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Scenario prediction of changes in water balance components of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers in the context of possible climate change in the region of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia)

  • Interaction between Continental Waters and the Environment
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Abstract

Forecasts of the dynamics of meteorological characteristics in the basins of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers (the Republic of Sakha) in the XXI century have been obtained for four IPCC global climate scenarios of SRES family, corresponding to specified scenarios of economic, technological, political, and demographic development of human civilization. The forecasts have been used to calculate scenarios of possible changes in water balance components for the basins under consideration up to the year of 2063. The calculation procedure involves a physically-based model of heat and mass exchange between the land surface and the atmosphere SWAP and climate scenario generator MAGICC/SCENGEN.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Water Problems Institute, Russian Academy of Sciences, ul. Gubkina 3, Moscow, 119333, Russia

    E. M. Gusev, O. N. Nasonova, L. Ya. Dzhogan & G. V. Ayzel

Authors
  1. E. M. Gusev
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  2. O. N. Nasonova
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  3. L. Ya. Dzhogan
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  4. G. V. Ayzel
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Correspondence to E. M. Gusev.

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Original Russian Text © E.M. Gusev, O.N. Nasonova, L.Ya. Dzhogan, G.V. Ayzel, 2014, published in Vodnye Resursy, 2014, Vol. 41, No. 6, pp. 621–636.

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Gusev, E.M., Nasonova, O.N., Dzhogan, L.Y. et al. Scenario prediction of changes in water balance components of the Olenek and Indigirka rivers in the context of possible climate change in the region of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia). Water Resour 41, 748–762 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807814030099

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1134/S0097807814030099

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