1 Introduction

The neoclassical one-sector growth model with infinitely lived households has been widely used to study the causes and consequences of long-run growth and business cycles. Whereas the deterministic version of this model with inelastic labor supply has the property that all solutions converge monotonically to a unique interior steady state, this is not necessarily the case when labor supply is elastic and time is modeled as a discrete variable. De Hek (1998) provides both an example in which there exist multiple interior steady states and an example in which the optimal solution displays periodic oscillations. He concludes his paper by posing the question of “whether this model with leisure-dependent utility is able to generate more complex dynamics, in particular, chaos” (De Hek 1998, p. 270). Kamihigashi (2015) addresses the multiplicity of steady states in a more systematic way and proves that the model can have any finite number of steady states or even a continuum of steady states.

The purpose of the present paper is to conduct a similar systematic analysis of period-2 cycles and to provide an affirmative answer to the question by De Hek (1998) regarding more complicated dynamics. To this end, we first extend the results from De Hek (1998) by proving that, for any time-preference factor between 0 and 1, there exist a production function and an instantaneous utility function—both satisfying standard monotonicity and convexity assumptions—such that the resulting model admits a locally asymptotically stable optimal solution which is periodic with period 2. Furthermore, we construct a robust example of an economy for which there exists an optimal solution that has period 3. The existence of a solution with period 3 implies the existence of periodic solutions of all periods (see Sarkovskii 1964) as well as the occurrence of topological chaos (see Li and Yorke 1975).

The one-sector growth model with elastic labor supply forms the backbone of many modern dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models including real-business-cycle models and new Keynesian models. The standard approach to analyzing these models involves as its first step the specification of production functions and utility functions in parametric form. There are only a few classes of parametric families of functions that are used in quantitative macroeconomic research. In these specifications, it is typically the case that the utility function is additively separable with respect to consumption and leisure or that both the production function and the utility function are smooth with nonnegative cross-partial derivatives. We show that neither cycles nor chaos can be optimal under these assumptions. Moreover, the emergence of period-3 cycles requires unrealistically strong time preference as shown by Sorger (1994), Mitra (1996), and Nishimura and Yano (1996). Finally, we also point out that according to Hartl (1987) non-monotonic dynamics such as cycles and chaos are ruled out in the continuous-time version of the model.

The parametric families of production and utility functions mentioned in the previous paragraph form only a small subset of the set of those functions which satisfy the standard monotonicity and convexity assumptions on technology and preferences. Nevertheless, intuitive reasoning in the economics profession is highly influenced by models which use these parametric specifications. It is therefore of interest to find out which mechanisms are responsible for the periodic or even chaotic optimal solutions and which are therefore ruled out by the typical parametric specifications. De Hek (1998) links the occurrence of multiple steady states and cycles to the substitutability or complementarity, respectively, of consumption and leisure. Kamihigashi (2015), on the other hand, argues that normality of leisure is what rules out multiple steady states. The results and examples of the present paper support an intuitive explanation by income effects as in Kamihigashi (2015) rather than by substitution effects as in De Hek (1998). In particular, we believe that a strong and positive income effect on consumption combined with inferiority of leisure is the most plausible explanation of the non-monotonicity of optimal solutions.

The model studied in the present paper coincides with that analyzed by Kamihigashi (2015) but differs slightly from that used by De Hek (1998).Footnote 1 More specifically, we assume that output in period t is produced from investment made in period \(t-1\) and labor supplied in period t, whereas De Hek (1998) assumes that both factor inputs for period-t production are determined in period \(t-1\). We have chosen the present setting because we consider it to be more popular in macroeconomics than the one employed in De Hek (1998). It has to be emphasized, however, that for every result or example presented in this paper one can derive a corresponding result or example, respectively, using the timing assumption from De Hek (1998). In particular, deterministic chaos can also occur in the setting studied in De Hek (1998).

The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes the model and Sect. 3 presents and discusses the results and their implications. All proofs are given in “Appendix.”

2 The model

Time evolves in discrete periods \(t\in \mathbb {N}_0 =\{0,1,2,\ldots \}\). Let us denote by \(k_t\) and \(\ell _t\) the period-t factor inputs of capital and labor, respectively, and by \(f(k_t,\ell _t)\) the amount of output that is available in period t. This amount consists of output produced in period t plus non-depreciated capital from the previous period. The production function f satisfies the following assumption.

Assumption 1

  1. (i)

    The function \(f:\mathbb {R}_+\times [0,1]\mapsto \mathbb {R}_+\) is continuous, concave, homogeneous of degree 1, and continuously differentiable on \(\mathbb {R}_{++}\times (0,1]\).

  2. (ii)

    There exists \(\bar{k}>0\) such that \(f(\bar{k},1)=\bar{k}\).

