Abstract
Contemporary system maturity assessment approaches have failed to provide robust quantitative system evaluations resulting in increased program costs and developmental risks. Standard assessment metrics, such as Technology Readiness Levels (TRL), do not sufficiently evaluate increasingly complex systems. The System Readiness Level (SRL) is a newly developed system development metric that is a mathematical function of TRL and Integration Readiness Level (IRL) values for the components and connections of a particular system. SRL acceptance has been hindered because of concerns over SRL mathematical operations that may lead to inaccurate system readiness assessments. These inaccurate system readiness assessments are called readiness reversals. A new SRL calculation method using incidence matrices is proposed to alleviate these mathematical concerns. The presence of SRL readiness reversal is modeled for four SRL calculation methods across several system configurations. Logistic regression analysis demonstrates that the proposed Incidence Matrix SRL (IMSRL) method has a decreased presence of readiness reversal than other approaches suggested in the literature. Viable SRL methods will foster greater SRL adoption by systems engineering professionals and will support system development risk reduction goals.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Azizian, N., Sarkani, S., & Mazzuchi, T. (2009). A comprehensive review and analysis of maturity assessment approaches for improved decision support to achieve efficient defense acquisition. Lecture Notes in Engineering And Computer Science, 2179(1):1150–57.
Azizian, N., Mazzuchi, T., Sarkani, S., & Rico, D. F. (2011). A framework for evaluating technology readiness, system quality, and program performance of U.S. DoD Acquisition Systems Engineering, 14(4): 410–426.
Balbuena, C. (2008). Incidence matrices of projective planes and of some regular bipartite graphs of girth 6 with few vertices. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics Journal on Discrete Mathematics, 22(4): 1351–1363.
Baron, N. T., Holland, O. T., Marchette, D. J., & Wallace, S. E. (2011). Integrating through the fire control loop. National Fire Control Symposium, 19. Lake Buena Vista, FL.
Bilbro, J. W. (2007). A suite of tools for technology assessment. AFRL Maturity Conference, Virginia Beach, VA, September 11–13.
Box, G. E. P., & Draper, N. R., (1987). Empirical model building and response surfaces. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York, NY.
Bowles, J. B. (2004). An assessment of RPN prioritization in a failure modes effects and criticality analysis. Journal of IEST. 47:51–56.
Dacus, C. L. (2012). Improving acquisition outcomes through simples system technology readiness metrics. Defense Acquisition Review Journal, 19(4): 444–461.
DeNezza, E. J., & Casey, A. G. (2014). Future space system acquisitions: is the key “what” or “when”?. Defense Acquisition Technology and Logistics, 9: 9–14.
Department of Defense (2009). Technology Readiness Assessment (TRA) Deskbook, Washington, DC.
Diestel, R. (2010). Graph theory. 4th ed. Heidelberg: Springer.
Engle, M., Sarkani, S., & Mazzuchi, T. (2009). Technical maturity evaluations for sensor fusion technologies. IEEE Applied Imagery Pattern Recognition Workshop (AIPRW), 14–16.
Forbes, E., Volkert, R., Gentile, P., Michaud, K., & Sondi, T. (2009). Implementation of a methodology supporting a comprehensive system-of-systems maturity analysis for use by the littoral compact ship mission module program. INCOSE Chesapeake Chapter Dinner Meeting, 19 August 2009.
Fulkerson, D. R., & Gross, O. (1965). Incidence matrices and interval graphs. Pacific Journal of Mathematics, 3: 835–855.
Government Accountability Office (1999). Best practices: better management of technology development can improve weapon system outcomes. GAO/NSIAD-99-162, Washington, DC.
Government Accountability Office (2006) Best practices: stronger practices needed to improve DOD technology transition processes. GAO-06-883, Washington, DC.
Government Accountability Office (2013) Defense acquisition: assessment of selected weapon systems, GAO-13-294SP, Washington, DC.
Garrett, R. K., Anderson, S., Baron, N. T., & Moreland, J. D. (2011). Managing the interstitials, a system of systems framework suited for the ballistic missile defense system. Systems Engineering, 14(1): 87–109.
