Abstract
Our purpose is both substantive and methodological. Substantively, we crystallize the results of prior research and expectations into an extended rationale for the application of the age-period-cohort accounting framework to the problem of understanding historical variability in the rate of tuberculosis mortality. This framework is then used to analyze a ninety year data series of tuberculosis mortality rates for the State of Massachusetts and a similar forty year series for the United States. The age-period-cohort accounting framework yields age effects with an expected pattern not well understood, period effects consistent with the advent of successful chemotherapeutic regimes after World War II, and steadily declining cohort effects whose interpretation has yet to be verified. In an attempt to pin down a possible interpretation, we show that cohort nativity composition affects the trend of cohort mortality in the Massachusetts series, and both level and trend in the United States series.
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Mason, W.M., Smith, H.L. (1985). Age-Period-Cohort Analysis and the Study of Deaths from Pulmonary Tuberculosis. In: Mason, W.M., Fienberg, S.E. (eds) Cohort Analysis in Social Research. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4613-8536-3_6
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