  3. (iii)

    For every \(k>0\), it holds that \(f(k,\ell )\) is strictly increasing and strictly concave with respect to \(\ell \in [0,1]\).

  4. (iv)

    For every \(\ell \in (0,1]\), it holds that \(f(k,\ell )\) is strictly increasing and strictly concave with respect to \(k\in \mathbb {R}_+\).

Output can be used for consumption and for investment, and we denote by \(c_t\) the amount that is consumed in period t. A sequence \((k_t,\ell _t,c_t)_{t=0}^{+\infty }\) is called a feasible allocation if the conditions \(k_t\ge 0\), \(\ell _t\in [0,1]\), \(c_t\ge 0\), and

$$\begin{aligned} c_t+k_{t+1}=f(k_t,\ell _t) \end{aligned}$$
(1)

hold for all \(t\in \mathbb {N}_0 \).

Throughout the paper, we assume without further mentioning that the initial endowment of the economy with capital, \(k_0\), is such that \(k_0\in [0,\bar{k}]\). Together with Assumption 1, this implies that every feasible allocation satisfies \(k_t\in [0,\bar{k}]\) and \(c_t\in [0, \bar{k}]\) for all \(t\in \mathbb {N}_0 \). When we specify the preferences over allocations, we may therefore restrict the domain of the instantaneous utility function accordingly.

The economy is endowed with a single unit of time per period such that \(1-\ell _t\) denotes the time that is available for leisure. The preferences of the social planner are described by the welfare functional

$$\begin{aligned} \sum _{t=0}^{+\infty }\beta ^tu(c_t,1-\ell _t), \end{aligned}$$
(2)

where u is an instantaneous utility function depending on consumption and leisure and \(\beta \) is a time-preference factor.

Assumption 2

The function \(u:[0,\bar{k}]\times [0,1]\mapsto \mathbb {R}\) is continuous, strictly increasing, and strictly concave.

Assumption 3

It holds that \(\beta \in (0,1)\).

An economy is a triple \((f,u,\beta )\). Suppose that an economy \((f,u,\beta )\) and an initial capital endowment \(\kappa \in [0,\bar{k}]\) are given. A feasible allocation \((k_t,\ell _t,c_t)_{t=0}^{+\infty }\) is said to be interior if \((k_t,\ell _t,c_t)\in (0,\bar{k})\times (0,1)\times (0,\bar{k})\) holds for all \(t\in \mathbb {N}_0 \), and it is said to be optimal from \(\kappa \) if it maximizes the welfare functional (2) over all feasible allocations with the given initial capital endowment \(k_0=\kappa \). A feasible allocation \((k_t,\ell _t,c_t)_{t=0}^{+\infty }\) is called an optimal allocation for the economy \((f,u,\beta )\) if there exists an initial endowment \(\kappa \in [0,\bar{k}]\) such that \((k_t,\ell _t,c_t)_{t=0}^{+\infty }\) is an optimal allocation from \(\kappa \).

3 The results and their implications

In this section, we investigate under which conditions an economy \((f,u,\beta )\) admits optimal allocations which are periodic of period 2 or 3. We will also explain why the consideration of these two period lengths is important.

We start with the case of period 2. A feasible allocation \((k_t,\ell _t,c_t)_{t=0}^{+\infty }\) is said to be periodic of period 2 if there exist real numbers \(k_a\), \(k_b\), \(\ell _a\), \(\ell _b\), \(c_a\), and \(c_b\) such that \((k_i,\ell _i,c_i)\in [0,\bar{k}]\times [0,1]\times [0,\bar{k}]\) for \(i\in \{a,b\}\), \(k_a\ne k_b\), and

$$\begin{aligned} (k_t,\ell _t,c_t)=\left\{ \begin{array}{cl} (k_a,\ell _a,c_a)&{}\quad \text { if }t\equiv 0\text { mod }2,\\ (k_b,\ell _b,c_b)&{}\quad \text { if }t\equiv 1\text { mod }2\\ \end{array}\right. \end{aligned}$$
(3)

hold. It will be convenient to introduce the following notation:Footnote 2

$$\begin{aligned} F_a=f(k_a,\ell _a)+k_a-k_b-f_1(k_b,\ell _b)k_b-f_2(k_b,\ell _b)\ell _a,\\ F_b=f(k_b,\ell _b)+k_b-k_a-f_1(k_a,\ell _a)k_a-f_2(k_a,\ell _a)\ell _b. \end{aligned}$$

Theorem 1

Let f and \(\beta \) be given such that Assumptions 1 and 3 hold. Suppose furthermore that there exist real numbers \(k_a\), \(k_b\), \(\ell _a\), and \(\ell _b\) with \(k_a\ne k_b\) such that \((k_i,\ell _i)\in (0,\bar{k})\times (0,1)\) holds for \(i\in \{a,b\}\). The following two statements are equivalent:

  • (a) There exist an instantaneous utility function u satisfying Assumption 2 and a pair of real numbers \((c_a,c_b)\in (0,\bar{k})^2\) such that the periodic sequence defined by (3) is an optimal allocation for the economy \((f,u,\beta )\).

