Skip to main content
Log in

MSE's of prediction in growth curve model with covariance structures

  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Published:
Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We consider the growth curve model with covariance structures: positive-definite, uniform covariance structure and serial covariance structure. Two types of prediction problems are studied in this paper. One is called the conditional prediction problem and the other is called the extended prediction problem. For both types of prediction problems, the mean squared error for a serial covariance structure is obtained for the estimates based on the conditional expectation: the mean squared error for an unrestricted covariance structure is compared with the mean squared error for a uniform covariance structure or a serial covariance structure. These results are exemplified by two sets of real data.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Anderson, T. W. (1971). The Statistical Analysis of Time Series, Wiley, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Azzalini, A. (1984). Estimation and hypothesis testing for collection of autoregressive time series, Biometrika, 71, 85–90.

    Google Scholar 

  • Azzalini, A. (1987). Growth curve analysis for patterned covariance matrices, New Perspectives in Theoretical and Applied Statistics (eds. M. L.Puri, J. P.Vilaplana and W.Wertz), 63–73, Wiley, New York.

    Google Scholar 

  • Fujikoshi, Y., Kanda, T. and Tanimura, N. (1990). The growth curve model with an autoregressive covariance structure, Ann. Inst. Statist. Math., 42, 533–542.

    Google Scholar 

  • Grizzle, J. E. and Allen, D. M. (1969). Analysis of growth and dose response curves, Biometrics, 25, 357–381.

    Google Scholar 

  • Khatri, C. G. (1966). A note on a MANOVA model applied to problems in growth curves, Ann. Inst. Statist. Math., 18, 75–86.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, J. C. (1988). Prediction and estimation of growth curves with special covariance structures, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., 83, 432–440.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, J. C. (1991). Tests and model selection for the general growth curve model, Biometrics, 47, 147–159.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lee, J. C. and Geisser, S. (1972). Growth curve prediction. Sankhyā Ser. A., 37, 393–412.

    Google Scholar 

  • Potthoff, R. F. and Roy, S. N. (1964). A generalized multivariate analysis of variance model useful especially for growth curve problems, Biometrika, 51, 313–326.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao, C. R. (1965). The theory of least squares when the parameters are stochastic and its application to the analysis of growth curves. Biometrika, 52, 447–458.

    Google Scholar 

  • Rao, C. R. (1987). Prediction of future observations in growth curve models, Statist. Sci., 2, 434–471.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reinsel, G. (1984a). Estimation and prediction in a multivariate random effects generalized linear model, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc., 79, 406–414.

    Google Scholar 

  • Reinsel, G. C. (1984b). Effects of the estimation of covariance matrix parameters in the generalized multivariate linear model, Comm. Statist. Theory Methods, 13, 639–650.

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Additional information

This research was supported in part by Grant-in-Aid for general Scientific Research, The Ministry of Education, Science and Culture under Contract Number 03640239.

About this article

Cite this article

Kanda, T. MSE's of prediction in growth curve model with covariance structures. Ann Inst Stat Math 44, 519–528 (1992). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00050702

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Revised:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/BF00050702

Key words and phrases

Navigation