Skip to main content
Log in

An empirical examination of the location and timing of non-renewals in a farmland differential assessment program

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
The Annals of Regional Science Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We study the non-renewals of contracts in the farmland differential assessment program of California. An instrumental variable random-effect model for the location of non-renewals and a hazard model for the timing of non-renewals indicate that counties with high property tax rates have 0.8% lower odds of a non-renewal, transition slower to a rapid state of non-renewals by 4%, and transition faster to the slow state by 6%. This suggests differential assessment programs provide benefits to tax payers by preserving agricultural land and reducing how quickly development pressure causes non-renewals, and ultimately development, in farm communities. Counties at higher elevations transition faster to a rapid state of non-renewals by 4% and transition slower to the slow state by 2%. This suggests there should be more attention to development pressure at higher elevations, where regulations are weaker and amenities are greater.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Baltagi BH (1981) Simultaneous equations with error components. J Econom 17: 189–200

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blewett RA, Lane JI (1988) Development rights and the differential assessment of agricultural land: fractional valuation of farmland is ineffective for preserving open space and subsidizes speculation. Am J Econ Sociol 47(2): 195–205

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cameron C, Trivedi P (2005) Microeconometrics: methods and applications. Cambridge University Press, New York, pp 573–664

  • Capozza DR, Helsley RW (1990) The stochastic city. J Urban Econ 28: 187–203

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Capozza DR, Li Y (1994) The intensity and timing of investment: the case of land. Am Econ Rev 84(4): 889–904

    Google Scholar 

  • Capozza DR, Li Y (2002) Optimal land development decisions. J Urban Econ 51: 123–142

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grenadier S (2002) Option exercise games: an application to the equilibrium investment strategies of firms. Rev Financ Stud 15(3): 691–721

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hite D, Sohngen B, Templeton J (2003) Zoning, development timing, and agricultural land use at the suburban fringe: a competing risks approach. Agric Resour Econ Rev 32(1): 145–157

    Google Scholar 

  • Irwin EG, Bockstael NE (2002) Interacting agents, spatial externalities, and the evolution of residential land use patterns. J Econ Geogr 2(1): 31–54

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kline J, Wichelns D (1994) Using referendum data to characterize public support for purchasing development rights to farmland. Land Econ 70(2): 223–233

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Larson JM, Findeis JL, Smith SM (2001) Agricultural adaptation to urbanization in Southeastern Pennsylvania. Agr Resource Econ Rev 30(1):32–43

    Google Scholar 

  • Rosenberger RS, Sperow M, English DB (2008) Economies in transition and public land-use policy: discrete duration model of Eastern wilderness designation. Land Econ 84(2): 267–281

    Google Scholar 

  • Therneau TM, Grambsch P (2001) Modeling survival data: extending the Cox model, statistics for biology and health series. Springer, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Towe CA, Nickerson C, Bockstael N (2008) An empirical examination of the timing and conversions in the presence of farmland preservation programs. Am J Agric Econ 90(3): 613–626

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • U.S. Department of Agriculture, National Agricultural Statistics Service (2008) California Agricultural Statistics 2007 Crop Year. California Field Office, October

  • Wu JJ, Cho S (2007) The effect of local land use regulations on urban development in the Western United States. Reg Sci Urban Econ 37(1): 69–86

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Kent Kovacs.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Kovacs, K. An empirical examination of the location and timing of non-renewals in a farmland differential assessment program. Ann Reg Sci 50, 245–263 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-011-0474-0

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00168-011-0474-0

JEL Classification

Navigation