Abstract
The public health impact of hydraulic fracturing remains a high profile and controversial issue. While there has been a recent surge of published papers, it remains an under-researched area despite being possibly the most substantive change in energy production since the advent of the fossil fuel economy. We review the evidence of effects in five public health domains with a particular focus on the UK: exposure, health, socio-economic, climate change and seismicity. While the latter would seem not to be of significance for the UK, we conclude that serious gaps in our understanding of the other potential impacts persist together with some concerning signals in the literature and legitimate uncertainties derived from first principles. There is a fundamental requirement for high-quality epidemiological research incorporating real exposure measures, improved understanding of methane leakage throughout the process, and a rigorous analysis of the UK social and economic impacts. In the absence of such intelligence, we consider it prudent to incentivise further research and delay any proposed developments in the UK. Recognising the political realities of the planning and permitting process, we make a series of recommendations to protect public health in the event of hydraulic fracturing being approved in the UK.
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Appendices
Appendix 1: Glossary/acronyms
- AMCV:
-
Air monitoring comparison values
- ATSDR:
-
Agency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry
- BTEX:
-
Benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene and xylene
- CHD:
-
Coronary heart defects
- CIs:
-
Confidence intervals
- CNS:
-
Central nervous system
- CO:
-
Carbon monoxide
- CS2 :
-
Carbon disulphide
- DBP:
-
Disinfection by-products
- DEP:
-
Department of Environmental Protection
- EDC:
-
Endocrine disrupting chemical
- EPA:
-
Environmental Protection Agency
- EUR:
-
Estimated ultimate recovery
- FPH:
-
Faculty of Public Health
- GHG:
-
Greenhouse gas
- GI:
-
Gastrointestinal
- GIS:
-
Geographic information system
- GWP:
-
Global warming potential
- H2S:
-
Hydrogen sulphide
- HAPs:
-
Hazardous air pollutants
- HI:
-
Hazard index
- HVHF:
-
High-volume hydraulic fracturing
- IRIS:
-
Integrated risk information system
- LCA:
-
Life cycle analysis
- LHV:
-
Lower heating value
- LUST:
-
Leaking underground storage tanks
- MCL:
-
Maximum content level
- ML:
-
Local magnitude
- Mw:
-
Magnitude scale
- NIOSH:
-
National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health
- NMHCs:
-
Non-methane hydrocarbons
- NORM:
-
Naturally occurring radioactive materials
- NOx:
-
Oxides of nitrogen
- NTD:
-
Neural tube defects
- OEL:
-
Occupational exposure limit
- OSHA:
-
Occupational Safety and Health Administration
- ONG:
-
Oil and natural gas
- PAHs:
-
Polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons
- PEL:
-
Permissible exposure limit
- PM:
-
Particulate matter
- PSE Healthy Energy:
-
Physicians, Scientists and Engineers for Healthy Energy
- PSM:
-
Propensity score matching
- REL:
-
Recommended exposure limit sure limit
- SGA:
-
Small for gestational age
- SIRs:
-
Standardised incidence ratios
- SO2 :
-
Sulphur dioxide
- TCEQ:
-
Texas Commission on Environmental Quality
- TLV:
-
Threshold limit value
- UOG:
-
Unconventional oil and gas extraction
- VOCs:
-
Volatile organic compounds
- WTP:
-
Willing to pay
- WtW:
-
Well to wire
- WWTP:
-
Wastewater treatment plant
Appendix 2: Search strategy
-
1.
UNGD: Shale gas, shale gas development, shale gas drill$, shale gas exploration, shale gas industry, shale gas production, unconventional gas, unconventional gas extraction, frack$, hydraulic fracturing, fracturing, high volume hydraulic fracturing, HVHF
-
2.
Exposure: Air quality, pollution, water, land, contamination, toxin$, PAH$, benzene, methane, metal$, diesel fume$, VOC$, endocrine disrupt$, PM, particulate matter, particulate$, naturally occurring radioactive mat$, fume$
-
3.
Health: Public health, cancer$, neurological, neurobehavioral, reproductive, Low birth weight, birth outcome$, congenital heart defect$, neural tube defect$, oral cleft$, pre term birth$, stress, occupational health, mental health, mental wellbeing, conception, infertility
-
4.
Nuisance: Noise, dust, odour$, odor$, light, traffic, congestion
-
5.
