Abstract
This study compares the work-life labour income of Indigenous and average Australians and assesses the potential effect of bridging the mortality gaps on their work-life earnings using a life-table model which took account of the survival, employment and income trajectories from 25 to 64 years. Age-specific employment and average annual income data were derived from the 2006 Census for three educational groups: incomplete secondary, completed secondary, and higher levels of education. Results show that depending on educational qualifications, the work-life labour income of Indigenous people is likely to be around two-fifths to two-thirds of the work-life labour income of average Australians. If Indigenous Australians were to have the same level of survival as average Australians, the work-life labour income gap would narrow by about 4–7 % points. Bridging the adult mortality gap alone has only a small effect on bridging economic gaps persisting between Indigenous and other Australians.
Similar content being viewed by others
Notes
‘Certificate or higher’ education is classified as Certificate I and higher non-school classifications as defined in the Australian Standard Classification of Education (ASCED); it also includes Certificate Level, not further defined (ABS 2006).
HILDA contains perhaps the most up-to-date information that identifies the Indigenous status of the respondents. Another source of income data for Indigenous people is the 2002 National Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Survey conducted by ABS. We did not look at how different the results would be based on the income data from these two surveys.
Becker and Mulligan (1997) use the terms ‘rate of time preference’ and ‘discount rate’ interchangeably.
References
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Social Justice Commissioner. (2005). Social Justice Report 2005. Sydney.
Altman, J. C., Biddle, N., & Hunter, B. H. (2008). How realistic are the prospects for ‘Closing the Gaps’ in socioeconomic outcomes for Indigenous Australians? Centre for Aboriginal Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper no. 287/2008. Canberra: Australian National University.
Anderson, I., Crengle, S., Leialoha Kamaka, M., Chen, T.-H., Palafox, N., & Jackson-Pulver, L. (2006). Indigenous health in Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific. Lancet, 367(9524), 1775–1785.
Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). (2006). Census Dictionary, Australia, 2006 (Reissue). Cat no. 2901.0. Canberra.
Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). (2007a). 2006 Census tables (online database). Canberra.
Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). (2007b). Life tables, Australia, 2006. Cat no. 3302.0.55.001. Canberra.
Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). (2007c). Survey of income and housing, User guide, Australia, 2005–2006. Cat. no. 6553.0. Canberra.
Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). (2008). Average weekly earnings, Australia. Cat. no. 6302.0 Canberra.
Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). (2009). Experimental life tables for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians, Australia, 2005–2007. cat. no. 3302.0.55.003. Canberra.
Becker, G. S. (1962). Investment in human-capital—A theoretical analysis. Journal of Political Economy, 70(5), 9–49.
Becker, G. S., & Mulligan, C. B. (1997). The endogenous determination of time preference. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 112(3), 729–758.
Biddle, N. (2006a). The age at which Indigenous Australians undertake qualifications: A descriptive analysis. Australian Journal of Adult Learning, 46(1), 28–50.
Biddle, N. (2006b). Health benefits of education in Australia: Indigenous/non-Indigenous comparisons. Economic and Labour Relations Review, 17(1), 107–141.
Biddle, N. (2007). Does it pay to go to school? The benefits of and participation in education of Indigenous Australians. PhD Thesis, Australian National University, Canberra.
Biddle, N., & Taylor, J. (2009). Are the gaps closing? Regional trends and forecasts of Indigenous employment. Australian Journal of Labour Economics, 12(3), 263–280.
Booth, A. L., & Carroll, N. (2008). Economic status and the Indigenous/non-Indigenous health gap. Economics Letters, 99(3), 604–606.
Bradley, S., Draca, M., Green, C., & Leeves, G. (2007). The magnitude of educational disadvantage of indigenous minority groups in Australia. Journal of Population Economics, 20(3), 547–569.
Chakraborty, S., & Das, M. (2005). Mortality, human capital and persistent inequality. Journal of Economic Growth, 10(2), 159–192.
Daly, A. E. (1995). Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people in the Australian labour market: 1986 and 1991. Occasional Paper. Cat. no. 6253.0. Canberra: Australian Bureau of Statistics.
Daly, A., & Hunter, B. (1999). Incentives to work: Replacement ratios and the cost of job loss among Indigenous Australians. Australian Economic Review, 32(3), 219–236.
