatial Cognition & Computation (to appear, 2013)

    Google Scholar 

  13. Geurts, P., Ernst, D., Wehenkel, L.: Extremely Randomized Trees. Machine Learning 63(1), 3–42 (2006)

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  14. Golledge, R.: Path Selection and Route Preference in Human Navigation: A Progress Report. In: Kuhn, W., Frank, A.U. (eds.) COSIT 1995. LNCS, vol. 988, pp. 207–222. Springer, Heidelberg (1995)

    Google Scholar 

  15. Hagberg, A.A., Schult, D.A., Swart, P.J.: Exploring Network Structure, Dynamics, and Function Using NetworkX. In: Proceedings of the 7th Python in Science Conference (SciPy 2008), pp. 11–15 (August 2008)

    Google Scholar 

  16. Hegarty, M., Montello, D.R., Richardson, A.E., Ishikawa, T., Lovelace, K.: Spatial Abilities at Different Scales: Individual Differences in Aptitude-Test Performance and Spatial-Layout Learning. Intelligence 34(2), 151–176 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  17. Hegarty, M., Richardson, A., Montello, D., Lovelace, K., Subbiah, I.: Development of a Self-Report Measure of Environmental Spatial Ability. Intelligence 30(5), 425–447 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  18. Hochmair, H., Frank, A.U.: Influence of Estimation Errors on Wayfinding-Decisions in Unknown Street Networks–Analyzing the Least-Angle Strategy. Spatial Cognition and Computation 2(4), 283–313 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  19. Hochmair, H., Karlsson, V.: Investigation of Preference Between the Least-Angle Strategy and the Initial Segment Strategy for Route Selection in Unknown Environments. In: Freksa, C., Knauff, M., Krieg-Brückner, B., Nebel, B., Barkowsky, T. (eds.) Spatial Cognition IV. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 3343, pp. 79–97. Springer, Heidelberg (2005)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  20. Hölscher, C., Tenbrink, T., Wiener, J.M.: Would You Follow Your Own Route Description? Cognitive Strategies in Urban Route Planning. Cognition 121(2), 228–247 (2011)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  21. Ishikawa, T., Fujiwara, H., Imai, O., Okabe, A.: Wayfinding with a GPS-Based Mobile Navigation System: a Comparison with Maps and Direct Experience. Journal of Environmental Psychology 28(1), 74–82 (2008)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  22. Ishikawa, T., Montello, D.R.: Spatial Knowledge Acquisition from Direct Experience in the Environment: Individual Differences in the Development of Metric Knowledge and the Integration of Separately Learned Places. Cognitive Psychology 52(2), 93–129 (2006)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  23. Jagadeesh, G.R., Srikanthan, T., Quek, K.H.: Heuristic Techniques for Accelerating Hierarchical Routing on Road Networks. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 3(4), 301–309 (2002)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  24. Kato, Y., Takeuchi, Y.: Individual Differences in Wayfinding Strategies. Journal of Environmental Psychology 23(2), 171–188 (2003)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  25. Krumm, J.: A Markov Model for Driver Turn Prediction. In: Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE) 2008 World Congress. ACM (2008)

    Google Scholar 

  26. Krumm, J.: Where Will They Turn: Predicting Turn Proportions at Intersections. Personal and Ubiquitous Computing 14(7), 591–599 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  27. Krumm, J., Horvitz, E.: Predestination: Inferring Destinations from Partial Trajectories. In: Dourish, P., Friday, A. (eds.) UbiComp 2006. LNCS, vol. 4206, pp. 243–260. Springer, Heidelberg (2006)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  28. Laasonen, K.: Clustering and Prediction of Mobile User Routes from Cellular Data. In: Jorge, A.M., Torgo, L., Brazdil, P.B., Camacho, R., Gama, J. (eds.) PKDD 2005. LNCS (LNAI), vol. 3721, pp. 569–576. Springer, Heidelberg (2005)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  29. Liben, L., Downs, R.: Understanding Person-Space-Map Relations: Cartographic and Developmental Perspectives. Developmental Psychology 29(4), 739–752 (1993)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  30. Liu, B.: Web Data Mining. Springer, Berlin (2007)

    Google Scholar 

  31. Montello, D.: Navigation. The Cambridge Handbook of Visuospatial Thinking 18, 257–294 (2005)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  32. Murakoshi, S., Kawai, M.: Use of Knowledge and Heuristics for Wayfinding in an Artificial Environment. Environment and Behavior 32(6), 756–774 (2000)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  33. Parush, A., Ahuvia, S., Erev, I.: Degradation in Spatial Knowledge Acquisition When Using Automatic Navigation Systems. In: Winter, S., Duckham, M., Kulik, L., Kuipers, B. (eds.) COSIT 2007. LNCS, vol. 4736, pp. 238–254. Springer, Heidelberg (2007)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  34. Pedregosa, F., Varoquaux, G., Gramfort, A., Michel, V., Thirion, B., Grisel, O., Blondel, M., Prettenhofer, P., Weiss, R., Dubourg, V., Vanderplas, J., Passos, A., Cournapeau, D., Brucher, M., Perrot, M., Duchesnay, E.: Scikit-Learn: Machine Learning in Python. Journal of Machine Learning Research 12, 2825–2830 (2011)

    Google Scholar 

  35. Richter, K.-F., Weber, B., Bojduj, B., Bertel, S.: Supporting the Designer’s and the User’s Perspectives in Computer-Aided Architectural Design. Advanced Engineering Informatics 24(2), 180–187 (2010)

    Article  Google Scholar 

  36. Simmons, R., Browning, B., Zhang, Y., Sadekar, V.: Learning to Predict Driver Route and Destination Intent. In: Intelligent Transportation Systems Conference, ITSC 2006, pp. 127–132. IEEE (2006)

    Google Scholar 

  37. Takemiya, M., Ishikawa, T.: Determining Decision-Point Salience for Real-Time Wayfinding Support. Journal of Spatial Information Science (4), 57–83 (2012)

    Google Scholar 

  38. Takemiya, M., Ishikawa, T.: I Can Tell by the Way You Use Your Walk: Real-Time Classification of Wayfinding Performance. In: Egenhofer, M., Giudice, N., Moratz, R., Worboys, M. (eds.) COSIT 2011. LNCS, vol. 6899, pp. 90–109. Springer, Heidelberg (2011)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  39. Takemiya, M., Richter, K.-F., Ishikawa, T.: Linking Cognitive and Computational Saliences in Route Information. In: Stachniss, C., Schill, K., Uttal, D. (eds.) Spatial Cognition 2012. LNCS, vol. 7463, pp. 386–404. Springer, Heidelberg (2012)

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2013 Springer International Publishing Switzerland

About this paper

Cite this paper

Takemiya, M., Ishikawa, T. (2013). Strategy-Based Dynamic Real-Time Route Prediction. In: Tenbrink, T., Stell, J., Galton, A., Wood, Z. (eds) Spatial Information Theory. COSIT 2013. Lecture Notes in Computer Science, vol 8116. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01790-7_9

Download citation

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-01790-7_9

  • Publisher Name: Springer, Cham

  • Print ISBN: 978-3-319-01789-1

  • Online ISBN: 978-3-319-01790-7

  • eBook Packages: Computer ScienceComputer Science (R0)

Publish with us

Policies and ethics