  • (b) It holds that

    $$\begin{aligned}&\beta ^2f_1(k_a,\ell _a)f_1(k_b,\ell _b)=1,\end{aligned}$$
    (4)
    $$\begin{aligned}&f(k_a,\ell _a)-k_b>0,\end{aligned}$$
    (5)
    $$\begin{aligned}&f(k_b,\ell _b)-k_a>0,\end{aligned}$$
    (6)
    $$\begin{aligned}&F_b+\beta f_1(k_a,\ell _a)F_a>0. \end{aligned}$$
    (7)

We will now show by means of an example that the conditions stated in part (b) of the theorem can be satisfied for any feasible value \(\beta \in (0,1)\) even if one restricts the technology to be of Cobb–Douglas form.

Example 1

Let \(\alpha \in (0,1)\) and \(\beta \in (0,1)\) be arbitrary constants and define

$$\begin{aligned} A=1/(\alpha \beta )>1. \end{aligned}$$

We consider a Cobb–Douglas production function of the form \(f(k,\ell )=Ak^\alpha \ell ^{1-\alpha }\). Moreover, let \(\gamma >1\) be given and assume that \(k_a=\gamma \ell _a\) and \(k_b=\gamma ^{-1}\ell _b\). These definitions imply that \(f_1(k_a,\ell _a)=\alpha A\gamma ^{\alpha -1}\), \(f_1(k_b,\ell _b)=\alpha A\gamma ^{1-\alpha }\),

$$\begin{aligned} F_a=[A\gamma ^\alpha +\gamma -(1-\alpha )A\gamma ^{-\alpha }]\ell _a-(\gamma ^{-1}+\alpha A\gamma ^{-\alpha })\ell _b, \end{aligned}$$

and

$$\begin{aligned} F_b=[A\gamma ^{-\alpha }+\gamma ^{-1}-(1-\alpha )A\gamma ^\alpha ]\ell _b-(\gamma +\alpha A\gamma ^\alpha )\ell _a. \end{aligned}$$

Because of \(A=1/(\alpha \beta )\), it follows immediately that condition (4) is satisfied. It remains to be shown that one can find \(\gamma >1\) such that (5)–(7) hold. Using the above expressions, we can rewrite these three inequalities as

$$\begin{aligned}&A\gamma ^\alpha \ell _a>\gamma ^{-1}\ell _b,\end{aligned}$$
(8)
$$\begin{aligned}&A\gamma ^{-\alpha }\ell _b>\gamma \ell _a,\end{aligned}$$
(9)
$$\begin{aligned}&T_a(\gamma )\ell _b<T_b(\gamma )\ell _a, \end{aligned}$$
(10)

where

$$\begin{aligned} T_a(\gamma )=(1-\alpha )A\gamma ^\alpha +\gamma ^{\alpha -2}-(1-\alpha A)\gamma ^{-1}-A\gamma ^{-\alpha } \end{aligned}$$

and

$$\begin{aligned} T_b(\gamma )=(1-\alpha A)\gamma ^\alpha +A\gamma ^{2\alpha -1}-(1-\alpha )A\gamma ^{-1}-\gamma . \end{aligned}$$

Because of \(A>1\), it follows that the two inequalities in (8)–(9) determine a non-empty conical area in \((\ell _a,\ell _b)\)-space, the lower boundary of which is formed by the ray \(\ell _b=A^{-1}\gamma ^{1+\alpha }\ell _a\) and the upper boundary by the ray \(\ell _b=A\gamma ^{1+\alpha }\ell _a\). Using \(A=1/(\alpha \beta )\), \(\alpha \in (0,1)\), and \(\beta \in (0,1)\), it is straightforward to verify that \(T^{\prime }_i(1)>0=T_i(1)\) holds for \(i\in \{a,b\}\). Obviously, this implies that both \(T_a(\gamma )\) and \(T_b(\gamma )\) are strictly positive, provided that \(\gamma \) is strictly greater than but sufficiently close to 1. Consequently, there exists a pair \((\ell _a,\ell _b)\in (0,1)^2\) such that the three inequalities (8)–(10) are simultaneously satisfied, provided that \(T_b(\gamma )/T_a(\gamma )>A^{-1}\gamma ^{1+\alpha }\). The latter condition can be expressed as

$$\begin{aligned} Z(\gamma )= & {} (1-\alpha -\alpha A+A^{-1})\gamma ^\alpha +(A-A^{-1})\gamma ^{2\alpha -1}-(1-\alpha )A\gamma ^{-1}\\&-(1-\alpha )\gamma ^{1+2\alpha }>0. \end{aligned}$$

