Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

ENERGY TECHNOLOGY

Improving the crystal ball

  • News & Views
  • Published:

From Nature Energy

View current issue Submit your manuscript

Understanding future costs of energy technologies is crucial for making good decisions about the energy transition. A new paper shows that some types of forecasts have done better than others.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

References

  1. IRENA. Renewable power generation costs in 2020. https://www.irena.org/publications/2021/Jun/Renewable-Power-Costs-in-2020 (2021).

  2. Global Energy Review 2020 (IEA, 2020); https://iea.blob.core.windows.net/assets/7e802f6a-0b30-4714-abb1-46f21a7a9530/Global_Energy_Review_2020.pdf

  3. Meng, J., Way, R., Verdolini, E. & Anadon, L. D. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 118, e1917165118 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  4. Craig, P. P., Gadgil, A. & Koomey, J. G. Annu. Rev. Energy Environ 27, 83–118 (2002).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  5. Scher, I. & Koomey, J. G. Clim. Change 104, 473–479 (2011).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Wright, T. P. J. Aeronaut. Sci. 3, 122–128 (1936).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  7. Lin, S. W. & Bier, V. M. Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 93, 711–721 (2008).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  8. Nemet, G. F. & Baker, E. Energy J. 30, 49–80 (2009).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Savage, T., Davis, A., Fischhoff, B. & Morgan, M. G. Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA 118, e2021558118 (2021).

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Gregory F. Nemet.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The author declares no competing interests.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Nemet, G.F. Improving the crystal ball. Nat Energy 6, 860–861 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00903-9

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-021-00903-9

  • Springer Nature Limited

Navigation