Skip to main content

Sources, Nature, and Impact of Uncertainties on Catastrophe Modeling

  • Chapter
Catastrophe Modeling: A New Approach to Managing Risk

Part of the book series: Catastrophe Modeling ((HSRI,volume 25))

  • 2072 Accesses

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this chapter

Chapter
USD 29.95
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
eBook
USD 189.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Available as PDF
  • Read on any device
  • Instant download
  • Own it forever
Softcover Book
USD 249.00
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Compact, lightweight edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info
Hardcover Book
USD 249.99
Price excludes VAT (USA)
  • Durable hardcover edition
  • Dispatched in 3 to 5 business days
  • Free shipping worldwide - see info

Tax calculation will be finalised at checkout

Purchases are for personal use only

Institutional subscriptions

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

4.7 References

  • ATC-13 (1985). Earthquake Damage Evaluation Data for California, Applied Technology Council, Redwood City, CA.

    Google Scholar 

  • Browner, C. (1995). “Guidance for Risk Characterization,” Environmental Protection Agency, February.

    Google Scholar 

  • Budnitz, R.J., Apostolakis, G., Boore, D.M., Cluff, L.S., Coppersmith, K.J., Cornell, C.A., and Morris, P.A. (1997). Recommendations for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis: Guidance on Uncertainty and Use of Experts, Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Committee, NUREG/CR-6372, U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Washington, DC.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Dalkey, N.C. (1969). The Delphi Method. Rand Corporation: Santa Monica, California.

    Google Scholar 

  • EERI (2003). World Housing Encyclopedia, <http://www.world-housing.net/>.

    Google Scholar 

  • Federal Emergency Management Agency (1997). FEMA 303 — NEHRP Recommended Provisions for Seismic Regulations for New Buildings and Other Structures, 1997 Edition, Developed by The Building Seismic Safety Council (BSSC) for the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).

    Google Scholar 

  • Florida Commission on Hurricane Loss Projection Methodology (2001).

    Google Scholar 

  • Frankel, A., Mueller, C., Barnhard, T., Perkins, D., Leyendecker, E.V., Dickman, N., Hanson, S., and Hopper, M. (1996). National Seismic Hazards Maps: Documentation, June 1996, USGS Open-File Report 96-532: United States Geological Survey.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossi, P., Kleindorfer, P., and Kunreuther, H. (1999). “The Impact of Uncertainty in Managing Seismic Risk: The Case of Earthquake Frequency and Structural Vulnerability,” Risk Management and Decision Processes Working Paper 99-03-26, Department of Operations and Information Management, The Wharton School.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossi, P. (2000). Quantifying the Uncertainty in Seismic Risk and Loss Estimation. Doctoral Dissertation, University of Pennsylvania.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grossi, P. and Windeler, D. (2000). “Sensitivity analysis of earthquake risk in the Charleston, South Carolina region,” EERI’s Sixth International Conference on Seismic Zonation, November 12–15, 2000.

    Google Scholar 

  • Hanks, T.C. and C. A. Cornell (1994). “Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis: A Beginner’s Guide.” Proceedings of the Fifth Symposium on Current Issues Related to Nuclear Power Plant Structures, Equipment and Piping, I/1-1 to I/-17, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, N.C.

    Google Scholar 

  • Inman, R.L. and Conover, W.J (1980). “Small Sample Sensitivity Analysis Techniques for Computer Models, with an Application to Risk Assessment,” Communications in Statistics, Part A. Theory and Methods, 17: 1749–1842.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • NIBS (1997). HAZUS: Hazards U.S.: Earthquake Loss Estimation Methodology. NIBS Document Number 5200: National Institute of Building Sciences.

    Google Scholar 

  • Peterson, M.D., Bryant, W.A., Cramer, C.H., Cao, T., Reichle, M.S., Frankel, A.D., Lienkaemper, J.L., McCrory, P.A., and D.P. Schwartz (1996). Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment for the State of California, USGS Open-File Report 96–706: United States Geological Survey, Menlo Park, California.

    Google Scholar 

  • Powell, M.D. and Aberson, S.D. (2001). “Accuracy of United States Tropical Cyclone Landfall Forecasts in the Atlantic Basin (1976-2000).” Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 82(12): 2749–2767.

    Article  ADS  Google Scholar 

  • Richter, C.F. (1958). Elementary Seismology. W.H. Freeman and Company: San Francisco, California.

    Google Scholar 

  • Toro, G.R., Abrahamson, N., and Schneider, J. (1997). “Model of strong ground motions from earthquakes in the Central and Eastern North America: best estimates and uncertainties,” Seismological Research Letters 68: 41–57.

    Google Scholar 

  • Youngs, R.R., and K.J. Coppersmith (1985). “Implications of Fault Slip Rates and Earthquake Recurrence Models to Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Estimates.” Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 75(4): 939–964.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Authors

Editor information

Editors and Affiliations

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

Copyright information

© 2005 Springer Science + Business Media, Inc.

About this chapter

Cite this chapter

Grossi, P., Windeler, D. (2005). Sources, Nature, and Impact of Uncertainties on Catastrophe Modeling. In: Grossi, P., Kunreuther, H. (eds) Catastrophe Modeling: A New Approach to Managing Risk. Catastrophe Modeling, vol 25. Springer, Boston, MA. https://doi.org/10.1007/0-387-23129-3_4

Download citation

Publish with us

Policies and ethics