Abstract
Previous chapters have concentrated on modeling and predicting the conditional mean, or the first order moment, of a univariate time series, and are rarely concerned with the conditional variance, or the second order moment, of a time series. However, it is well known that in financial markets large changes tend to be followed by large changes, and small changes tend to be followed by small changes. In other words, the financial markets are sometimes more volatile, and sometimes less active.
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(2006). Univariate GARCH Modeling. In: Modeling Financial Time Series with S-PLUSĀ®. Springer, New York, NY. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-32348-0_7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-387-32348-0_7
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