Skip to main content
Log in

A quasi-Bayesian analysis of regression outliers using Akaike's predictive likelihood

  • Articles
  • Published:
Statistical Papers Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

The Bayesian analysis of outliers using a non-informative prior for the parameters is non-trivial because models with different numbers of outliers have different dimensions. A quasi-Bayesian approach based on the Akaike's predictive likelihood is proposed for the analysis of regression outliers. It overcomes the dimensionality problem in Bayesian outlier analysis in which the likelihood of the outlier model is compensated by a correction factor adjusted for the number of outliers. The stack loss data set is analysed with satisfactory results.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Abraham, B. and Box, G.E.P. (1978). Linear models and spurious observations.Appl. Statist.,27, 131–138.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Aitchison, J. (1975). Goodness of prediction fit.Biometrika,62, 547–554.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Akaike, H. (1973). Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle.2nd Int. Symp. on Information Theory (ed.) B.N. Petrov and F. Caski), Akademiai Kiado, Bdapest, 267–281.

    Google Scholar 

  • Akaike, H. (1980). On the use of the predictive likelihood of a Gaussian model.Ann. Inst. Statist. Math., A32, 311–324.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Andrews, D.F. (1974). A robust method for multiple linear regression.Technometrics,16, 523–531.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Atkinson, A.C. (1978). Posterior probabilities for choosing a regression model.Biometrika,65, 39–48.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Bacon-Shone, J. (1986). MAXLIK—A library for maximum likelihood estimation on micros.Research Report, University of Hong Kong.

  • Barnett, V. and Lewis, T. (1984).Outliers in Statistical Data. Second ed. New York: John Wiley.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Brownlee, K.A. (1965).Statistical Theory and Methodology in Science and Engineering. Second edition, John Wiley.

  • Daniel, C. and Wood, F.S. (1980).Fitting Equations to Data. Second edition. New York: John Wiley.

    Google Scholar 

  • Freeman, P.R. (1981). On the number of outliers in data from a linear model.Bayesian Statistics (Bernardo, J.M., et al. eds.), 349–365. Valencia: University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fung, W.K. (1987). Analysis of outliers using Akaike's predictive likelihood approach, paper presented at the17th European Meeting of Statisticians.

  • Fung W.K. (1989). Quasi-Bayesian estimation of Stigler's data sets.Computat. Statist. & Data Analysis,7, 237–243.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Guttman, I., Dutter, R. and Freeman, P.R. (1978). Care and handling of univariate outliers in the general linear model to detect spuriosity— a Bayesian approach.Technometrics,20, 187–193.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Hawkins, D.M. (1980).Identification of Outliers. Chapman and Hall, London.

    MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Hawkins, D.M., Bardu, D. and Kass, G.V. (1984). Location of several outliers in multiple-regression data using elemental sets.Technometrics, 197–208.

  • Kitagawa, G. (1984). Bayesian analysis of outliers via Akaike's predictive likelihood of a model.Commun. Statist.—Simula. Computa.,13, 107–126.

    Article  MATH  Google Scholar 

  • Pettit, L.I. and Smith, A.F.M. (1985). Outliers and influential observations in linear models (with discussion).Bayesian Statistics 2, (Bernardo, J.M., et. al. eds.), 473–494. Valencia: University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Prescott, P. (1975). An approximate test for outliers in linear models.Technometrics,17, 129–132.

    Article  MATH  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Cite this article

Fung, W.K. A quasi-Bayesian analysis of regression outliers using Akaike's predictive likelihood. Statistical Papers 34, 133–141 (1993). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02925535

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02925535

Key words

Navigation