Skip to main content

Developing a Composite Map of Vulnerability to Rainfall Extremes in Sri Lanka

  • Chapter
  • First Online:
Water, Flood Management and Water Security Under a Changing Climate

Abstract

Climate change is emerging as a global phenomenon and associated changes in climatic variability are likely to incur adverse consequences for Sri Lanka. Recent studies have shown changes in rainfall characteristics across the country. This study was undertaken to develop a composite map of extreme rainfall events in Sri Lanka for a thirty year period (1986–2015). Daily rainfall data for this period was obtained in 103 locations representing dry, wet and intermediate zones of the country. Six different indicative parameters of rainfall were developed to understand the changes in rainfall patterns over time. Subsequently, a composite map of extreme positive rainfall events for the thirty year period was developed to reflect the extreme conditions and the vulnerability to rainfall extremes using Inverse Distance Weighted (IDW) interpolation method in GIS. According to spatial variability of rainfall extremes, the wet zone of the country is experiencing increased incidence of wet extremes while the dry zone is experiencing increased incidence of dry extremes. According to the temporal variability of rainfall, most of the rainfall extremes have occurred during the period of 2006–2015. The developed maps under the study can be used for a wide range of applications such as agricultural planning and management, urban planning, analysis of climatic variability and extremes, environmental conservation, etc.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

eBook
USD 16.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as EPUB and PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 119.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 169.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Ajith, S. (2018). Climate change and Sri Lanka. Retrieved from https://unfccc.int/files/adaptation/application/pdf/nwp_integration_silva.pdf on 01 Apr 2018.

  • De Costa, W. A. J. M. (2008). Climate change in Sri Lanka: Myth or reality? Evidence from long-term meteorological data. Journal of the National Science Foundation of Sri Lanka, 36, 63–88.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dore, M. H. (2005). Climate change and changes in global precipitation patterns: What do we know? Environment International, 31(8), 1167–1181.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Easterling, D. R., Evans, J. L., Groisman, P. Y., Karl, T. R., Kunkel, K. E., & Ambenje, P. (2000a). Observed variability and trends in extreme climate events: A brief review. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 81(3), 417–425.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Easterling, D. R., Meehl, G. A., Parmesan, C., Changnon, S. A., Karl, T. R., & Mearns, L. O. (2000b). Climate extremes: Observations, modeling, and impacts. Science, 289(5487), 2068–2074.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • Eriyagama, N., Smakhtin, V., Chandrapala, L., & Fernando, K. (2010). Impacts of climate change on water resources and agriculture in Sri Lanka: A review and preliminary vulnerability mapping (Vol. 135). Colombo: IWMI.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fernando, T. K., & Chandrapala, L. (1992). Global warming and rainfall variability–Sri Lankan Situation. In Proceedings of the 47th annual session of Sri Lanka Association for the Advancement of Science (SLASS), p. 138.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hijioka, Y., Lin, E., Pereira, J. J., Corlett, R. T., Cui, X., Insarov, G. E., Lasco, R. D., Lindgren, E., & Surjan, A. (2014). Asia. In V. R. Barros, C. B. Field, D. J. Dokken, M. D. Mastrandrea, K. J. Mach, T. E. Bilir, M. Chatterjee, K. L. Ebi, Y. O. Estrada, R. C. Genova, B. Girma, E. S. Kissel, A. N. Levy, S. MacCracken, P. R. Mastrandrea, & L. L. White (Eds.), Climate change 2014: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Part B: Regional aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on climate change (pp. 1327–1370). Cambridge/New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/srilanka/publication/sri-lanka. Development-update retrieved on 06 Aug 2019.

  • Hutchinson, M. F. (1995). Interpolating mean rainfall using thin plate smoothing splines. International Journal of Geographical Information Systems, 9(4), 385–403.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • IPCC. (2014). Annex II: Glossary [K. J. Mach, S. Planton, & C. von Stechow (Eds.)]. In Core Writing Team, R. K. Pachauri, & L. A. Meyer (Eds.), Climate change 2014: Synthesis report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on climate change (pp. 117–130). Geneva: IPCC.

    Google Scholar 

  • Jayawardene, H. K. W. I., Sonnadara, D. U. J., & Jayewardene, D. R. (2005). Trends of rainfall in Sri Lanka over the last century. Sri Lankan Journal of Physics, 6, 7–17.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Karl, T. R., Knight, R. W., Easterling, D. R., & Quayle, R. G. (1996). Indices of climate change for the United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 77(2), 279–292.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Manawadu, L., & Fernando, N. (2008). Climate changes in Sri Lanka. University of Colombo Review. Journal of the University of Colombo, Sri Lanka, New Series, 1, 2.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ministry of Environment. (2011). Sri Lanka’s second national communication on climate change.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ministry of Mahaweli Development and Environment. (2016). National adaptation plan for climate change impacts in Sri Lanka 2016 to 2025.