We have \(Z(1)=0\) and

$$\begin{aligned} Z'(1)=-\alpha ^2 A+\alpha ^2-\alpha A^{-1}+\alpha A+A^{-1}-1=(1-\alpha )(1-\beta )(1-\alpha \beta )/\beta >0, \end{aligned}$$

where we have once more used \(A=1/(\alpha \beta )\), \(\alpha \in (0,1)\), and \(\beta \in (0,1)\). Obviously, this implies that \(Z(\gamma )>0\) holds for \(\gamma \) greater than but sufficiently close to 1. Hence, we have demonstrated that, for every time-preference factor \(\beta \in (0,1)\), there exist a Cobb–Douglas production function f and numbers \(k_a\), \(k_b\), \(\ell _a\), \(\ell _b\) with \(k_a\ne k_b\) such that condition (b) of Theorem 1 holds.

Together with Theorem 1, the above example gives rise to the following corollary.

Corollary 1

For every \(\beta \in (0,1)\), there exist a Cobb–Douglas production function f and an instantaneous utility function u satisfying Assumption 2 such that the economy \((f,u,\beta )\) admits an optimal allocation which is periodic of period 2.

In “Appendix,” we show that the periodic optimal allocations constructed in Example 1 are locally asymptotically stable, provided that the utility function u is chosen appropriately. Hence, our results are more general than those in De Hek (1998) as they guarantee the existence of locally asymptotically stable optimal allocations of period 2 for all time-preference factors \(\beta \in (0,1)\).

Even if Corollary 1 demonstrates that periodic optimal allocations can exist under a typical parametric specification of the production function (namely Cobb–Douglas), it does not say anything about the properties of the utility function that give rise to such an outcome. Our next result identifies two conditions that rule out the optimality of periodic allocations.

Theorem 2

Consider an economy \((f,u,\beta )\) satisfying Assumptions 13 and suppose that there exist real numbers \(k_a\), \(k_b\), \(\ell _a\), \(\ell _b\), \(c_a\), and \(c_b\) satisfying \(k_a\ne k_b\) and \((k_i,\ell _i,c_i)\in (0,\bar{k})\times (0,1)\times (0,\bar{k})\) for \(i\in \{a,b\}\) such that the periodic sequence defined by (3) is an optimal allocation for the economy \((f,u,\beta )\). Then neither of the following two statements is true:

  • (a) There exist functions \(v:[0,\bar{k}]\mapsto \mathbb {R}\) and \(q:[0,1]\mapsto \mathbb {R}\) such that \(u(c,1-\ell )=v(c)+q(1-\ell )\) holds for all \((c,\ell )\in [0,\bar{k}]\times [0,1]\) and such that v and q are locally differentiable at \(c_i\) and \(1-\ell _i\), respectively, for both \(i\in \{a,b\}\).

  • (b) The functions f and u are twice continuously differentiable with \(f_{12}(k,\ell )\ge 0\) and \(u_{12}(c,1-\ell )\ge 0\) for all \((k,\ell ,c)\in (0,\bar{k}]\times (0,1)\times (0,\bar{k}]\).

Theorem 2(a) is related to corollary 2 in Kamihigashi (2015), which shows that in the case of an additively separable utility function the model admits at most one interior steady state. Theorem 2(b) is related both to proposition 1 in Kamihigashi (2015) and to proposition 2.4 in De Hek (1998). To explain these relationships, first note that \(u_{12}(c,1-\ell )\ge 0\) for all \((c,\ell )\in (0,\bar{k})\times (0,1)\) is a sufficient condition for the normality of both consumption and leisure. This observation provides the link to proposition 1 in Kamihigashi (2015), which is directly derived from the assumption of normality of leisure. The connection to proposition 2.4 in De Hek (1998) becomes clear by noting that De Hek (1998) assumes that output in period t is produced from labor supplied in period \(t-1\), whereas we assume that output in period t requires labor input in the same period t. This difference in timing has the effect that Theorem 2(b) above requires a nonnegative cross-partial derivative \(u_{12}(c,1-\ell )\), whereas De Hek (1998) can rule out periodic optimal allocations in the case where \(u_{12}(c,1-\ell )\le 0\) holds.

