Abstract
Consider a stationary first-order autoregressive process, with i.i.d. residuals following an unknown mean zero distribution. The customary estimator for the expectation of a bounded function under the residual distribution is the empirical estimator based on the estimated residuals. We show that this estimator is not efficient, and construct a simple efficient estimator. It is adaptive with respect to the autoregression parameter.
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Wefelmeyer, W. An efficient estimator for the expectation of a bounded function under the residual distribution of an autoregressive process. Ann Inst Stat Math 46, 309–315 (1994). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01720587
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF01720587