Daly, A., & Smith, D. (1996). Policy challenges of the contemporary socio-economic status of indigenous Australian families. Australian Journal of Social Issues, 31(4), 355.
Danziger, S. K., Kalil, A., & Anderson, N. J. (2000). Human capital, physical health, and mental health of welfare recipients: Co-occurrence and correlates. Journal of Social Issues, 56(4), 635–654.
Day, J. C., & Newburger, E. C. (2002). The big payoff: Educational attainment and synthetic estimates of work-life earnings. US Census Bureau. Available at: http://www.census.gov/prod/2002pubs/p23-210.pdf.
Department of Families, Housing, Community Services and Indigenous Affairs. (2009). Closing the gap on Indigenous disadvantage: The challenge for Australia. Canberra.
Drummond, M., Sculpher, M., Torrance, G., O’Brien, B., & Stoddart, G. (2005). Methods for the economic evaluation of health care programmes (3rd ed.). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Halchuk, P. (2006). Measuring employment outcomes for Indigenous Australians. Australian Journal of Labour Economics, 9(2), 201.
Hunter, B. H., Kinfu, Y., & Taylor, J. (2003). The future of Indigenous work: Forecasts of labour force status to 2011. Centre for Aboriginal Economic Policy Research Discussion Paper no. 251/2003. Canberra: Australian National University.
Junankar, P. N., & Liu, J. (2003). Estimating the social rate of return of education for Indigenous Australians. Education Economics, 11(2), 169–192.
King, M., Smith, A., & Gracey, M. (2009). Indigenous health part 2: The underlying causes of the health gap. Lancet, 374(9683), 76–85.
Meara, E. R., Richards, S., & Cutler, D. M. (2008). The gap gets bigger: Changes in mortality and life expectancy, by education, 1981–2000. Health Affairs, 27(2), 350–360.
Mirowsky, J., & Ross, C. E. (1998). Education, personal control, lifestyle and health—A human capital hypothesis. Research on Aging, 20(4), 415–449.
Nepal, B., Brown, L., Ranmuthugala, G., & Percival, R. (2008). Lifetime health and economic consequences of caring: Modelling health and economic prospects of female carers in Australia. Commonwealth Financial Planning, Commonwealth Bank of Australia, Sydney.
Pholi, K., Black, D., & Richards, R. C. (2009). Is ‘Close the Gap’a useful approach to improving the health and wellbeing of Indigenous Australians? Australian Review of Public Affairs, 9(2), 1–13.
Ross, R. (2006). Health. In B. H. Hunter (Ed.), Assessing the evidence on Indigenous socioeconomic outcomes: A focus on the 2002 NATSISS (pp. 213–229). Canberra: ANU Epress.
Schultz, T. W. (1961). Investment in human capital. American Economic Review, 51(1–2), 1–17.
Steering Committee for the Review of Government Service Provision (SCRGSP). (2007). Overcoming Indigenous disadvantage: Key indicators 2007. Canberra.
Subramanian, S. V., Smith, G. D., & Subramanyam, M. (2006). Indigenous health and socioeconomic status in India. PLoS Medicine, 3(10), e421.
Trendle, B. (2007). The labour market and apprenticeship retention in Queensland traditional trades. Queensland: Labour Market Research Unit, Department of Education, Training and the Arts.
Watson, N. (2008). The household, income and labour dynamics in Australia (HILDA) survey user manual—Release 6. Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, University of Melbourne. Melbourne.
Wei, H. (2001). Measuring the stock of human capital for Australia: A lifetime labour income approach. ABS cat. no. 1352.0.55.045. Canberra.
Weisbrod, B. A. (1961). The valuation of human capital. Journal of Political Economy, 69(5), 425–436.
Acknowledgments
This study was supported through a NATSEM internal research grant. Employment and income data used in this study were derived from specially requested 2006 Census tables and the 2005–2006 Survey of Income and Housing confidential unit record files, both from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The results based on further calculations of this data and the views expressed in this paper are those of the authors, and not necessarily those of ABS and NATSEM.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Appendix
Appendix
See Table 2.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Nepal, B., Brown, L. Modelling potential impact of improved survival of Indigenous Australians on work-life labour income gap between Indigenous and average Australians. J Pop Research 29, 157–171 (2012). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12546-012-9084-7
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s12546-012-9084-7