Since most of the parametric families of production and utility functions used in quantitative macroeconomic models satisfy at least one of the two properties mentioned in Theorem 2, we cannot expect to find familiar closed-form utility functions that allow periodic optimal allocations. In the proof of Theorem 1, we construct the utility function as the pointwise minimum of two quadratic polynomials in consumption and leisure. Properties of such a utility function (in addition to those that are imposed by Assumption 2) are hard to characterize. The advantage of the construction in the proof of Theorem 1 is that it can easily be modified to find economies with optimal allocations of any period, see Theorem 3 and the ensuing discussion. In the present case of an optimal allocation of period 2, however, there does indeed exist a simpler construction which results in a quadratic utility function. We illustrate this construction in the following example, which will also be helpful to understand the mechanisms that are responsible for the optimality of periodic allocations.Footnote 3

Example 2

As in Example 1, we assume \(f(k,\ell )=Ak^\alpha \ell ^{1-\alpha }\), \(A=1/(\alpha \beta )\), \(k_a=\gamma \ell _a\), and \(k_b=\gamma ^{-1}\ell _b\), where \(\gamma >1\). Let us fix the parameter values \(\alpha =\beta =1/2\), from which it follows that \(A=4\) and \(\bar{k}=16\). Furthermore, we set \(\ell _a=1/2\) and \(\ell _b=1/3\). We know from Example 1 that, whenever \(\gamma \) is sufficiently close to 1, there exist a utility function u satisfying Assumption 2 and consumption values \(c_a\) and \(c_b\) such that the economy \((f,u,\beta )\) admits the optimal allocation defined by \((k_a,\ell _a,c_a)\) and \((k_b,\ell _b,c_b)\). We shall now demonstrate that the quadratic utility function

$$\begin{aligned} u(c,1-\ell )=p_1c+p_2(1-\ell )+\frac{p_{11}c^2}{2}+p_{12}c(1-\ell )+\frac{p_{22}(1-\ell )^2}{2} \end{aligned}$$
(11)

does the trick, provided that the coefficients \(p_1\), \(p_2\), \(p_{11}\), \(p_{12}\), and \(p_{22}\) are chosen appropriately.

Using the above specifications and defining \(z=\gamma ^{1/2}\), we have

$$\begin{aligned}&k_a=\frac{z^2}{2},\quad \ell _a=\frac{1}{2} ,\quad c_a=2z-\frac{1}{3z^2},\quad k_b=\frac{1}{3z^2},\quad \ell _b=\frac{1}{3},\quad c_b=\frac{4}{3z}-\frac{z^2}{2},\nonumber \\&\quad f(k_a,\ell _a)=2z,\quad f(k_b,\ell _b)=\frac{4}{3z}, \end{aligned}$$
(12)

and

$$\begin{aligned} f_1(k_a,\ell _a)=f_2(k_b,\ell _b)=\frac{2}{z}\,,\;f_2(k_a,\ell _a)=f_1(k_b,\ell _b)=2z. \end{aligned}$$
(13)

Substituting (11)–(13) into conditions (42)–(45) in “Appendix,” we obtain four equations for the five undetermined coefficients \(p_1\), \(p_2\), \(p_{11}\), \(p_{12}\), and \(p_{22}\). One set of values satisfying these equations is given by

$$\begin{aligned} p_1= & {} \frac{21}{20},\\ p_2= & {} \frac{40-162z-8z^2-240z^3+412z^4+3z^5}{20z^3},\\ p_{11}= & {} \frac{3z(60-59z)}{10(8+24z-48z^3-9z^4)},\\ p_{12}= & {} \frac{3(40-42z-8z^2-240z^3+252z^4+3z^5)}{10z(8+24z-48z^3-9z^4)},\\ p_{22}= & {} -\frac{3P(z)}{10z^3(8+24z-48z^3-9z^4)}, \end{aligned}$$

where

$$\begin{aligned} P(z)= & {} 80-84z-1312z^2-1024z^3+1208z^4+3564z^5+2928z^6-4224z^7\\&-\,1152z^8-9z^9. \end{aligned}$$

It is straightforward to verify that the function u in (11) satisfies Assumption 2 whenever \(z>1\) is chosen sufficiently close to 1. The optimality of the periodic allocation defined by \((k_a,\ell _a,c_a)\) and \((k_b,\ell _b,c_b)\) for such a value of z follows now directly from the fact that (42)–(45) hold and from Lemma 1 in “Appendix.”

