Skip to main content

Advertisement

SpringerLink
Log in

Analysis of Carbon Emissions and Their Influence Factors Based on Data from Anhui of China

  • Published:
Computational Economics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This study undertakes a systematic analysis of calculated time-series carbon emissions data from Anhui province, China, between 1999 and 2012; it also presents relevant measurement models by which to predict the carbon emissions of Anhui province from 2013 to 2015. We found that given current rates of growth, total emissions would increase by up to 37.47 %. Furthermore, this study quantitatively analyzes the influence factors pertaining to Anhui province’s carbon emissions. The results show that population effects on increases in carbon emissions have declined gradually, and that increased energy consumption has promoted a reduction of carbon emissions; it was also found that carbon emission intensity has stimulated an increase in carbon emissions to a degree larger than population effects have. Economic development, additionally, has stimulated an increase in carbon emissions. This study also puts forward some measures by which to reduce carbon emissions in Anhui province, and they involve improvements to the energy structure, an increase in energy efficiency, and a strong focus on high-energy-consumption and high-emission industries.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Log in via an institution

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Dodman, D. (2009). Blaming cities for climate change? An analysis of urban greenhouse gas emissions inventories. Environment and Urbanization, 21(1), 185–201.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fan, Y., Liu, L. C., Wu, G., Tsai, H. T., & Wei, Y. M. (2007). Changes in carbon intensity in China: Empirical findings from 1980–2003. Ecological Economics, 62(3), 683–691.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fan, Y., Zhang, X., & Zhu, L. (2010). Estimating the macroeconomic cost of CO\(_{2}\) emission abatement in China based on multi-objective programming. Advances in Climate Change Research, 1(1), 27–33.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hammond, G. P., & Norman, J. B. (2012). Decomposition analysis of energy-related carbon emissions from UK manufacturing. Energy, 41(1), 220–227.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hu, Z., & Cai, W. (2007). The study on the impacts of energy intensity imposed by the taxation of energy taxes: A CGE approach. Journal of Hunan University (Social Sciences), 5, 57–61.

    Google Scholar 

  • Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. (2006). 2006 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories, Prepared by the National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme. Hayama: IGES.

  • Krey, V., O’Neill, B. C., van Ruijven, B., Chaturvedi, V., Daioglou, V., Eom, J., et al. (2012). Urban and rural energy use and carbon dioxide emissions in Asia. Energy Economics, 34(S3), S272–S283.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li, H., Wang, L., Shen, L., & Chen, F. N. (2012). Study of the potential of low carbon energy development and its contribution to realize the reduction target of carbon intensity in China. Energy Policy, 41, 393–401.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li, Y. M., Zhang, L., & Cheng, X. L. (2010). A decomposition model and reduction approaches for carbon dioxide emissions in China. Resources Science, 32(2), 218–222.

    Google Scholar 

  • Ma, C., Ju, M. T., Zhang, X. C., & Li, H. R. (2011). Energy consumption and carbon emissions in a coastal city in China. Procedia Environmental Sciences, 4, 1–9.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • O’Neill, B. C., Dalton, M., Fuchs, R., Jiang, L., Pachauric, S., & Zigovad, K. (2010). Global demographic trends and future carbon emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 107(41), 17521–17526.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Roberts, J. T., & Grimes, P. E. (1997). Carbon intensity and economic development 1962–1991: A brief exploration of the environmental Kuznets curve. World Development, 25(2), 191–198.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Song, D. Y., & Lu, Z. B. (2009). The factor decomposition and periodic fluctuations of carbon emission in China. China Population Resources and Environment, 19(3), 18–24.

    Google Scholar 

  • Soytas, U., & Sari, R. (2009). Energy consumption, economic growth, and carbon emissions: Challenges faced by an EU candidate member. Ecological Economics, 68(6), 1667–1675.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • van Vuuren, D. P., Deetman, S., van Vliet, J., van den Berg, M., van Ruijven, B. J., & Koelbl, B. (2013). The role of negative CO\(_{2}\) emissions for reaching 2 \(^{\circ }\)C—Insights from integrated assessment modelling. Climatic Change, 118(1), 15–27.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, Q. W., Zhou, P., Shen, N., & Wang, S. S. (2013). Measuring carbon dioxide emission performance in Chinese provinces: A parametric approach. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 21, 324–330.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, R., Liu, W., Xiao, L., Liu, J., & Kao, W. (2011). Path towards achieving of China’s 2020 carbon emission reduction target—A discussion of low-carbon energy policies at province level. Energy Policy, 39(5), 2740–2747.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yao, C., Chen, C., & Li, M. (2012). Analysis of rural residential energy consumption and corresponding carbon emissions in China. Energy Policy, 41, 445–450.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, X. P., & Cheng, X. M. (2009). Energy consumption, carbon emissions, and economic growth in China. Ecological Economics, 68(10), 2706–2712.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, L. X., Wang, C. B., & Song, B. (2013). Carbon emission reduction potential of a typical household biogas system in rural China. Journal of Cleaner Production, 47, 415–421.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, J., Zhang, Y., Yang, Z., Fath, B. D., & Lia, S. (2013). Estimation of energy-related carbon emissions in Beijing and factor decomposition analysis. Ecological Modelling, 252, 258–265.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhou, P., Ang, B. W., & Han, J. Y. (2010). Total factor carbon emission performance: A Malmquist index analysis. Energy Economics, 32(1), 194–201.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

We appreciate the support of the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University (No. NCET-12-0595), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos. 71171001 and 71222106), the Humanity and Social Science Youth Foundation of Ministry of Education of China (No. 10YJC630208), the Key Foundation of Natural Science for Colleges and Universities in Anhui, China (No. KJ2011A001), the Soft Science Foundation of Anhui, China (No. 12020503063), and the Key Foundation of National Research in Statistics of China (No. 2011LZ023).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Statistics and Applied Mathematics, Anhui University of Finance and Economics, Bengbu , 233030, People’s Republic of China

    Ma-Lin Song & Yuan-Xiang Zhou

Authors
  1. Ma-Lin Song
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

  2. Yuan-Xiang Zhou
    View author publications

    You can also search for this author in PubMed Google Scholar

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ma-Lin Song.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Song, ML., Zhou, YX. Analysis of Carbon Emissions and Their Influence Factors Based on Data from Anhui of China. Comput Econ 46, 359–374 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-014-9456-5

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10614-014-9456-5

Keywords

Search

Navigation