Skip to main content
Log in

On the association between spring Arctic sea ice concentration and Chinese summer rainfall: A further study

  • Published:
Advances in Atmospheric Sciences Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In our previous study, a statistical linkage between the spring Arctic sea ice concentration (SIC) and the succeeding Chinese summer rainfall during the period 1968–2005 was identified. This linkage is demonstrated by the leading singular value decomposition (SVD) that accounts for 19% of the co-variance. Both spring SIC and Chinese summer rainfall exhibit a coherent interannual variability and two apparent interdecadal variations that occurred in the late 1970s and the early 1990s. The combined impacts of both spring Arctic SIC and Eurasian snow cover on the summer Eurasian wave train may explain their statistical linkage. In this study, we show that evolution of atmospheric circulation anomalies from spring to summer, to a great extent, may explain the spatial distribution of spring and summer Arctic SIC anomalies, and is dynamically consistent with Chinese summer rainfall anomalies in recent decades. The association between spring Arctic SIC and Chinese summer rainfall on interannual time scales is more important relative to interdecadal time scales. The summer Arctic dipole anomaly may serve as the bridge linking the spring Arctic SIC and Chinese summer rainfall, and their coherent interdecadal variations may reflect the feedback of spring SIC variability on the atmosphere. The summer Arctic dipole anomaly shows a closer relationship with the Chinese summer rainfall relative to the Arctic Oscillation.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Aagaard, K., and E. C. Carmack, 1989: The role of sea ice and other freshwater in the Arctic circulation. J. Geophys. Res., 94, 305–311.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alexander, M. A., and Coauthors, 2004: The atmospheric response to realistic sea ice anomalies in an AGCM during winter. J. Climate, 17, 890–905.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bueh, C., and H. Nakamura, 2007: Scandinavian pattern and its climate impact. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 133, 2117–2131.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cavalieri, D. J., and C. L. Parkinson, 1987: On the relationship between atmospheric circulation and fluctuations in sea ice extents of the Bering and Okhotsk Seas. J. Geophys. Res., 92, 7141–7162.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chang, C.-P., Y. Zhang, and T. Li, 2000: Interannual and interdecadal variations of the East Asian summer monsoon and tropical Pacific SSTs. Part I: Roles of the subtropical ridge. J. Climate, 13, 4310–4325.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Deser, C., and M. L. Blackmon, 1993: Surface climate variations over the North Atlantic Ocean during winter: 1900–1989. J. Climate, 6, 1743–1754.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Deser, C., G. Magnusdottir, R. Saravanan, and A. Phillips, 2004: The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part II: Direct and indirect components of the response. J. Climate, 17, 877–889.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Deser, C., J. E. Walsh, and M. S. Timlin, 2000: Arctic sea ice variability in the context of recent atmospheric circulation trends. J. Climate, 13, 617–633.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ding, Y., and J. Chan, 2005: The East Asian summer monsoon: An overview. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 89, 117–142.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ding, Y., Z. Wang, and Y. Sun, 2007: Inter-decadal variation of the summer precipitation in East China and its association with decreased Asian summer monsoon. Part I: Observational evidences. International Journal of Climatology, 28, doi: 10.1002/joc.1615.

  • Fang, Z., and J. M. Wallace, 1994: Arctic sea ice variability on a timescale of weeks: Its relation to atmospheric forcing. J. Climate, 7, 1897–1913.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gong, D. Y., J. H. Zhu, and S. W. Wang, 2002: Significant correlation between spring AO and summer rainfall in the Yangtze River valley. Chinese Science Bulletin, 47, 546–549. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Honda, M., K. Yamazaki, Y. Tachibana, and K. Takeuchi, 1996: Influence of Okhotsk sea-ice extent on atmospheric circulation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 3595–3598.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hu, Z. Z., 1997: Inter-decadal variability of summer climate over East Asia and its association with 500 hPa height and global sea surface temperature. J. Geophys. Res., 102, 19403–19412.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ju, J. H., and J. Slingo, 1995: The Asian summer monsoon and ENSO. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 121, 1133–1168.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lazier, J., 1988: Temperature and salinity changes in the deep Labrador Sea 1962–1986. Deep-Sea Res., 35, 1247–1253.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lenderink, G., and R. J. Haarsma, 1996: Modeling convective transitions in the presence of sea ice. J. Phys. Oceanogr., 26, 1448–1467.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li, T., and B. Wang, 2005: A review on the western North Pacific monsoon: Synoptic-to-interannual variabilities. Terrestrial, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, 16, 285–314.

    Google Scholar 

  • Magnusdottir, G., C. Deser, and R. Saravanan, 2004: The effects of North Atlantic SST and sea ice anomalies on the winter circulation in CCM3. Part I: Main features and storm track characteristics of the response. J. Climate, 17, 857–876.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mauritzen, C., and S. Häkkinen, 1997: Influence of sea ice on the thermohaline circulation in the Arctic-North Atlantic Ocean. Geophys. Res. Lett., 24, 3257–3260.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mysak, L. A., and S. A. Venegas, 1998: Decadal climate oscillation in the Arctic: A new feedback loop for atmosphere-ice-ocean interactions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 25, 3607–3610.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Mysak, L. A., D. K. Manak, and R. F. Marsden, 1990: Sea-ice anomalies observed in the Greenland and Labrador Seas during 1901–1984 and their relation to an interdecadal Arctic climate cycle. Climate Dyn., 5, 111–133.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Niu, T., P. Zhao, and L. Chen, 2003: Effects of the sea-ice along the North Pacific on summer rainfall in China. Acta Meteorologica Sinica, 17, 52–64.