Let us try to develop some intuition for the emergence of non-monotonic dynamics in the one-sector growth model with elastic labor supply. De Hek (1998) attributes this phenomenon to consumption and labor being complements. What he means by that is the property that \(u_{12}(c,1-\ell )>0\) holds.Footnote 4 As we have pointed out before, the different timing assumption in our model would then mean that periodic optimal allocations require consumption and leisure to be substitutes in the sense of \(u_{12}(c,1-\ell )<0\), which is indeed consistent with Theorem 2. This property alone, however, does not seem to be the whole explanation. To explain our reasoning, consider Example 2 in the limit as \(z=\gamma ^{1/2}\) approaches 1. The utility function and the allocation in this limit are as follows:Footnote 5

$$\begin{aligned}&u(c,1-\ell )=\frac{21c}{20}+\frac{9(1-\ell )}{4}-\frac{3c^2}{500}-\frac{3c(1-\ell )}{50}-\frac{3(1-\ell )^2}{20}, \end{aligned}$$
(14)
$$\begin{aligned}&k_a=\frac{1}{2},\quad \ell _a=\frac{1}{2},\quad c_a=\frac{5}{3},\quad k_b=\frac{1}{3},\quad \ell _b=\frac{1}{3},\quad c_b=\frac{5}{6},\end{aligned}$$
(15)
$$\begin{aligned}&f(k_a,\ell _a)=2,\quad f(k_b,\ell _b)=\frac{4}{3},\end{aligned}$$
(16)
$$\begin{aligned}&f_1(k_a,\ell _a)=f_2(k_a,\ell _a)=f_1(k_b,\ell _b)=f_2(k_b,\ell _b)=2. \end{aligned}$$
(17)

First note from (17) that the marginal products \(f_1(k_t,\ell _t)\) and \(f_2(k_t,\ell _t)\) are constant along the periodic allocation. In a competitive equilibrium interpretation of the model, these marginal products correspond to the factor prices. The fact that the factor prices are constant along the allocation suggests that neither intertemporal nor intratemporal substitution effects are responsible for the non-monotonic dynamics. As we will argue now, it is much more plausible that income effects play a major role. Given the quadratic utility function in (14), it is easy to compute the corresponding demand functions which maximize \(u(c,1-\ell )\) subject to the budget constraint \(c+\omega (1-\ell )\le y\), where y denotes income and \(\omega \) is the price of leisure relative to consumption. In the current model, we know that the relative price \(\omega \) must be equal to the marginal product of labor, that is, \(\omega =f_2(k,\ell )\). We see from (17) that this relative price is constant and equal to 2 along the periodic allocation under consideration. Because the utility function is quadratic, the demand functions are linear in income y, and the coefficients of y in the demand functions for consumption or leisure measure the effects of income changes on the demand for the respective good. In the demand function for consumption, this coefficient is equal to 5/3, whereas in the demand function for leisure it is \(-1/3\). We therefore see that leisure is an inferior good. What is more important, however, is that consumption reacts very strongly to income changes. Now consider the periodic optimal allocation in (15). If the economy is in state a with the high capital stock \(k_a=1/2\), income is high as well, namely \(f(k_a,\ell _a)=2\). Due to the strong income effect on consumption, consumption in state a is \(c_a=5/3\), which corresponds to more than 83 % of income. This, in turn, means that households save very little and that next period’s capital stock and income are low, namely \(k_b=1/3\) and \(f(k_b,\ell _b)=4/3\). The strong (positive) income effect on consumption implies that consumption in state b is \(c_b=5/6\), a mere 62.5 % of income. The corresponding high investment brings the capital stock back up to \(k_a=1/2\), and the same process repeats itself. Inferiority of leisure amplifies the fluctuations, because it leads to high (low) labor input in periods with high (low) capital. We believe that these mechanisms, which are clearly visible in Example 2, are also the main driving forces for the non-monotonicity of allocations in the general model.

Let us now turn to the case of period 3. A feasible allocation \((k_t,\ell _t,c_t)_{t=0}^{+\infty }\) is periodic of period 3 if there exist real numbers \(k_a\), \(k_b\), \(k_c\), \(\ell _a\), \(\ell _b\), \(\ell _c\), \(c_a\), \(c_b\), and \(c_c\) such that \(k_a\), \(k_b\), and \(k_c\) are mutually different from each other and such that

$$\begin{aligned} (k_t,\ell _t,c_t)=\left\{ \begin{array}{cl} (k_a,\ell _a,c_a)&{}\quad \text { if }t\equiv 0\text { mod }3,\\ (k_b,\ell _b,c_b)&{}\quad \text { if }t\equiv 1\text { mod }3,\\ (k_c,\ell _c,c_c)&{}\quad \text { if }t\equiv 2\text { mod }3 \end{array}\right. \end{aligned}$$
(18)