    Google Scholar 

  • Nastos, P. T., & Zerefos, C. S. (2009). Spatial and temporal variability of consecutive dry and wet days in Greece. Atmospheric Research, 94(4), 616–628.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Niranjan, F., Uddika, N. C. P., Bantilan, M. C. S., & Singh, N. P. (2015). Assessing agricultural vulnerability to climate change in Sri Lanka. Sri Lanka Journal of Food and Agriculture, 1(1), 85–92.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parry, M., Parry, M. L., Canziani, O., Palutikof, J., Van der Linden, P., & Hanson, C. (Eds.). (2007). Climate change 2007-impacts, adaptation and vulnerability: Working group II contribution to the fourth assessment report of the IPCC (Vol. 4). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Punyawardana, B. V. R. (2002). Climate change: Challenges and opportunities in Sri Lanka. Dhaka: Natural Resource Management Centre.

    Google Scholar 

  • Seo, S. N. N., Mendelsohn, R., & Munasinghe, M. (2005). Climate change and agriculture in Sri Lanka: A Ricardian valuation. Environment and Development Economics, 10(5), 581.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sivakumar, M. V., & Stefanski, R. (2010). Climate change in South Asia. In Climate change and food security in South Asia (pp. 13–30). Dordrecht: Springer.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • The World Bank Group. (2011). Vulnerability, risk reduction, and adaptation to climate change, Sri Lanka. Climate risk and adaptation country profile April 2011. The World Bank Group, Washington.

    Google Scholar 

  • USAID (United States Agency International Development). (2015). Climate change information factsheet Sri Lanka.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang, S., Huang, J., He, Y., & Guan, Y. (2014). Combined effects of the Pacific decadal oscillation and El Nino-southern oscillation on global land dry–wet changes. Scientific Reports, 4, 6651.

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  • WMO (World Meteorological Organization). (2016). Guidelines on the definition and monitoring of extreme weather and climate events.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Appendix

Appendix

No

Station

District

Longitudes (km)

Latitudes (km)

1

Trincomalee

Trincomalee

252,000

371,734

2

Puttlam

Puttlam

96,596

312,344

3

Katugastota – Kandy

Kandy

183,750

233,000

4

Katunayake

Gampaha

102,086

217,916

5

Hambantota

Hambantota

239,000

105,000

6

Dyraaba Estate-Badulla

Badulla

218,500

187,500

7

Ledgerwatta

Badulla

227,258

202,544

8

Mapakadawewa

Badulla

229,500

231,750

9

Beause (Lower)

Galle

151,496

105,920

10

Vincit Estate – Waharaka

Gampaha

134,000

211,000

11

Norton

Nuwara Eliya

172,358

190,466

12

Vannikulam

Mulattivu

151,496

429,830

13

Holmwood Estate – NuwaraEliya

Nuwara Eliya

193,500

183,500

14

Kenilworth – Nuwara Eliya

Nuwara Eliya

168,500

199,500

15

Alupolla group-Ratnapura

Ratnapura

177,500

167,500

16

Ambewela – Nuwara Eliya

Nuwara Eliya

202,500

185,750

17

Amparai tank

Ampara

296,738

231,123

18

Anamaduwa Dispensary

Puttlam

115,000

297,750

19

Anuradhapura

Anuradhapura

156,986

345,284

20

Baddegama

Galle

134,250

108,600

21

Badulla

Badulla

231,500

199,000

22

Balangoda Post Office

Ratnapura

192,122

160,820

23

Bandaraeliya

Badulla

227,258

176,192

24

Bandarawela – Badulla

Badulla

222,500

180,000

25

Campion Estate

Nuwara Eliya

192,500

175,500

26

Canawarella Grp.

Badulla

238,238

188,270

27

Colombo

Colombo

99,500

190,250

28

Debedda

Badulla

238,238

195,956

29

Dehiwala Zoo

Colombo

100,500

184,500

30

Denagama – Matara

Matara

186,500

98,500

31

Detanagala(Balangoda Grp.)-Ratnapur

Ratnapura

192,000

171,000

32

Digalla – Dehiowita

Kegalle

148,202

193,760

33

Diyatalawa survey camp

Badulla

220,250

178,000

34

Duckwari Estate

Kandy

201,500

239,500

35

Dunedine

Kegalle

146,006

202,544

36

Geekiyanakanda Estate

Kalutara

128,438

155,330

37

Goluwawatta

Matara

167,966

100,430

38

Hakgala Bot. Gard.