Gross, J. L., & Yellen, J. (2006). Graph theory and its applications. Chapman & Hall/CRC, Boca Raton.
Hosmer, D. W., & Lemeshow, S. (2000). Applied logistic regression, 2nd Ed. Wiley Series in Probability and Statistics, Wiley & Sons.
Kober, B. J. & Sauser, B. (2008). A case study in implementing a system maturity metric. 29th American Society of Engineering Management Conference, October, 2008, West Point, NY.
Kujawski, E. (2010). The trouble with the system readiness level (SRL) index for managing the acquisition of defense systems. 13th Annual National Defense and Industrial Association Systems Engineering Conference, 24. San Diego, CA.
Kujawski, E. (2013). Analysis and critique of the system readiness level. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics-Part A, 99: 1–9.
Long, J. M. (2011). Integration readiness levels. IEEE Aerospace Conference, 5–12 March 2011.
Mahafza, S., Componation, P., & Tippett, D. (2004). A Performance-based technology assessment methodology to support DOD acquisition. Defense Acquisition Review Journal, 11(3): 268–283.
Malone, P., & Wolfarth, L.. System-of-systems: an architectural framework to support development cost strategies. IEEE Aerospace Conference, 2012.
Mandelbaum, J. (2005). Enabling technology readiness assessments (TRAs) with systems engineering. National Defense Industrial Association 8th Annual Systems Engineering Conference.
Mankins, J. C. (2002). Approaches to strategic research and technology (R&T) analysis and road mapping. Acta Astronautica, 51(1): 3–21.
Marchette, D. (2013). An analysis of system readiness functions. Joint Mathematics Meetings, San Diego, CA, 30 January 2013.
Matlab (Version 7.12.0.635, R2011a), Computer Software, Mathworks.
McCabe, T. J. (1976). A complexity measure. IEEE Transactions On Software Engineering, 4: 308–320.
McConkie, E. B. (2013). A systems engineering approach to mathematical properties of system readiness levels. (Doctoral Dissertation). The George Washington University, ProQuest UMI No. 3543951.
McConkie, E. B., Mazzuchi, T. A., Sarkani, S., & Marchette, D. (2013). Mathematical properties of system readiness levels. Systems Engineering, 16(4): 391–400.
Meier, S. R. (2008). Best project management and systems engineering practices in the preacquisition phase for federal intelligence and defense agencies. Project Management Journal, 39(1): 59–71.
Minitab (Version 17), (Computer Software), Minitab, Inc.
Pampel, F. C. (2000). Logistic regression: a primer. Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences. Ed. Michael S. Lewis-Beck, Sage Publications, Inc.
Peduzzi, P., Concato, J., Kemper, E., Holford, T. R., & Feinstein, A. R. (1996). Simulation study of the number of events per variable in logistic regression analysis. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology, 49(12): 1373–1379.
Peng, C.-Y. J., Lee, K. K., & Ingersoll, G. M. (2002). An introduction to logistic regression analysis and reporting. Journal of Educational Research, 96(1): 3–14.
Raftery, A. E. (1995). Bayesian model selection in social research. Sociological Methodology, 25: 111–163.
Ramirez-Marquez, J. E., & Sauser, B. J. (2009). System development planning via system maturity optimization. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Transactions on Engineering Management, 56(3): 533–548.
Sauser, B. J., Forbes, E., Long, M., & McGrory, S. E. (2009). Defining an integration readiness level for defense acquisition. International Symposium of International Council on Systems Engineering. Singapore, 2009.
Sauser, B., & Ramirez-Marquez, J. E. (2012). Multi-objective optimization of system capability satisficing in defense acquisition. Defense Technology Information Center, Accession No. ADA56334330, April 2012.
Sauser, B. J., Ramirez-Marquez, J. E., Henry, D., & DiMarzio, D. (2008). A system maturity index for the systems engineerig life cycle. International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering, 3(6): 673–691.
Sauser, B. J., Ramirez-Marquez, J. E., Magnaye, R. B., & Tan, W. (2008). A systems approach to expanding the technology readiness level within defense acquisition. International Journal of Defense Acquisition Management, 1: 39–58.
