A minimum average risk approach to shrinkage estimators of the normal mean

Abstract

For the problem of estimating the normal mean μ based on a random sample X ₁,...,X _n when a prior value μ₀ is available, a class of shrinkage estimators % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafeart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr% 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq-Jc9% vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0-qqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr-x% fr-xHapdbiqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaWaaubeaeqaje% aWbaGaamOBaaWcbeqdbaGafqiVd0MbaKaaaaGccaqGGaGaaiikaiaa% dUgacaGGPaGaeyypa0Jaam4AaiaacIcadaqfqaqabKqaahaacaqGUb% aaleqaneaacaqGubaaaOGaaiykaiaabccadaqfqaqabKqaahaacaWG% UbaaleqaneaaceqGybGbaebaaaGccaqGGaGaey4kaSIaaeiiaiaacI% cacaaIXaGaaeiiaiabgkHiTiaabccacaWGRbGaaiikamaavababeqc% baCaaiaab6gaaSqab0qaaiaabsfaaaGccaGGPaGaaiykamaavababe% qcbaCaaiaad6gaaSqab0qaaiabeY7aTbaaaaa!5615!\[\mathop {\hat \mu }\nolimits_n {\rm{ }}(k) = k(\mathop {\rm{T}}\nolimits_{\rm{n}} ){\rm{ }}\mathop {{\rm{\bar X}}}\nolimits_n {\rm{ }} + {\rm{ }}(1{\rm{ }} - {\rm{ }}k(\mathop {\rm{T}}\nolimits_{\rm{n}} ))\mathop \mu \nolimits_n \] is considered, where % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafeart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr% 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq-Jc9% vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0-qqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr-x% fr-xHapdbiqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaWaaubeaeqaje% aWbaGaamOBaaWcbeqcdawaaiaadsfaaaGccaqGGaGaaeypaiaabcca% caWGUbWaaWbaaSqabeaacaaIXaGaai4laiaaikdaaaGccaGGOaWaa0% aaaeaacaWGybaaamaaBaaajeaWbaGaamOBaaWcbeaakiaabccacqGH% sislcaqGGaWaaubeaeqajeaWbaGaaGimaaWcbeqdbaGaaeiVdaaaki% aacMcacaqGGaGaae4laiabeccaGiabeo8aZbaa!4C33!\[\mathop T\nolimits_n {\rm{ = }}n^{1/2} (\overline X _n {\rm{ }} - {\rm{ }}\mathop {\rm{\mu }}\nolimits_0 ){\rm{ /}} \sigma \] and k is a weight function. For certain choices of k, % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafeart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr% 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq-Jc9% vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0-qqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr-x% fr-xHapdbiqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaWaaubeaeqaje% aWbaGaamOBaaWcbeqdbaGafqiVd0MbaKaaaaGccaqGGaGaaiikaiaa% dUgacaGGPaaaaa!3CEE!\[\mathop {\hat \mu }\nolimits_n {\rm{ }}(k)\] coincides with previously studied preliminary test and shrinkage estimators. We consider choosing k from a natural non-parametric family of weight functions so as to minimize average risk relative to a specified prior p. We study how, by varying p, the MSE efficiency (relative to \-X) properties of % MathType!MTEF!2!1!+-% feaafeart1ev1aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn% hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr% 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq-Jc9% vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0-qqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr-x% fr-xHapdbiqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaWaaubeaeqaje% aWbaGaamOBaaWcbeqdbaGafqiVd0MbaKaaaaGccaqGGaGaaiikaiaa% dUgacaGGPaaaaa!3CEE!\[\mathop {\hat \mu }\nolimits_n {\rm{ }}(k)\] can be controlled. In the process, a certain robustness property of the usual family of posterior mean estimators, corresponding to the conjugate normal priors, is observed.