Nuwara Eliya

205,500

191,500

39

Halwatura

Kalutara

137,222

168,506

40

Hanwella Group

Colombo

128,438

186,074

41

Hapugastenna Est. – Maskeliya

Nuwara Eliya

179,000

190,500

42

Hellbodde Estate – Pussellawa

Nuwara Eliya

188,000

209,750

43

Henarathgoda Bot. Grdns.-Gampaha

Gampaha

116,500

208,000

44

Hiyare

Galle

150,398

97,136

45

Horana

Kalutara

127,500

168,000

46

Kamalasram – Udubaddawa

Kurunagala

113,066

251,954

47

Kantali tank

Trincomalee

222,866

347,480

48

Sangamam Tank

Ampara

312,902

213,524

49

Keragala Estate – Kuruwita

Ratnapura

153,250

177,000

50

Kirklees Estate

Badulla

217,376

197,054

51

Kottukachchi

Puttlam

111,968

300,266

52

Koulwewa

Kurunagala

135,250

248,500

53

Kurundu Oya – Nuwara Eliya

Nuwara Eliya

206,500

208,000

54

Kurunagala

Kurunagala

153,692

250,856

55

Labuduwa – Galle

Galle

140,000

97,500

56

Labugama tank

Colombo

135,026

180,584

57

Labookelle Est.

Nuwara Eliya

194,250

202,250

58

Lellopitiya – Deltota

Ratnapura

170,500

163,500

59

Liddesdale

Nuwara Eliya

209,000

202,500

60

Lower Spring Valley

Badulla

236,042

190,466

61

Mapalana

Matara

177,000

95,000

62

Murukkan

Mannar

120,752

400,184

63

Nawalapitiya

Kandy

175,000

205,500

64

Navatikiri aru

Ampara

292,772

250,490

65

Negambo

Gampaha

96,596

223,406

66

New Forest – Kandy

Kandy

190,000

216,000

67

Nuwara Eliya

Nuwara Eliya

199,250

197,000

68

Peradeniya agmet.

Kandy

181,000

231,000

69

Ratmalana

Colombo

102,086

179,486

70

Ratnapura

Ratnapura

166,500

167,500

71

Rayigama

Kalutara

135,026

173,996

72

Tabbowa Irrigation

Puttlam

109,772

316,736

73

USK Valley

Kalutara

140,516

152,036

74

Vavuniya

Vavuniya

170,162

391,400

75

Wariyapola Expt. Station

Kurunagala

142,250

270,250

76

Welimada group – Badulla

Badulla

215,500

190,500

77

Pallegama group-Niyadurupola

Kegalle

141,797

218,465

78

Wellawaya

Monaragala

236,250

170,000

79

Udaveriya, West Haputale

Badulla

208,000

177,500

80

Wewalthalawa Est

Kegalle

157,500

205,250

81

Wewessa estate

Badulla

235,500

195,000

82

Canyon

Nuwara Eliya

173,456

186,074

83

Castlereigh

Nuwara Eliya

177,848

184,976

84

Diyabeduma

Polonnaruwa

210,788

301,364

85

Polontalawa

Kurunagala

115,262

278,306

86

Galoola Estate

Badulla

241,532

206,936

87

Galphele

Kandy

192,122

237,680

88

Giritale tank

Polonnaruwa

216,500

316,000

89

Katukitula – Helbodde

Nuwara Eliya

188,000

209,750

90

High Forest Estate

Nuwara Eliya

206,396

206,936

91

Hingurakgoda

Polonnaruwa

220,500

315,500

92

Hope Estate-Daraoya

Nuwara Eliya

197,000

210,250

93

Kalarr

Trincomalee

254,708

341,990

94

Kalatuwawa

Colombo

135,000

185,000

95

Kandekatiya

Badulla

227,258

217,916

96

Kandy Kings Pavillion

Kandy

185,000

233,000

97

Kundasale farm – Kandy

Kandy

191,500

232,250

98

Undugoda

Kegalle

155,888

213,524

99

Mahagalkadawala – Galgamuwa

Kurunagala

146,006

316,736

100

Maussakelle

Nuwara Eliya

175,250

183,800

101

Maha Illuppallama – Anuradhapura

Anuradhapura

167,000

322,250

102

Okkampitiya – Moneragala

Monaragala

259,000

171,750

103

Pottuvil

Ampara

316,196

186,074

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2020 Springer Nature Switzerland AG

About this chapter

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this chapter

Hemachandra, E.M.G.P., Dayawansa, N.D.K., De Silva, R.P. (2020). Developing a Composite Map of Vulnerability to Rainfall Extremes in Sri Lanka. In: Haque, A., Chowdhury, A. (eds) Water, Flood Management and Water Security Under a Changing Climate. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-47786-8_4

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics