Skip to main content
Log in

Optimal sequential estimation procedures of a function of a probability of success under LINEX loss

  • Regular Article
  • Published:
Statistical Papers Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the problem of estimating a function g(p), where p is the probability of success in a sequential sample of independent identically Bernoulli distributed random variables. As a loss associated with estimation we introduce a generalized LINEX loss function. We construct a sequential procedure possessing some asymptotically optimal properties in the case when p tends to zero. In this approach to the problem, the conditions are given, under which the stopping time is asymptotically efficient and normal, and the corresponding sequential estimator is asymptotically normal. The procedure constructed guarantees that its sequential risk is asymptotically equal to a prescribed constant.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Alvo M (1977) Bayesian sequential estimates. Ann Stat 5(5): 955–968

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Anderson TW (1960) A modification of the sequential probability ratio test to reduce the sample size. Ann Math Stat 31: 165–197

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Braess D, Dette H (2004) The asymptotic minimax risk for the estimation of constrained binomial and multinomial probabilities. Sankhyā 66: 707–732

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Cabilio P (1977) Sequential estimation in Bernoulli trials. Ann Stat 5(2): 342–356

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Cabilio P, Robbins H (1975) Sequential estimation of p with squared relative error loss. Proc Nat Acad Sci USA 72: 191–193

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • DeGroot MH (1959) Unbiased sequential estimation for binomial populations. Ann Math Stat 30: 80–101

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Girshick MA, Mosteller F, Savage LJ (1946) Unbiased estimates for certain binomial sampling problems with applications. Ann Math Stat 17: 13–23

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Haldane JBS (1945) On a method of estimating frequencies. Biometrika 33: 222–225

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Hubert SL, Pyke R (1997) A particular application of Brownian motion to sequential analysis. Stat Sin 7(1):109–126, empirical Bayes, sequential analysis and related topics in statistics and probability (New Brunswick, NJ, 1995)

    Google Scholar 

  • Hubert SL, Pyke R (2000) Sequential estimation of functions of p for Bernoulli trials. In: Game theory, optimal stopping, probability and statistics. IMS lecture notes monograph series, vol 35. Inst Math Stat, Beachwood, OH, pp 263–294

  • Magiera R, Trybuła S (1976) Oblique plans for a binomial process (in Polish). Mat Stos 6(3): 41–47

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Robbins H, Siegmund D (1976) Sequential estimation of p in Bernoulli trials. In: Studies in probability and statistics (papers in honour of Edwin J. G. Pitman). North-Holland, Amsterdam, pp 103–107

  • Stein C (1945) A two-sample test for a linear hypothesis whose power is independent of the variance. Ann Math Stat 16: 243–258

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Täcklind S (1942) Sur le risque de ruine dans des jeux inéquitables. Skand Aktuarietidskr 25: 1–42

    MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ryszard Magiera.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Baran, J., Magiera, R. Optimal sequential estimation procedures of a function of a probability of success under LINEX loss. Stat Papers 51, 511–529 (2010). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00362-008-0137-0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00362-008-0137-0

Keywords

Navigation