Abstract
Experimentation in criminal justice has become both philosophy and policy in recent years. Campbell (1969) first proposed an explicit link between social reforms and experimental methods and challenged the United States to become an “experimenting society.” The inferential persuasiveness of experimental results has contributed to the design of early childhood education programs, income maintenance policies, work and job training programs, regulatory law, and environmental conservation strategies. In general, these efforts illustrated conditions where experimental methods could be moved from the laboratory traditions of the natural and behavioral sciences to the uncertain conditions of social policy. Despite an uneven history of experimental research in social policy reform and program development, a recent manifesto on social policy experimentation called for a “marriage between experimental methods and assessments of public policy” (Berk, Boruch, Chambers, Rossi, & Witte, 1985, p. 389) and an explicit link between social policy change and experimentation.
The author is grateful to Ronald Clarke and Don Gottfredson for their comments on the chapter.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
Preview
Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.
References
Anderson, B.F. (1975). The experiment. In G.H. Lewis (ed.), Fistfights in the kitchen. Pacific Palisades, CA: Goodyear, pp. 169–176.
Anglin, M.D., McGlothlin, W.H. (1982). Methadone maintenance in California: A decade’s experience. In L. Brill C. Winick (Eds.), The yearbook of substance use and abuse. New York: Human Sciences, pp. 219–280.
Barefoot v. Estelle,77 L. Ed. 2d 1090 (1983).
Baxstrom v. Herold,383 U.S. S.Ct. 107 (1966).
Ben-Yehuda, N. (1982). Private practice, competition, and methadone maintenance. The International Journal of the Addictions, 17, 329–341.
Berk, R.A., Boruch, R.F., Chambers, D.L., Rossi, P.H., Witte, A.D. (1985). Social policy experimentation. Evaluation Review, 9(4), 387–430.
Boruch, R.F. (1975). Coupling randomized experiments and approximations to experiments in social program evaluation. Sociological Methods and Research, 4: 31–53.
Bottoms, A.E., Brownsword, R. (1983). Dangerousness and rights. In J.W. Hinton (Ed.), Dangerousness: Problems of assessment and prediction. London: George Allen and Unwin, pp. 9–22.
Brown, B.S., Jansen, D.R., Benn, G.J. (1975). Changes in attitudes toward methadone. Archives of General Psychiatry, 32, 214–218.
Campbell, D.T. (1969). Reforms as experiments. American Psychologist, 24, 409–429.
Campbell, D.T., Stanley, J.C. (1966). Experimental and quasi-experimental designs for research. Chicago: Rand McNally.
Clarke, R.V.G., Cornish, D.B. (1972). The controlled trial in institutional research: Paradigm or pitfall for evaluators? (Home Office Research Studies Report No. 15 ). London: Home Office Research Unit.
Clarke, R.V., Mayhew, P. (1988). The British gas suicide story and its criminolog-ical implications. In N. Morris M. Tonry (Eds.), Crime and justice: An annual re-view of research, Volume 10. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, pp. 79–116.
Cook, T.D., Campbell, D.T. (1979). Quasi-experimentation: Design and analysis issues for field settings. Boston: Houghton-Mifflin
District of Columbia, Court Reform Act of 1970 (D.C. Code Ann. 23: 1321–1332 ).
Dole, P., Nyswander, M.E. (1976). Methadone maintenance treatment: A ten year perspective. Journal of the American Medical Association, 235, 2117–2119.
Empey, L.T., Erickson, M.L. (1972). The Provo Experiment. Lexington, MA: Lexington Books.
Ennis, B.J., Litwack, T.R. (1974). Psychiatry and the presumption of expertise: Flipping coins in the courtroom. California Law Review, 62, 693–752.
Fagan, J., Guggenheim, M. (1987, November). The predictive validity of judicial determinations of dangerousness: Preventive detention of juvenile offenders in the Schall v. Martin case. Paper presented at the Annual Meeting of the American Society of Criminology, Montreal.
Fagan, J., Guggenheim, M. (1988, November). The prediction of pretrial danger among juvenile offenders: The case for preventive detention. Paper presented at the Fortunoff Colloquium Series, New York University School of Law, New York.
Fagan, J.A., Hartstone, E.C. (1986). Innovation and experimentation in juvenile corrections: The implementation of treatment interventions for violent juvenile offenders. Final Report, The Violent Juvenile Offender Research and Development Program, Volume I (Grant 85-MU-CX-0001, Office of Juvenile Justice and Delinquency Prevention). Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice.
Farrington, D.P., Ohlin, L.E., Wilson, J.Q. (1986). Understanding and controlling crime. New York: Springer-Verlag.
Fienberg, S.B., Singer, B., Tanur, J.M. (1985). Large-scale social experimentation in the United States. In A.C. Atkinson S.B. Fienberg (Eds.), A celebration of statistics. New York: Springer-Verlag, pp. 287–326.
Federal Bail Reform Act. P.L. 89–465, So Stat. 214, 1966.
Garner, J.A., Visher, C.A. (1988). Policy experiments come of age. NIJ Reports, No. 21. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, National Institute of Justice.
Goldkamp, J. (1985). Danger and detention: A second generation of bail reform.Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology, 76, 1–74.
Hunt, R.C., Wiley, E.D. (1968). Operation Baxstrom after one year. American Journal of Psychiatry, 124, 974.
Kelling, G.L., Pate, T., Dieckman, D., Brown, C.E. (1976). The Kansas City preventive patrol experiment: A summary report. In G.V. Glass (Ed.), Evaluation studies review annual, volume I. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage, pp. 605–657.
Klockars, C.B. (1979). Dirty hands and deviant subjects. In C.B. Klockars F. O’Connor (Eds.), Deviance and decency: The Ethics of research with human subjects. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage, pp. 261–282.