Climate change: Climate change, green house gas$, GHGs, methane, energy policy, fuel policy, energy security
-
6.
Economic: Econom$, local economy, water sustainability, income, employment, disposable income, fuel poverty, rural economy$
-
7.
Seismicity: Seism$, earthquake$, tremor$
1 and 2, 1 and 3, 1 and 4, 1 and 5, 1 and 6, 1 and 7.
Databases
The following databases were searched:
-
Ovid Medline, Economic and Social Research Council, Centre for Economic Policy Research.
Citation searches
Reference lists were examined for papers not identified in searches.
Grey literature/internet/key informants
Includes advice from recognised experts in the field and domestic and international government and key institutional websites.
Inclusion/exclusion
Inclusion:
-
All: English language, no year restrictions, international, national, regional or local effects, exclusively or significantly related to, or specifically considers HVHF and any associated infrastructure, development, operation or legacy activities/impacts.
-
Exposure: human, all environmental media, measure of exposure (direct or indirect).
-
Health: clinically diagnosed and self-reported symptoms.
-
Nuisance/economic: direct or indirect economic, environmental, nuisance and/or social impacts.
-
Climate change/policy: all GHGs, impact on compliance with fuel/energy and climate change policies and commitments.
Exclusion: animal studies, non-English, anonymous pieces, studies of UNGD technology, environmental exposures based on estimates with no measured data, levels of contamination in waste products with no assessment or estimation of exposure potential, traffic-related accidents (the UK industry will not require the level of heavy vehicle support reported in the USA and elsewhere), non-peer-reviewed commentaries, opinions, editorials, letters to the editor.
Paper review and data extraction
Data extracted to a pre-defined data extraction table. A 10% sample of included papers independently assessed by two reviewers and unresolved anomalies referred to the other authors for resolution.
Appendix 3: Excluded papers
Paper | Reason for rejection | |
---|---|---|
1. | Abrahams LS et al. Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions From U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas Exports: Implications for End Uses. Environ. Sci. Technol., 2015, 49 (5), pp 3237–3245 | LNG exports |
2. | Ahmadov R, McKeen S, Trainer M, Banta R, Brewer A, Brown S, et al. 2015. Understanding high wintertime ozone pollution events in an oil- and natural gas-producing region of the western US. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 15:411–429 | Oil and gas—no distinction of dominant source |
3. | Albertson JD et al. A Mobile Sensing Approach for Regional Surveillance of Fugitive Methane Emissions in Oil and Gas Production. Environ. Sci. Technol., 2016, 50 (5), pp 2487–249 | Describes method for detecting methane |
4. | Alexander BM et al. The Development and Testing of a Prototype Mini-Baghouse to Control the Release of Respirable Crystalline Silica from Sand Movers. J Occup Environ Hyg. 2016, 13(8):628–38 | Testing emission control |
5. | Allard DJ. Pennsylvania’s technologically enhanced, naturally occurring radioactive material experiences and studies of the oil and gas industry. Health Phys 2015;108(2):178 | Presentation |
6. | Allen DT et al. Methane Emissions from Process Equipment at Natural Gas Production Sites in the United States: Pneumatic Controllers Environ. Sci. Technol., 2015, 49 (1), pp 633–640 | Principally natural gas but includes conventional and unconventional and oil. No distinction of dominant source |
7. | Alvarez, Ramón A, et al. Greater Focus Needed on Methane Leakage from Natural Gas Infrastructure. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109 (2012): 6435–6440 | Examines changes to vehicle fleet as well as use for electricity |
8. | Asche F et al. Energy Policy, 2012, vol. 47, issue C, pages 117–124 | Not an issue for UK |
9. | Aucott ML and Melillo JM. A Preliminary Energy Return on Investment Analysis of Natural Gas from the Marcellus Shale. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 17: 668–679 | Doesn’t address economic (dis)benefits |
