Abstract
Models have been well developed describing human movements as vectors of the spread of non-indigenous species (NIS). However, to be maximally useful, predictions need to be integrated with management models of how different policies change human behaviour and lead to concurrent changes in invasion risk. Using the dispersal of freshwater organisms by recreational boaters as our study system and mandatory boat washing as our management strategy, we conducted a survey of recreational boaters (n = 580 respondents, t = 2354 boating trips) in Ontario, Canada, and performed counterfactual analysis of boater behavior across different management options. We developed a model to quantify three responses to mandatory boat washing policies: (1) the continued use of a policy lake; (2) switching to a non-policy lake (“trip redistribution”); or, (3) a reduction in boating trips (“trip loss”). We found that boater and locational traits did not have a significant effect, but even modest user fees at washing stations greatly influenced trip redistribution and loss, explaining 87% of the variation in boater choices. These results indicate that user fees can strongly reduce the effectiveness of boat washing programs to mitigate invasion risk and could have unintended local economic effects, supporting the need to minimize boater expense as a program goal. In contrast, only minor redistribution and loss occurred if users washed but did not pay, and when taken together with the lack of effect for boater and locational traits, suggest that simple human-mediated dispersal models would be sufficient to prioritize management actions under “zero fee” scenarios. Simulating management scenarios using an existing spread model for 10 aquatic NIS in Ontario further emphasized the benefit of zero fees. Although averted invasions increased monotonically with effort (number of lakes with washing stations), the relative effectiveness (number of invasions averted per unit effort) was high even with management of a single lake, given zero fees, but required washing stations at far more lakes to maximize relative effectiveness when user fees were imposed.
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Acknowledgements
This work was supported by funding through the Canadian Aquatic Invasive Species Network, a Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council Discovery Grant to BL, and a University of Toronto Scarborough Post-doctoral Fellowship to DARD. We thank the members of Canada’s National Aquatic Invasive Species Committee for supplying information about boat inspection and washing programs. CC and BL conducted social surveys, designed the experiment, and developed the analytical approach. CC, DARD, and BL wrote the manuscript.
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Appendix
Appendix
Counterfactual survey administered to boaters in Ontario, Canada during January and February 2011: responses describe boating activity undertaken during 2010 season
Part 2: In order to reduce the spread of harmful invasive species, consider the following policy
Upon removing your boat from the lake, you would be required to pass your boat and trailer through a hull, trailer and gear cleaning station.
At this station, you would be required to:
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Empty all bilges and live wells
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Ensure that all ropes, fishing lines, propellers, and trailer parts are clear of any plants or animals
Time required to complete the cleaning process will vary depending on the size of your vessel, but it is estimated to take approximately 15 min.
The cost of this mandatory procedure is 2$.
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Chivers, C., Drake, D.A.R. & Leung, B. Economic effects and the efficacy of intervention: exploring unintended effects of management and policy on the spread of non-indigenous species. Biol Invasions 19, 1795–1810 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-017-1391-7
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10530-017-1391-7