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The Efficient Semiparametric Regression Modeling of Capture-Recapture Data: Assessing the Impact of Climate on Survival of Two Antarctic Seabird Species

  • Chapter
Modeling Demographic Processes In Marked Populations

Part of the book series: Environmental and Ecological Statistics ((ENES,volume 3))

Abstract

A nonparametric approach has recently been proposed for estimating survival in capture-recapture models, which uses penalized splines to achieve flexibility in exploring the relationships with environmental covariates. However, this method is highly time-consuming because it is implemented through a fully Bayesian approach using Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations. To cope with this issue, we developed a two-step approach in which the existing method is used in conjunction with a multivariate normal approximation to the capture-recapture data likelihood. The ability of our approach to capture various nonlinearities in demographic parameters was validated by carrying out a simulation study. Two examples dealing with Snow petrel and Emperor penguin capture-recapture data sets were also considered to illustrate our procedure, including the relationship between survival rate, population size and climatic covariates.

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Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive/CNRS, UMR 5175, 1919 Route de Mende, 34293 Montpellier Cedex 5, France

    Olivier Gimenez

Authors
  1. Olivier Gimenez
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  2. Christophe Barbraud
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Olivier Gimenez .

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

  1. Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Konrad-Zuse Strasse 1, D18057 Rostock, Germany

    David L Thomson

  2. Netherlands Institute of Ecology Centre for Terrestrial Ecology, Boterhoeksestraat 48, Postbus 40, 6666 ZG Heteren, Netherlands

    David L Thomson

  3. School of Biological Sciences, University of Hong Kong, Pokfulam, Hong Kong

    David L Thomson

  4. Department of Natural Resources, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA

    Evan G. Cooch

  5. D.B. Warnell School of Forestry and Natural Resources University of Georgia, Athens, GA, USA

    Michael J. Conroy

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Gimenez, O., Barbraud, C. (2009). The Efficient Semiparametric Regression Modeling of Capture-Recapture Data: Assessing the Impact of Climate on Survival of Two Antarctic Seabird Species. In: Thomson, D.L., Cooch, E.G., Conroy, M.J. (eds) Modeling Demographic Processes In Marked Populations. Environmental and Ecological Statistics, vol 3. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-78151-8_3

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