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Predicting temperature trend in the Northern Hemisphere to the year 2000

  • Climatology Supplement
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The cooling of the Northern Hemisphere since 1940 has been variously interpreted as the overture to the next Ice Age, the effect of industrial pollution in the atmosphere or of a decline in the solar output. Are we in a position to judge between these various interpretations and to make a prediction for the next few decades? The link with the next Ice Age may be dismissed as a confusion of timescales; the explanation in terms of atmospheric pollution merits careful examination but seems unlikely to be adequate on its own. Natural fluctuations must also be considered.

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Miles, M. Predicting temperature trend in the Northern Hemisphere to the year 2000. Nature 276, 356–359 (1978). https://doi.org/10.1038/276356a0

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