    Google Scholar 

  • North, G. R., T. L. Bell, R. F. Cahalan, and F. J. Moeng, 1982: Sampling errors in the estimation of EOFs. Mon. Wea. Rev., 110, 699–706.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Prinsenberg, S. J., I. K. Peterson, S. Narayanan, and J. U. Umoh, 1997: Interaction between atmosphere, ice cover, and ocean off Labrador and Newfoundland from 1962–1992. Canadian Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences, 54, 30–39.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rigor, I. G., J. M. Wallace, and R. L. Colony, 2002: Response of sea ice to the Arctic Oscillation. J. Climate, 15, 2648–2663.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sun, L. H., and X. F. Chen, 2003: Decade climate characters and formation condition of flooding in south China and drought in north China. J. Appl. Meteor. Sci., 14, 641–647.

    Google Scholar 

  • Tao, S., and L. Chen, 1987: A review of recent research on the East Asian summer monsoon in China. Monsoon Meteorology, C.-P. Chang and T. N. Krishnamurti, Eds., Oxford University Press, 60–92.

  • Thorndike, A. S., and R. Colony, 1982: Sea ice motion in response to geostrophic winds. J. Geophys. Res., 87, 5845–5852.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Vinje, T., 2001: Fram Strait ice fluxes and atmospheric circulation: 1950–2000. J. Climate, 14, 3508–3517.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, B., and T. Li, 2004: East Asian monsoon and ENSO interaction. East Asian Monsoon. World Scientific Publishing Company, C. P. Chang, Ed., 177–212.

  • Wang, B., R. Wu, and X. Fu, 2000: Pacific-East Asian teleconnection: How does ENSO affect East Asian climate? J. Climate, 13, 1517–1536.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, B., R. Wu, and K. Lau, 2001: Interannual variability of the Asian summer monsoon: Contrasts between the Indian and the western North Pacific-East Asian monsoon. J. Climate, 14, 4073–4090.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, B., R. Wu, and T. Li, 2003: Atmospherewarm Ocean interaction and its impact on Asian-Australian monsoon variation. J. Climate, 16, 1195–1211.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, B., I. S. Kang, and J. Y. Lee, 2004: Ensemble simulations of Asian-Australian monsoon variability by 11 AGCMs. J. Climate, 17, 803–818.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wang, B., Q. Ding, X. Fu, I. Kang, K. Jin, and J. Shukla, 2005: Fundamental challenge in simulation and precipitation of summer monsoon rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L15711, doi: 10.1029/2005GL022734.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Walsh, J. E., 1983: Role of sea ice in climate variability: Theories and evidence. Atmos.-Ocean, 21, 229–242.

    Google Scholar 

  • Weng, H., K.-M. Lau, and Y. Xue, 1999: Multi-scale summer rainfall variability over China and its long-term link to global sea surface temperature variability. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 77, 845–857.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wu, B., and M. A. Johnson, 2007: A seesaw structure in SLP anomalies between the Beaufort Sea and the Barents Sea. Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L05811, doi: 10.1029/2006GL028333.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, B., and R. Zhang, 2008: Arctic dipole anomaly and summer rainfall in northeast China. Chinese Science Bulletin, 53, 2222–2229.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, B., J. Wang, and J. Walsh, 2004: Possible feedback of winter sea ice in the Greenland and the Barents Sea on the local atmosphere. Mon. Wea. Rev., 132, 1968–1876.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wu, B., J. Wang, and J. Walsh, 2006: Dipole anomaly in the winter arctic atmosphere and its association with sea ice motion. J. Climate, 19, 210–225.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, B., R. Zhang, Y. Ding, and R. D’Arrigo, 2008: Distinct modes of the East Asian summer monsoon. J. Climate, 21, 1122–1138.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, B., K. Yang, and R. Zhang, 2009a: Eurasian snow cover variability and its association with summer rainfall in China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 26(1), 31–44, doi: 10.1007/s00376-009-0031-2.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, B., R. Zhang, B. Wang, and R. D’Arrigo, 2009b: On the association between spring Arctic sea ice concentration and Chinese summer rainfall. Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L09501, doi:10.1029/2009GL037299.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wu, R., and B. P. Kirtman, 2007: Observed relationship of spring and summer East Asian rainfall with winter and spring Eurasian snow. J. Climate, 20, 1285–1304.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yang, F., and K.-M., Lau, 2004: Trend and variability of China precipitation in spring and summer: Linkage to sea-surface temperature. International Journal of Climatology, 24, 1625–1644.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Yang, S., and L. Xu, 1994: Linkage between Eurasian winter snow cover and regional Chinese summer rainfall. International Journal of Climatology, 11, 3230–3246.

    Google Scholar 

  • Yang, S., K.-M. Lau, and K. M. Kim, 2002: Variations of the East Asian jet stream and Asian-Pacific-American winter climate anomalies. J. Climate, 15, 306–325.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, R., A. Sumi, and M. Kimoto, 1996: Impact of El Niño on the East Asian monsoon: A diagnostic study of the’ 86/87 and’ 91/92 events. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 74, 49–62.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zhang, R., A. Sumi, and M. Kimoto, 1999: A diagnostic study of the impacts of El Niño on the precipitation in China. Adv. Atmos. Sci., 16, 229–241.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhao, P., X. D. Zhang, X. J. Zhou, M. Ikeda, and Y. H. Yin, 2004: The sea ice extent anomaly in the North Pacific and its impact on the east Asian summer monsoon rainfall. J. Climate, 17, 3434–3447.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Bingyi Wu  (武炳义).

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Wu, B., Zhang, R. & Wang, B. On the association between spring Arctic sea ice concentration and Chinese summer rainfall: A further study. Adv. Atmos. Sci. 26, 666–678 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-009-9009-3

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00376-009-9009-3

Key words

Navigation