holds. Given such an allocation, we define

$$\begin{aligned}&F_{ac}=f(k_a,\ell _a)+k_c-k_b-f_1(k_b,\ell _b)k_b-f_2(k_b,\ell _b)\ell _a,\\&F_{ba}=f(k_b,\ell _b)+k_a-k_c-f_1(k_c,\ell _c)k_c-f_2(k_c,\ell _c)\ell _b,\\&F_{cb}=f(k_c,\ell _c)+k_b-k_a-f_1(k_a,\ell _a)k_a-f_2(k_a,\ell _a)\ell _c,\\&F_{aa}=f(k_a,\ell _a)+k_a-k_b-f_1(k_c,\ell _c)k_c-f_2(k_c,\ell _c)\ell _a,\\&F_{bb}=f(k_b,\ell _b)+k_b-k_c-f_1(k_a,\ell _a)k_a-f_2(k_a,\ell _a)\ell _b,\\&F_{cc}=f(k_c,\ell _c)+k_c-k_a-f_1(k_b,\ell _b)k_b-f_2(k_b,\ell _b)\ell _c. \end{aligned}$$

Theorem 3

Let f and \(\beta \) be given such that Assumptions 1 and 3 hold. Suppose furthermore that there exist real numbers \(k_a\), \(k_b\), \(k_c\), \(\ell _a\), \(\ell _b\), and \(\ell _c\) such that \(k_a\ne k_b\), \(k_b\ne k_c\), \(k_a\ne k_c\), and \((k_i,\ell _i)\in (0,\bar{k})\times (0,1)\) hold for \(i\in \{a,b,c\}\). The following two statements are equivalent:

  • (a) There exist an instantaneous utility function u satisfying Assumption 2 and a triple of real numbers \((c_a,c_b,c_c)\in (0,\bar{k})^3\) such that the periodic sequence defined by (18) is an optimal allocation for the economy \((f,u,\beta )\).

  • (b) It holds that

    $$\begin{aligned}&\beta ^3f_1(k_a,\ell _a)f_1(k_b,\ell _b)f_1(k_c,\ell _c)=1,\end{aligned}$$
    (19)
    $$\begin{aligned}&f(k_a,\ell _a)-k_b>0,\end{aligned}$$
    (20)
    $$\begin{aligned}&f(k_b,\ell _b)-k_c>0,\end{aligned}$$
    (21)
    $$\begin{aligned}&f(k_c,\ell _c)-k_a>0,\end{aligned}$$
    (22)
    $$\begin{aligned}&\beta ^2f_1(k_a,\ell _a)f_1(k_c,\ell _c)F_{ac}+F_{bb}>0,\end{aligned}$$
    (23)
    $$\begin{aligned}&\beta f_1(k_c,\ell _c)F_{cc}+F_{ba}>0,\end{aligned}$$
    (24)
    $$\begin{aligned}&\beta f_1(k_a,\ell _a)F_{aa}+F_{cb}>0,\end{aligned}$$
    (25)
    $$\begin{aligned}&\beta ^2f_1(k_a,\ell _a)f_1(k_c,\ell _c)F_{cc}+\beta f_1(k_a,\ell _a)F_{aa}+F_{bb}>0,\end{aligned}$$
    (26)
    $$\begin{aligned}&\beta ^2f_1(k_a,\ell _a)f_1(k_c,\ell _c)F_{ac}+\beta f_1(k_a,\ell _a)F_{ba}+F_{cb}>0. \end{aligned}$$
    (27)

Having derived the necessary and sufficient conditions on f and \(\beta \) for the existence of an economy \((f,u,\beta )\) that admits an interior optimal allocation of period 3, we now show by means of an example that these conditions can be satisfied even if we restrict the technology to be of the Cobb–Douglas variety.Footnote 6

Example 3

We specify the production function by \(f(k,\ell )=Ak^\alpha \ell ^{1-\alpha }\) with \(\alpha =1/3\) and the time-preference factor by \(\beta =7/20\). Furthermore, we choose the allocation variables \(k_a=1507\), \(k_b=2143\), \(k_c=3200\), \(\ell _a=2/5\), \(\ell _b=57/100\), and \(\ell _c=21/25\). The productivity parameter A is determined in such a way that (19) holds, which yields \(A\approx 2079\). With these specifications, it is straightforward to verify that conditions (20)–(27) are satisfied.Footnote 7 In particular, consumption is given by \(c_a\approx 10800\), \(c_b\approx 15231\), and \(c_c\approx 25774\). Note that the periodic optimal allocation is apparently not close to a steady state because the coefficients of variation of capital, labor, and consumption along the allocation are between 30 and 40 %.

From Theorem 3 and Example 3, we obtain the following corollary.

Corollary 2

There exist a Cobb–Douglas production function f, an instantaneous utility function u satisfying Assumption 2, and a time-preference factor \(\beta \) satisfying Assumption 3 such that the economy \((f,u,\beta )\) admits an optimal allocation which is periodic of period 3.

