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Ice-free Arctic at 1.5 °C?

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Figure 1: Predicting the likelihood of an ice-free Arctic for the 1.5 °C and 2 °C targets.

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Acknowledgements

The authors are grateful to the climate modelling groups for producing and making available their model output and to the following data providers: National Snow and Ice Data Center (observed sea-ice extent) and Earth System Grid (CMIP5 multi-model ensemble).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Mathematics, University of Exeter, Exeter, EX4 4QE, UK

    James A. Screen & Daniel Williamson

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  1. James A. Screen
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  2. Daniel Williamson
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Correspondence to James A. Screen.

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Screen, J., Williamson, D. Ice-free Arctic at 1.5 °C?. Nature Clim Change 7, 230–231 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3248

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