Summary
By reanalyzing a well known data set on the breaking strength and thickness of starch films, it is concluded that Fong's assumption of an exchangeable prior for the regression coefficients is correct but that the assumption of equal error variances might be wrong. This conclusion is made by calculating the Intrinsic Bayes factor for various models. The theory and results derived by Fong (1992) are therefore extended to the unequal variance case. This goal is achieved by implementing the Gibbs sampler. The vector of posterior probabilities thus obtained provides an easily understandable answer to the selection problem.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Bechhofer, R. E. (1954). A single-sample multiple decision procedure for ranking means of normal populations with known variances.Ann. Math. Statist. 25, 16–39.
Berger, J. O. and Deely, J. J. (1988). A Bayesian approach to ranking and selection of related means with alternatives to analysis-of-variance methodology.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 83, 364–373.
Berger, J. O. and Pericchi, L. R. (1994). The intrinsic Bayes factor for linear models.Bayesian Statistics 5 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, (with discussion).
Berger, J. O. and Pericchi, L. R. (1996). The intrinsic Bayes factor for model selection and prediction.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 91, 109–122.
Carlin, B. P., Gelfand, A. E. and Smith, A. F. M. (1992). Hierarchical Bayes analysis of change point problems.Ann. Statist. 41, 389–405.
Deely, J. J. and Zimmer, W. J. (1988). Choosing a quality supplier—a Bayesian approach.Bayesian Statistics 3 (J. M. Bernardo, M. H. DeGroot, D. V. Lindley and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 585–592.
Dudewicz, E. J. (1976).Introduction to Statistics and Probability. New York: Holt, Rinehart and Winston.
Dudewicz, E. J. and Koo, J. O. (1982).The Complete Categorized Guide to Statistical Selection and Ranking Procedure. Columbus, OH: American Science Press.
Freeman, H. A. (1942).Industrial Statistics. New York: Wiley.
Fong, D. K. H. (1990). Ranking and estimation of related means in two-way models —a Bayesian approach.J. Statist. Computation and Simulation 34, 107–117.
Fong, D. K. H. (1992). Ranking and estimation of related means in the presence of a covariate—a Bayesian approach.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 87, 1128–1136.
Fong, D. K. H. and Berger, J. O. (1993). Ranking, estimation and hypothesis testing in unbalaced two-way additive models—a Bayesian approach.Statistics and Decisions 11, 1–24.
Fong, D. K. H., Chow, M. and Albert, J. H. (1994). Selecting the normal population with the best regression value—a Bayesian approach.J. Statist. Planning and Inferernce 40, 97–111.
Geman, S. and Geman, D. (1984). Stochastic relaxation, Gibbs distributions, and the Bayesian restoration of images.IEEE Trans. Pat. Anal. and Mach. Intel. 6, 721–741.
Gelfand, A. E., Hills, S. E., Racine-Poon, A. and Smith, A. F. M. (1990). Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 85, 972–985.
Gelfand, A. E. and Smith, A. F. M. (1990). Sampling-based approaches to calculating marginal densities.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 85, 398–409.
Gelfand, A. E., Smith, A. F. M. and Lee, T. M. (1992). Bayesian analysis of constrained parameters and truncated data problems using Gibbs sampling.J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 87, 523–532.
Gelman, A. and Rubin, D. R. (1992). A single series from the Gibbs sampler provides a false sense of security.Bayesian Statistics 4 (J. M. Bernardo, J. O. Berger, A. P. Dawid and A. F. M. Smith, eds.). Oxford: University Press, 627–635.
Gibbons, J. D., Olkin, I. and Sobel, M. (1977):Selecting and Ordering Populations. New York: Wiley.
Gupta, S. S. (1956).On a Decision Rule for a Problem in Ranking Means. Ph.D. Thesis, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill.
Gupta, S. S. and Panchapakesan, S. (1979):Multiple Decision Procedures. New York: Wiley.
Hastings, W. K. (1970). Monte Carlo sample methods using Markov chain and their applications.Biometrika 57, 97–109.
Laird, N. M. and Louis, T. A. (1989). Empirical Bayes ranking methods.J. Educational Stat. 14, 29–46.
Sheffé, H. (1959).The Analysis of Variance. New York: Wiley.
Sanso, B. and Pericchi, L. R. (1994). Calculating intrinsic Bayes factors using Monte Carlo.Tech. Rep. 94-104. Universidad Simon Bolivar, Caracas.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Van der Merwe, A.J., Du Plessis, J.L. A Bayesian approach to selection and ranking procedures: the unequal variance case. Test 5, 357–377 (1996). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02562623
Received:
Revised:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02562623