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Trophic dynamics of shrinking Subarctic lakes: naturally eutrophic waters impart resilience to rising nutrient and major ion concentrations

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Abstract

Shrinking lakes were recently observed for several Arctic and Subarctic regions due to increased evaporation and permafrost degradation. Along with lake drawdown, these processes often boost aquatic chemical concentrations, potentially impacting trophic dynamics. In particular, elevated chemical levels may impact primary productivity, which may in turn influence populations of primary and secondary consumers. We examined trophic dynamics of 18 shrinking lakes of the Yukon Flats, Alaska, that had experienced pronounced increases in nutrient (>200 % total nitrogen, >100 % total phosphorus) and ion concentrations (>100 % for four major ions combined) from 1985–1989 to 2010–2012, versus 37 stable lakes with relatively little chemical change over the same period. We found that phytoplankton stocks, as indexed by chlorophyll concentrations, remained unchanged in both shrinking and stable lakes from the 1980s to 2010s. Moving up the trophic ladder, we found significant changes in invertebrate abundance across decades, including decreased abundance of five of six groups examined. However, these decadal losses in invertebrate abundance were not limited to shrinking lakes, occurring in lakes with stable surface areas as well. At the top of the food web, we observed that probabilities of lake occupancy for ten waterbird species, including adults and chicks, remained unchanged from the period 1985–1989 to 2010–2012. Overall, our study lakes displayed a high degree of resilience to multi-trophic cascades caused by rising chemical concentrations. This resilience was likely due to their naturally high fertility, such that further nutrient inputs had little impact on waters already near peak production.

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Acknowledgments

Funding was provided by the US Geological Survey (Alaska Science Center), US Fish and Wildlife Service (Yukon Flats National Wildlife Refuge), and US National Park Service. I. Isler, A. Simnor, C. Michaud, J. Rose, L. Payne, C. Parrish, M. Pfander, L. Marks, and C. Mandeville provided field assistance. J. R. Jones and D. Obrecht analyzed water samples at the University of Missouri—Columbia. Use of trade, product, or firm names in this publication is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the US Government.

Author contribution statement

T. L. L., P. J. H., and A. J. D. collected the data. T. L. L. analyzed the data and wrote the manuscript. P. J. H., M. S. L., J. A. S., and M. R. B. conceived and designed the research. J. H. S. developed mathematical models. A. J. D. processed the invertebrate samples. J. R. developed remote-sensing models.

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Correspondence to Tyler L. Lewis.

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Communicated by Ulrich Sommer.

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Lewis, T.L., Heglund, P.J., Lindberg, M.S. et al. Trophic dynamics of shrinking Subarctic lakes: naturally eutrophic waters impart resilience to rising nutrient and major ion concentrations. Oecologia 181, 583–596 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00442-016-3572-y

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