Abstract
Here we consider the record data from the two-parameter of bathtub-shaped distribution. First, we develop simplified forms for the single moments, variances and covariance of records. These distributional properties are quite useful in obtaining the best linear unbiased estimators of the location and scale parameters which can be included in the model. The estimation of the unknown shape parameters and prediction of the future unobserved records based on some observed ones are discussed. Frequentist and Bayesian analyses are adopted for conducting the estimation and prediction problems. The likelihood method, moment based method, bootstrap methods as well as the Bayesian sampling techniques are applied for the inference problems. The point predictors and credible intervals of future record values based on an informative set of records can be developed. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare the so developed methods and one real data set is analyzed for illustrative purposes.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Ahmed EA (2014) Bayesian estimation based on progressive Type-II censoring from two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime model: an Markov chain Monte Carlo approach. J Appl Stat 41:752–768
Arnold BC, Balakrishnan N, Nagaraja HN (1998) Records. Wiley, New York
Asgharzadeh A, Abdi M, Wu SJ (2015) Interval estimation for the two-parameter bathub-shaped lifetime distribution based on records. Hacettepe J Math Stat 44(2):399–416
Asgharzadeh A, Fallah A, Raqab MZ, Valiollahi R (2016) Statistical inference based on Lindley record data. Statistical Papers. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00362-016-0788-1
Basak P, Balakrishnan N (2003) Maximum likelihood prediction of future record statistic. In: Lindquist BH, Doksum KA (eds) Mathematical and statistical methods in reliability, vol 7. Series on quality, reliability and engineering statistics. World Scientific Publishing, Singapore, pp 159–175
Casella G, Berger RL (2002) Statistical inference, 2nd edn. Duxbury, Belmont
Castellanos ME, Cabras S (2007) A default Bayesian procedure for the generalized Pareto distribution. J Stat Plan Inference 137:473–483
Chen Z (2000) A new two-parameter lifetime distribution with bathtub shape or increasing failure rate function. Stat Probab Lett 49:155–161
Chen MH, Shao QM (1999) Monte Carlo estimation of Bayesian credible and HPD intervals. J Comput Graph Stat 8:69–92
Devroye L (1984) A simple algorithm for generating random variates with a log-concave density. Computing 33:247–257
Gradshteyn IS, Ryzhik IM (2015) In: Zwillinger D (ed) Table of integrals series and products, 8th edn. Academic Press, San Diego
Gulati S, Padgett WJ (2003) Parametric and nonparametric inference from record-breaking data. Springer, New York
Kaminsky MP, Krivtsov VV (2005) A simple procedure for Bayesian estimation of the Weibull distribution. IEEE Trans Reliab 54:612–616
Kayal T, Tripathi YM, Singh DP, Rastogi MK (2016) Estimation and prediction for Chen distribution with bathtub shape under progressive censoring. J Stat Comput Simul 87(2):348–366
Lawless JF (2002) Statistical models and methods for lifetime data, 2nd edn. Wiley, New York
Lehmann EL, Casella G (1998) Theory of point estimation, 2nd edn. Springer, New York
Nadarajah S (2008) A review of results on sums of random variables. Acta Applicandae Mathematicae 103:131–140
Nadarajah S, Kotz S (2007) The two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution. Qual Reliab Eng Int 23:279–280
Natural Environment Research Council (1975) Flood studies report. Water Environment Research Council, London
Raqab MZ, Bdair OM, Madi MT, Alqallaf FA (2017) Prediction of the remaining testing time for the generalized Pareto progressive censoring samples with applications to extreme hydrology events. J Stat Theory Pract. https://doi.org/10.1080/15598608.2017.1338168
Rastogi MK, Tripathi YM, Wu SJ (2012) Estimating the parameters of a bathtub-shaped distribution under progressive type II censoring. J Appl Stat 39:2389–2411
Sarhan AM, Hamilton DC, Smith B (2012) Parameter estimation for a two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution. Appl Math Model 36(11):5380–5392
Sarhan AM, Smith B, Hamilton DC (2015) Estimation of \(P(Y < X)\) for a two-parameter bathtub shaped failure rate distribution. Int J Stat Probab 4(2):33–45
Selim MA (2012) Bayesian estimations from the two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution based on record values. Pak J Stat Oper Res VIII(2):155–165
Shoaee S, Khorram E (2015) Stress-strength reliability of a two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution based on progressively censored samples. Commun Stat Theory Methods 44(24):5306–5328
Tarvirdizade B, Ahmadpour M (2016) Estimation of the stress-strength reliability for the two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution based on upper record values. Stat Methodol 31:58–72
Tierney L (1994) Markov chains for exploring posterior distributions. Ann Stat 22:1701–1728
Wu SJ (2008) Estimation of the two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution with progressive censoring. J Appl Stat 35(10):1139–1150
Wu JW, Lu HL, Chen CH, Wu CH (2004) Statistical inference about the shape parameter of the new two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution. Qual Reliab Eng Int 20:607–616
Wu SF, Wu CC, Chou CH, Lin HM (2011) Statistical inferences of a two-parameter distribution with the bathtub shape based on progressive censored sample. J Stat Comput Simul 81:315–329
Xie M, Tang Y, Goh TN (2002) A modified Weibull extension with bathtub-shaped failure rate function. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 76:276–285
Acknowledgements
This research project was funded by the Deanship of Scientific Research (DSR), King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, under Grant No. (22-135-35-HiCi). The authors, therefore, acknowledge with thanks DSR technical and financial support. The authors also thank the editor and referees for their comments and helpful suggestions which helped to improve the presentation.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Raqab, M.Z., Bdair, O.M. & Al-Aboud, F.M. Inference for the two-parameter bathtub-shaped distribution based on record data. Metrika 81, 229–253 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-017-0641-0
Received:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00184-017-0641-0
Keywords
- Bayesian estimation and prediction
- Gibbs and Metropolis sampling
- Importance sampling
- Maximum likelihood estimation
- Records
- Two-parameter bathtub-shaped distribution