Abstract
Under study is an individual-based stochastic model of the spread of tuberculosis. We present a probability theory formalization of the model which rests on a characterization of individuals in distinct groups (uninfected, infected, and sick people). Some results of computational experiments concern the selecting parameters of the model based on approximation of actual data. We study how the distributions of the sizes of the groups change in dependence on the variation of the parameters of the model.
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Original Russian Text © N.V. Pertsev, B.Yu. Pichugin, 2009, published in Sibirskii Zhurnal Industrial’noi Matematiki, 2009, Vol. XII, No. 2, pp. 85–98.
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Pertsev, N.V., Pichugin, B.Y. An individual-based stochastic model of the spread of tuberculosis. J. Appl. Ind. Math. 4, 359–370 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1134/S1990478910030087
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S1990478910030087