Sauser, B. J., Ramirez-Marquez, J. E., Nowicki, D., Deshmukh, A., & Sarfaraz, M. (2011). Development of systems engineering maturity models and management tools. DTIC Technical Report, 2011-TR-014.
Sauser, B. J., Ramirez-Marquez, J. E., Verma, D., & Gove, R. (2006). Determining system interoperability using an integration readiness level. Stevens Institute of Technology, 21.
Sauser, B. J., Verma, D., Ramirez-Marquez, J. E., & Gove, R. (2006). From TRL to SRL: the concept of system readiness levels. Conference on Systems Engineering Research, Stevens Institute of Technology, 1-10.
Smith, J. D. (2005). An alternative to technology readiness levels for non-developmental item (NDI) software. Proceedings of the 38th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences, HICSS’05.
Stevens, S. S. (1946). On the theory of scales of measurement. Science, 103(2684): 677–680.
Tan, W., Ramirez-Marquez, J. E., & Sauser, B. (2011). A probabilistic approach to system maturity assessment. Systems Engineering, 14(3): 279–293.
Tan, W., Sauser, B. J., Ramirez-Marquez, J. E., & Magnaye, R. B. (2013). Multiobjective optimization in multifunction multicapability system development planning. Systems, Man, and Cybernetics: Systems, IEEE Transactions on, 43(4): 785–800.
Tetlay, A., & John, P. (2009). Determining the lines of system maturity, system readiness and capability readiness in the system development lifecycle. 7th Annual Conference on Systems Engineering Research, 2009.
Townsend, J. T., & Ashby, F. G. (1984). Measurement scales and statistics: the misconception misconceived. Psychological Bulletin, 96(2): 394–401.
Valerdi, R., & Kohl, R. (2004). An approach to technology risk management. Engineering Systems Division Symposium, March: 29–31.
Velleman, P. F., & Wilkinson, L. (1993). Nominal, ordinal, interval, and ratio typologies are misleading. The American Statistician, 47(1): 65–72.
Volkert, R., Stracener, J., & Yu, J. (2013). Incorporating a measure of uncertainty into systems of systems development performance measures. Systems Engineering: 1–17.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Mr. Mark A. London is a PhD student in the Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering at the George Washington University. He has earned BS and MS degrees in Electrical Engineering from the Pennsylvania State University in 1999 and 2001 respectively. Mr. London has extensive experience with performance testing and requirements verification of advanced electro-optical and infrared systems. His research interests include developing system maturity metrics for system technical performance measurement, robust statistical methods for improved test design, and integrating advanced system verification processes into developmental and operational test programs. Mr. London is a member of the International Conference on Systems Engineering (INCOSE) and an active member of the International Test and Evaluation Association (ITEA). He has also recently obtained certification as an ITEA Certified Test and Evaluation Professional (CTEP).
Thomas H. Holzer, D.Sc. is an Adjunct Professor of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, at The George Washington University. He was the Director, Engineering Management Office, National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency with over 35 years experience in systems engineering and leading large-scale information technology programs. Dr. Holzer has a Doctor and Master of Science in Engineering Management from George Washington and a Bachelor of Science in Mechanical Engineering from the University of Cincinnati.
Dr. Tim Eveleigh is an adjunct professor of engineering management and systems engineering at The George Washington University and an INCOSE Certified Systems Engineering Professional. Dr. Eveleigh has over 30 years industry experience working DoD and Intelligence Community IT acquisition challenges, R&D, and enterprise architecting. Dr. Eveleigh has a 30 year parallel career as an Air Force Reserve Intelligence Officer and Developmental Engineer focused on command and control integration.
Dr. Shahryar Sarkani is an Adjunct Professor in the Department of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering at George Washington University, Washington, DC. He has over 20 years of experience in field of software engineering. Dr. Sarkani has Doctor of Science in Systems Engineering from George Washington University, a Master of Science in Mathematics from University of New Orleans and a Bachelor of Science in Electrical Engineering from Louisiana State University.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
London, M.A., Holzer, T.H., Eveleigh, T.J. et al. Incidence matrix approach for calculating readiness levels. J. Syst. Sci. Syst. Eng. 23, 377–403 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11518-014-5255-8
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11518-014-5255-8