10. | Bern CR, Clark ML, Schmidt TS, Holloway JM, McDougal RR. 2015. Soil disturbance as a driver of increased stream salinity in a semiarid watershed undergoing energy development. J. Hydrol. 524:123–136; doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.02.020 | Website link. Refers to soil disturbance of any type |
11. | Binnion, M. 2012. How the technical differences between shale gas and conventional gas projects lead to a new business model being required to be successful. Marine and Petroleum Geology. 31(1): 3–7 | Doesn’t address economic (dis)benefits |
12. | Birdsell DT, Rajaram H, Dempsey D, Viswanathan HS. 2015. Hydraulic fracturing fluid migration in the subsurface: A review and expanded modeling results. Water Resour. Res. 51:7159–7188; doi:10.1002/2015WR017810 | Simulation |
13. | Bolden AL et al. New Look at BTEX: Are Ambient Levels a Problem? Environ. Sci. Technol., 2015, 49 (9), pp 5261–5276 | Review of non-cancer health effects of BTEX |
14. | Boothroyd IM et al. Fugitive emissions of methane from abandoned, decommissioned oil and gas wells. Sci Total Environ. 2016 Mar 15;547:461–9 | Abandoned-not relevant to UK |
15. | Bowen, Z. H., et al. (2015), Assessment of surface water chloride and conductivity trends in areas of unconventional oil and gas development—Why existing national data sets cannot tell us what we would like to know, Water Resour. Res., 51, 704–71 | Oil and gas—no distinction of dominant source |
16. | Boyle MD, Payne-Sturges DC, Sangaramoorthy T, Wilson S, Nachman KE, Babik K, et al. (2016) Hazard Ranking Methodology for Assessing Health Impacts of Unconventional Natural Gas Development and Production: The Maryland Case Study. PLoS ONE 11(1): e0145368. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0145368 | Methodological and hypothetical examples |
17. | Brantley HL, Thoma ED, Eisele AP. 2015. Assessment of volatile organic compound and hazardous air pollutant emissions from oil and natural gas well pads using mobile remote and on-site direct measurements. Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association 65:1072–1082 | Oil and gas—no distinction of dominant source |
18. | Brantley SL, Yoxtheimer D, Arjmand S, Grieve P, Vidic R, Pollak J, et al. 2014. Water resource impacts during unconventional shale gas development: The Pennsylvania experience. International Journal of Coal Geology; doi:10.1016/j.coal.2013.12.017 | Shortcomings of monitoring of contraventions |
19. | British Columbia Oil and Gas Commission 2012 | Not peer-reviewed |
20. | Brown D, Weinberger B, Lewis C, Bonaparte H. 2014. Understanding exposure from natural gas drilling puts current air standards to the test. Rev Environ Health 29:277–292; doi:10.1515/reveh-2014-0002 | Inadequacy of air quality standards |
21. | Brown DR, Lewis C, Weinberger BI. 2015. Human exposure to unconventional natural gas development: A public health demonstration of periodic high exposure to chemical mixtures in ambient air. Journal of Environmental Science and Health, Part A 50: 460–472 | Hypothetical |
22. | Brown SPA et al. Resources for the Future. Natural gas: a bridge to a low-carbon future? Resources 2009;Issue Brief 09-11 | Think tank briefing |
23. | Busch C and Gimon E. 2014. Natural Gas versus Coal: Is Natural Gas Better for the Climate? The Electricity Journal, 27 (7): 97–111 | Natural gas in general |
24. | Burkhart 2013 Potential radon release during fracturing in Colorado. Proceedings of the 2013 International AARST Symposium | Conference proceedings |
25. | Carlton AG, Little E, Moeller M, Odoyo S, Shepson PB. 2014. The Data Gap: Can a Lack of Monitors Obscure Loss of Clean Air Act Benefits in Fracking Areas? Environ. Sci. Technol. 48:893–894; doi:10.1021/es405672t | Methodological |
26. | Cathles LM et al. A commentary on “The greenhouse-gas footprint of natural gas in shale formations” by R.W. Howarth, R. Santoro, and Anthony Ingraffea. Climatic Change, DOI 10.1007/s10584-011-0333-0 | Commentary |
27. | Cathles, L. M. (2012), Assessing the greenhouse impact of natural gas, Geochem. Geophys. Geosyst., 13, Q06013, doi:10.1029/2012GC004032 | Natural gas in general |
28. | Caulton DR et al.Methane Destruction Efficiency of Natural Gas Flares Associated with Shale Formation Wells. Environ. Sci. Technol., 2014, 48 (16), pp 9548–9554 | Efficiency of flaring |