To explain the implications of the above results, let an economy \((f,u,\beta )\) be given such that Assumptions 13 hold. It follows from standard results on dynamic programmingFootnote 8 that, for every initial capital endowment \(\kappa \in [0,\bar{k}]\), there exists a unique optimal allocation from \(\kappa \). Moreover, there exists a continuous function \(h:[0,\bar{k}]\mapsto [0,\bar{k}]\) such that the set of all capital sequences corresponding to optimal allocations for the economy \((f,u,\beta )\) coincides with the set of all trajectories of the difference equation

$$\begin{aligned} k_{t+1}=h(k_t)\;\text { for all }t\in \mathbb {N}_0 \end{aligned}$$
(28)

which start in initial states \(k_0\in [0,\bar{k}]\). Equation (28) says that the capital stocks in every optimal allocation form a trajectory of a continuous dynamical system defined on the one-dimensional compact state space \([0,\bar{k}]\). When the economy \((f,u,\beta )\) admits an optimal allocation of period 3, it follows that the corresponding difference Eq. (28) has a periodic trajectory with period 3. Continuous dynamical systems which are defined on a one-dimensional state space, such as (28), are very well studied, and it is known that the existence of periodic solutions with period 3 has strong implications.Footnote 9 First, according to Sarkovskii (1964) it follows that a difference equation that admits a periodic solution of period 3 admits periodic solutions of all periods \(p\in \mathbb {N}\). Second, according to Li and Yorke (1975), the existence of a periodic solution of period 3 implies that the dynamical system (28) exhibits topological chaos. This means in particular that there exists an uncountable set S of initial capital endowments such that the unique optimal allocation emanating from any \(\kappa \in S\) is neither periodic nor asymptotically periodic and that, for any pair \(\{\kappa ,\kappa ^{\prime }\}\subseteq S\), the two optimal allocations starting in \(\kappa \) and \(\kappa ^{\prime }\), respectively, become arbitrarily close to each other without converging to each other. Hence, Corollary 2 proves that the neoclassical one-sector growth model with elastic labor supply can generate very complicated dynamics and that its optimal allocations can display sensitive dependence on initial conditions.

One consequence of Sarkovskii (1964) is that any economy \((f,u,\beta )\) that admits an optimal allocation of period 3 must also admit an optimal allocation of period 2. Hence, it follows from Theorem 2 that such an economy can have neither an additively separable utility function nor smooth production and utility functions with nonnegative cross-partial derivatives. Moreover, whereas we could establish the existence of optimal allocations of period 2 for any feasible time-preference factor \(\beta \in (0,1)\), this is not possible in the case of optimal allocations of period 3. This follows from Mitra (1996) and Nishimura and Yano (1996), who have shown in a more general context that an optimal allocation with period 3 can only exist if \(\beta <(3-\sqrt{5})/2\approx 0.38\).

The mechanisms that generate chaotic dynamics in the present model are most likely the same ones that are responsible for the emergence of periodic allocations of period 2, namely strong income effects. These are consistent with the standard Assumptions 13, but they do not occur when production and utility functions are parameterized as it is commonly done in quantitative macroeconomic studies. In the constructive proof of Theorem 3, we define the utility function u as the minimum of three quadratic polynomials, which does not lend itself to intuitive interpretations. The simpler construction used in Example 2 does not work in the present setting because a quadratic polynomial has only five parameters, which leaves too few degrees of freedom to satisfy the six equations stated in (69)–(74).

We have imposed smoothness of the production function f in Assumption 1 but have not made an analogous assumption on the instantaneous utility function u. The reason is that the function u employed in the constructive proofs of Theorems 1 and 3, respectively, is the minimum of finitely many smooth polynomials. This function is not differentiable along the one-dimensional manifolds at which the graphs of the polynomials intersect. It is possible, however, to replace the function u in these proofs by a smooth function satisfying Assumption 2 without violating any of the first-order conditions. This is the case because the first-order conditions involve the partial derivatives of the function u only at the (two or three) points along the allocation, and because these points are separated from the manifolds along which the non-differentiability occurs. Thus, the two theorems would remain true if we were to strengthen Assumption 2 by imposing smoothness of the instantaneous utility function.

Finally let us point out that non-monotonic allocations such as periodic and chaotic ones cannot occur in a continuous-time version of the model such as the one underlying Benhabib and Farmer (1994) or Sorger (2000). This is the case because strict concavity of the utility function would imply the uniqueness of an optimal allocation from any given initial value \(\kappa \) and because continuous-time dynamic optimization problems with a single state variable and unique optimal solutions cannot have non-monotonic optimal solutions (see, Hartl 1987). Thus, whereas the results about the possible multiplicity of steady states derived by Kamihigashi (2015) hold essentially unchanged if time varies continuously, our existence results for periodic optimal allocations have no counterpart in the continuous-time setting.