Skip to main content
Log in

Statistical identification and optimal control of thermal power plants

  • Application
  • Published:
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Statistical system identification and its use for the optimal control of thermal power plants are discussed. The analysis of the plant dynamics and derivation of the state-space representation are performed by fitting a multivariate AR model to the plant data obtained by an experiment. The basic concept of the power plant control and the motivation that necessitated the statistical approach are explained in the introduction. Practical procedure for the implementation of the method is described in detail with examples obtained from actual plants. The main items discussed are the selection of system variables by means of relative power contribution analysis, determination of the state equation and adjustment of the optimal feedback gain by digital simulation technique. Finally, excellent performance of the proposed control system is demonstrated by the operating records of 500 MW and 600 MW supercritical plants.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Akaike, H. (1968). On the use of a linear model for the identification of feedback systems, Ann. Inst. Statist. Math., 21, 243–247.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Akaike, H. (1971). Autoregressive model fitting for control, Ann. Inst. Statist. Math., 23, 163–180.

    Article  MathSciNet  Google Scholar 

  • Akaike, H. (1976). Canonical correlation analysis of time series and the use of an information criterion, System Identification: Advances and Case Studies, (eds. R. H. Mehra and D.G. Lainiotis), 27–96, Academic Press, New York.

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Akaike, H. (1978). On the identification of state space models and their use in control, Direction in Time Series, (eds. D. R. Brillinger and G. C. Tiao), 175–187, The Institute of Mathematical Statistics, Hyward, California.

    Google Scholar 

  • Akaike, H. and Nakagawa, T. (1972). Statistical Analysis and Control of Dynamic Systems, Saiensu-sha, Tokyo (in Japanese, with a computer program package TIMSAC written in FORTRAN IV with English comments. English version of the book is to be published by Kluwer Scientific Publishers).

  • Nakamura, H. and Akaike, H. (1981). Statistical identification for optimal control of supercritical thermal power plants, Automatica — J. IFAC, 17, 143–155.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nakamura, H. and Uchida, M. (1984). Practical procedure for optimal regulator implementation of thermal power plants, 9th IFAC world congress, Control of power stations and systems, Session 01.1/D.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Otomo, T., Nakagawa, T. and Akaike, H. (1972). Statistical approach to computer control of cement rotary kilns, Automatica — J. IFAC, 8, 35.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Uchida, M., Nakamura, H. and Kawai, K. (1981). Application of linear programming to thermal power plant control, 8th IFAC world congress, Kyoto, 97-2.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Uchida, M., Nakamura, H., Toyota, Y. and Kushihashi, M. (1986). Implementation of optimal control at a supercritical variable-pressure thermal power plant, Proc. IFAC Symposium, Beijing, People's Republic of China.

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

About this article

Cite this article

Nakamura, H., Toyota, Y. Statistical identification and optimal control of thermal power plants. Ann Inst Stat Math 40, 1–28 (1988). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00053952

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00053952

Key words and phrases

Navigation