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Test by adaptive LASSO quantile method for real-time detection of a change-point

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Abstract

This article proposes a test statistic based on the adaptive LASSO quantile method to detect in real-time a change in a linear model. The model can have a large number of explanatory variables and the errors don’t satisfy the classical assumptions for a statistical model. For the proposed test statistic, the asymptotic distribution under \(H_0\) is obtained and the divergence under \(H_1\) is shown. It is shown via Monte Carlo simulations, in terms of empirical sizes, of empirical powers and of stopping time detection, that the useful test statistic for applications is better than other test statistics proposed in literature. Two applications on the air pollution and in the health field data are also considered.

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Acknowledgements

The author sincerely thanks the two anonymous referees, the Editor and the Associate Editor for their valuable comments which improved the quality of the paper.

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Correspondence to Gabriela Ciuperca.

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Ciuperca, G. Test by adaptive LASSO quantile method for real-time detection of a change-point. Metrika 81, 689–720 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-018-0676-x

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-018-0676-x

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