Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

CRYOSPHERE

Arctic sea ice at 1.5 and 2 °C

  • News & Views
  • Published:

From Nature Climate Change

View current issue Submit your manuscript

In the Paris Agreement, nations committed to a more ambitious climate policy target, aiming to limit global warming to 1.5 °C rather than 2 °C above pre-industrial levels. Climate models now show that achieving the 1.5 °C goal would make a big difference for Arctic sea ice.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1: Probability of at least one occurrence of an ice-free Arctic.

References

  1. Sigmond, M., Fyfe, J. C. & Swart, N. C. Nat. Clim. Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0124-y (2018).

  2. Jahn, A. Nat. Clim. Change https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0127-8 (2018).

  3. Notz, D. & Stroeve, J. Science 354, 747–750 (2016).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  4. IPCC Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis (eds Stocker, T. F. et al.) (Cambridge Univ. Press, 2013).

  5. Sanderson, B. M. et al. Earth Syst. Dynam 8, 827–847 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  6. Iversen, T. et al. Earth Syst. Dynam. Discuss. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2017-115 (2017).

  7. Ridley, J.K & Blockley, E. W. Cryosph. Discuss. https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-2017-283 (2017).

  8. Screen, J. A. & Williamson, D. Nat. Clim. Change 7, 230–231 (2017).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  9. Niederdrenk, A.L. & Notz, D. Geophys. Res. Lett. 45, 1963–1971 (2018).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  10. Rogelj, J. et al. Nature 534, 631–639 (2016).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  11. Meinshausen, M. et al. Nature 458, 1158–1162 (2009).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

  12. Millar, R. J. et al. Nat. Geosci. 10, 741–747 (2017).

    Article  CAS  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Mathematics, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK

    James A. Screen

Authors
  1. James A. Screen
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to James A. Screen.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

The author declares no competing interests.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Screen, J.A. Arctic sea ice at 1.5 and 2 °C. Nature Clim Change 8, 362–363 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0137-6

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0137-6

  • Springer Nature Limited

This article is cited by

Search

Navigation