29. | Chabudzinski L, Chmiel S, Michalczyk Z. 2015. Metal content in the waters of the upper Sanna River catchment (SE Poland): condition associated with drilling of a shale gas exploration wellbore. Environ. Earth Sci. 74:6681–6691; doi:10.1007/s12665-015-4668-0 | Exploratory borewell |
30. | Craddock,H. Shale gas in Europe: The chemical challenge. Materials World. 2014 22 2:41 | Magazine article |
31. | Darbouche H. MENA’s Growing Natural Gas Deficit and the Issue of Domestic Prices”, Energy Strategy Reviews, 2013, 2 (1): 116–121 | Not an issue in the UK |
32. | de Melo-Martin I et al. The role of ethics in shale gas policies. Sci Total Environ 2014 (470–471) 1114 | Ethics |
33. | Edwards PM et al. High winter ozone pollution from carbonyl photolysis in an oil and gas basin. Nature. 2014, 514(7522):351–4 | Letter |
34. | Edwards PM et al. Ozone photochemistry in an oil and natural gas extraction region during winter: simulations of a snow-free season in the Uintah Basin, Utah. Atmos. Chem. Phys., 13, 8955–8971, doi:10.5194/acp-13-8955-2013, 2013 | Simulation |
35. | Elliot TR and Celia MA. Potential Restrictions for CO2 Sequestration Sites Due to Shale and Tight Gas Production. Environ. Sci. Technol., 2012, 46 (7), pp 4223–4227 | Identifies sites suitable for carbon storage and overlap with shale areas that might be developed-hypothetical |
36. | Entrekin SA, Maloney KO, Kapo KE, Walters AW, Evans-White MA, Klemow KM. 2015. Stream Vulnerability to Widespread and Emergent Stressors: A Focus on Unconventional Oil and Gas. PLoS ONE 10:e0137416; doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0137416 | Indices to describe watershed vulnerability |
37. | Fanchi JR et al. Probabilistic Decline Curve Analysis of Barnett, Fayetteville, Haynesville, and Woodford Gas Shales. Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering 2013, 50 109:308–311 | Production modelling |
38. | Fedak F et al. Birth Outcomes and Natural Gas Development: Methodological Limitations http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1408647 volume 122 | number 9 | September 2014 | Letter |
39. | Field RA et al. Air quality concerns of unconventional oil and natural gas production. Environmental Science. Processes and Impacts 2014;16(5):954–969 | Theoretical |
40. | Field RA, Soltis J, McCarthy MC, Murphy S, Montague DC. 2015. Influence of oil and gas field operations on spatial and temporal distributions of atmospheric non-methane hydrocarbons and their effect on ozone formation in winter. Atmos. Chem. Phys. 15:3527–3542 | Oil and gas—no distinction of dominant source |
41. | Finkel ML and Law A. The rush to drill for natural gas: a public health cautionary tale. 2011 101, 5: 784–785 | Commentary |
42. | Franco B, Bader W, Toon GC, Bray C, Perrin A, Fischer EV, et al. 2015. Retrieval of ethane from ground-based FTIR solar spectra using improved spectroscopy: Recent burden increase above Jungfraujoch. Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer 160:36–49; doi:10.1016/j.jqsrt.2015.03.017 | Not HVHF |
43. | Freeman CM et al. A numerical study of performance for tight gas and shale gas reservoir systems Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering 108: 22–39 | Doesn’t address economic (dis)benefits |
44. | Gallagher ME et al. Natural Gas Pipeline Replacement Programs Reduce Methane Leaks and Improve Consumer Safety. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett., 2015, 2 (10), pp 286–291 | Remedial action |
45. | Gao J and Fengqi U - Shale Gas Supply Chain Design and Operations toward Better Economic and Life Cycle Environmental Performance: MINLP Model and Global Optimization Algorithm. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng., 2015, 3 (7), pp 1282–1291 | Describes LCA model development-no comparison with other energy sources |
46. | Gassiat C et al. 2013. Hydraulic fracturing in faulted sedimentary basins: Numerical simulation of potential contamination of shallow aquifers over long time scales. Water Resour. Res. 49:8310–8327; doi:10.1002/2013WR014287 | Model to identify conditions needed for slow migration |
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Saunders, P.J., McCoy, D., Goldstein, R. et al. A review of the public health impacts of unconventional natural gas development. Environ Geochem Health 40, 1–57 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10653-016-9898-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10653-016-9898-x