Abstract
Non-linear dynamical analysis for the global nuclear energy market is investigated. Currently, the market means a different characteristics comparing to the past situation which had been done before two severe accidents as the Three Mile Island nuclear power plant (NPP) accident in the United States and the Chernobyl NPP disaster in the Soviet Union. For the nuclear related facility, the environmental and safety aspects are the important issues of the analysis. Fundamentally, the economic factor is still a critical matter for the commercial trade between two countries, which depends on the energy demand and uranium price. The dynamics simulations show the trend of trade is affected by the several kinds of the aspects. Using system dynamics (SD) method, the event quantification is performed for the event flows, stocks, and feedback where the single and double arrow lines are incorporated.
Access this chapter
Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout
Purchases are for personal use only
References
CNN. Financial Times (2009) S. Koreans win $20B UAE nuclear power contract
MBN news (2010) Estimation of export in South Korea
EIA (2006) International energy annual 2006
IAEA (2010) The power reactor information system (PRIS)
Forrester J (1961) Industrial dynamics. Productivity press, Cambridge
Forrester JW (1969) Urban dynamics. Pegasus Communications, Waltham
Kanungo S, Jain V (2008) Modeling email use: a case of email system transition. Syst Dyn Rev 24(3):299–319
Eskinasi M, Rouwette E, Vennix J (2009) Simulating urban transformation in Haaglanden, the Netherlands. Syst Dyn Rev 25(3):182–206
Walther G, Wansart J, Kieckhfer K, Schnieder E, Spengler TS (2010) Impact assessment in the automotive industry: mandatory market introduction of alternative powertrain technologies. Syst Dyn Rev 26(3):239–261
Eberlein RL (1989) Simplification and understanding of models. Syst Dyn Rev 5(1):51–68
Kampmann CE (1996) Feedback loop gains and system behavior. Proceedings of the 1996 international system dynamics conference Boston, Albany, New York
Mojtahedzadeh MT (1997) A path taken: computer-assisted heuristics for understanding dynamic systems. PhD dissertation, Rockefeller College of Public Affairs and Policy, State University of New York, Albany
Liehr M, Grobler A, Klein M, Milling PM (2001) Cycles in the sky: understanding and managing business cycles in the airline market. Syst Dyn Rev 17(4):311–332
Schmidt MJ, Gary MS (2002) Combining systems and conjoint analysis for strategic decision making with an automotive high-tech SME. Syst Dyn Rev 18(3):359–379
Radzicki M, Taylor R (1997) U.S. Department of energy’s introduction to system dynamics, a systems approach to understanding complex policy issues, version 1. Sustainable Solutions, Inc., Como
Acknowledgments
Author thanks to the Dr. S. M. Kwak in Systemix, Co. for the research discussions.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
Copyright information
© 2012 Springer-Verlag London
About this chapter
Cite this chapter
Woo, T. (2012). Dynamical Modeling of Economy in Global Nuclear Energy Market. In: Atomic Information Technology. Springer Series in Reliability Engineering. Springer, London. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-4030-6_2
Download citation
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-4030-6_2
Published:
Publisher Name: Springer, London
Print ISBN: 978-1-4471-4029-0
Online ISBN: 978-1-4471-4030-6
eBook Packages: EngineeringEngineering (R0)