Kozol, H.L., Boucher, R.J., Garofalo, R.J. (1972). The diagnosis and treatment of dangerousness. Crime and Delinquency, 19, 371–392.
Lempert, R.O., Visher, C.A. (1988). Randomized field experiments in criminal justice agencies. Research in Action. Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Justice, National Institute of Justice.
Lerman, P. (1975). Community treatment and social control. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
Lipton, D. Martinson, R., Wilks, J. (1975). The effectiveness of correctional treatment: A survey of treatment effectiveness studies. New York: Praeger.
Litwack, T.R., Schlesinger, L.B. (1987) Assessing and predicting violence: Research, law and applications. In I.B. Weiner A.B. Hess (Eds.), Handbook of forensic psychology. New York: Wiley, pp. 205–257.
Logan, C.H. (1972). Evaluation research in crime and delinquency: A reappraisal.Journal of Criminal Law, Criminology and Police Science, 63, 378–387.
Maltz, M.D., Gordon, A.C., McDowall, D., McCleary, R. (1980). An artifact in pretest-posttest designs: How it can mistakenly make delinquency programs look effective. Evaluation Review, 4, 225–240.
Mayhew, P., Clarke, R.V., Elliott, D. (1989). Motorcycle theft, helmet legislation, and displacement. The Howard Journal, 28(1), 1–8.
McGlothin, W.H., Anglin, M.D. (1981). Shutting off methadone: Costs and benefits. Archives of General Psychiatry, 38, 885–892.
Megargee, E.I. (1981). Methodological problems in the prediction of violence. In J.R. Hays, T.R. Roberts, K.S. Solway (Eds.), Violence and the violent individual. New York: Spectrum, pp. 179–191.
Monahan, J. (1981). Predicting violent behavior: An assessment of clinical techniques. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.
Murphy, S., Rosenbaum, M. (1988). Money for methadone II: Preliminary findings from a study of Alameda County’s new maintenance policy. Journal of Psychoactive Drug, 20, 397–402.
Newman, R.G. (1977). Methadone treatment in narcotic addiction. New York: Academic.
Rezmovic, E.L. (1979). Methodological considerations in evaluating correctional effectiveness: Issues and chronic problems. In L. Sechrest, S.O. White, E.D. Brown (Eds.), The rehabilitation of criminal offenders: Problems and prospects. Washington, DC: National Academy Press, National Academy of Sciences, pp. 163–209.
Robison, J., Smith, G. (1971). The effectiveness of correctional programs. Crime and Delinquency, 17, 67–80.
Roethlisberger, F.J., Dickson, W.F. (1939). Management and the worker. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Rosenbaum, M. (1984). Methadone treatment: A study of a county policy change (Grant 1-R01-DA 03804–01, National Institute of Drug Abuse). Rockville, MD: U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, Alcohol, Drug Abuse and Mental Health Administration.
Rosenbaum, M., Irwin, J., Murphy, S. (1988). De facto destabilization as policy: The impact of short-term methadone maintenance. Contemporary Drug Problems, 15, 491–518.
Rossi, P.H., Freeman, H.E. (1985). Evaluation: A systematic approach (3rd ed.). Beverly Hills, CA: Sage.Schall v. Martin. 104 U.S. S. Ct. 2403 (1984).
Sechrest, L., White, S.O., Brown, E.D. (1979). Report of the Panel. In L. Sechrest, S.O. White, E.D. Brown (Eds.), the rehabilitation of criminal offenders: Problems and Prospects. Washington, DC: National Academy Press, National Academy of Sciences, pp. 3–118.
Shannon, L. (1985). Risk assessment vs. real prediction: The prediction and public trust. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 1, 159–184.
Sherman, L.W., Berk, R.A. (1984). The specific deterrent effects of arrests for domestic assault. American Sociological Review, 49, 261–280.
Sinclair, I., Clarke, R.V. (1981). Cross institutional designs. In E.M. Goldberg N. Connelly (Eds.), Evaluative research in social care, pp. 101–113. London: Heinemann.
Stapleton, W.V., Teitlebaum, L.E. (1972). In defense of youth. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.
Steadman, H.J., Cocozza, J. (1974). Careers of the criminally insane. Lexington, MA: D.C. Heath.
Steadman, H.J., Cocozza. J. (1980). The prediction of dangerousnessBaxstrom: A case study. In G. Cooke (Ed.), The Role of the forensic psychologist. Springfield, IL: Thomas, pp. 204–215.
Steadman, H.J., Keveles, G. The community adjustment and criminal activity of the Baxstrom patients: 1966–70. American Journal of Psychiatry, 129, 304–310.
Thornberry, T.P., Jacoby, J.E. (1979). The criminally insane: A community fol-low up of mentally ill offenders. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.
von Hirsch, A. (1972). Prediction of criminal conduct and preventive confinement of convicted persons. University of Buffalo Law Review, 21, 717–725.
Wenk, E.A., Robison, J.O., Smith, G.W. (1972). Can violence be predicted? Crime and Delinquency, 18, 393–402.
Zeisel, H. (1973). Reflections on experimental techniques in the law. Journal of Legal Studies, 2 (1), 107–124.
Editor information
Editors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 1990 Springer-Verlag New York Inc.
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Fagan, J.A. (1990). Natural Experiments in Criminal Justice. In: Kempf, K.L. (eds) Measurement Issues in Criminology. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9009-1_5
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-9009-1_5
Publisher Name: Springer, New York, NY
Print ISBN: 978-0-387-97260-2
Online ISBN: 978-1-4613-9009-1
eBook Packages: Springer Book Archive