13.6 Summary
FSD, SSD and M-V investment criteria may reveal no dominance between two options when experimentally or empirically there is an ultimate preference for one of these options — hence paradoxes are created. The paradoxes are induced by the fact that the investment criteria correspond to all preferences (in a given class) including preferences which do not conform with any investor’s behavior. We suggest in this chapter decision rules called Almost SD (ASD), which correspond to all preferences, excluding those preferences which mathematically are accepted but do not conform with any investor’s behavior. These specific preference: which are excluded can be considered as pathological, unreasonable or simply irrelevant preferences. Thus, Almost FSD replaces FSD, Almost SSD replace SSD, and Almost M-V replaces M-V rule. The investment criteria AFSD and ASSD allow the establishment of preference despite the fact that there is no FSD or SSD, hence the paradoxes are avoided.
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References
For more details on the proofs and analyses of ASD see Leshno, M. and H. Levy, “Preferred by “All” and Preferred by “Most” Decision Makers: Almost Stochastic Dominance,” Management Science, 2002, 48, pp. 1074–1085.
The increase in U1 is not guaranteed, as for large n, the maximum wealth also increases, Inf U′(x) may decrease, hence inequality (13.7) may be valid for n1 but not for n2 where n2 > n1. However, some experimental evidence showing that this is not the case can be found in Levy, Leshno and Leibovitch, see B. Leibovitch, “Bounded Preferences, Paradoxes and Decision Rules,’ Hebrew University (2005) working paper footnote 4.
The experimental results are taken from Levy, H., M. Leshno and B. Leibovitch, “Bounded Preferences, Paradoxes and Decision Rules,’ Hebrew University (2005) working paper.
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(2006). Almost Stochastic Dominance (ASD). In: Stochastic Dominance. Studies in Risk and Uncertainty, vol 12. Springer, Boston, MA . https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-29311-6_13
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-29311-6_13
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