Abstract
Population growth around the world between now and 2100 will be led by developing countries. Over 75% of the growth will occur in developing countries. And the fastest growing regions will mainly be those in sub-Saharan Africa. This growth differential will be important to keep in mind in my discussions below of trends and projected trends in non-communicable diseases. The growth in population results in a shift toward a younger population and the behaviors of youth can have lasting impact of the overall health of the population. Many countries are facing an epidemiologic transition where non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are critically imporant to overall population health. The major NCDs are diabetes, cardiac diseases, most cancers and chronic pulmonary disease.. These diseases are fueled by unhealthy behaviors – many begun during adolescence. Programs that attack tobacco, excessive alcohol, poor diet and low levels of physical activity can address the future burden of NCDs and involve youth in supporting a healthy framework for adulthood.
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Baldwin, W. (2020). What’s Changing the World? A Demographer’s Perspective. In: Singelmann, J., Poston, Jr, D. (eds) Developments in Demography in the 21st Century. The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis, vol 48. Springer, Cham. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-26492-5_2
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