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Growth, Trade, and Deindustrialization

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Abstract

This paper shows that deindustrialization is explained primarily by developments that are internal to the advanced economies. These include the combined effects on manufacturing employment of a relatively faster growth of productivity in manufacturing, the associated relative price changes, and shifts in the structure of demand between manufactures and services. North-south trade explains less than one-fifth of deindustrialization in the advanced economies. Moreover, the contribution of north-south trade to deindustrialization has been mainly through its effects in stimulating labor productivity in northern manufacturing; it has had little enduring effect on the total volume of manufacturing output in the advanced economies.

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Rowthorn, R., Ramaswamy, R. Growth, Trade, and Deindustrialization. IMF Econ Rev 46, 18–41 (1999). https://doi.org/10.2307/3867633

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/3867633

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