Abstract
In this paper, we make a comparative analysis and correlation test for the seismic activities in the South Japan and the Ludong-Huanghai block (a secondary tectonic unit in the North China) and approach the relationship between the energy release processes of these two areas by using co-integration analysis and Granger causality test for the time series of random variables. The results show that the seismic activities in these two areas are correlative and synchronous to a certain extent, and their release series of cumulative strain energy are contemporaneously correlative. Both energy series are first-order difference stationary processes and there is secular and steady co-integration between them. We make a positive analysis on the first-order difference energy series through Granger causality test based on vector error correction (VEC) model and find there is unilateral Granger causality and prominent co-integration between the two energy release processes.
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Foundation item: Continuous Subject of Key Project of State Science and Technology in the Tenth Five-year Plan (2004BA601B01-04-02) and Project of Science and Technology in the Tenth Five-year Plan of Shandong Province (SD10503).
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Zheng, Jc., Jiang, Hk. Correlation analysis and causality test between Ludong-Huanghai block and South Japan. Acta Seimol. Sin. 20, 381–391 (2007). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11589-007-0381-8
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11589-007-0381-8