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A Leak in the Lifeboat: The effect of Medicaid managed care on the vitality of safety-net hospitals

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Abstract

States are increasingly adopting Medicaid managed care in efforts to address budgetary concerns. The intent is that by releasing Medicaid oversight to private organizations, competition will drive down healthcare expenditures so that savings may be passed to the state. Yet there are concerns that this competitive solution to cost savings might compromise safety-net hospitals. Managed care organizations cut costs by restricting the providers that enrollees are allowed to see. If movement in Medicaid patients disrupts safety-net hospitals’ casemix, this could affect their ability to cross-subsidize care. This study estimates the impact of Medicaid managed care on safety-net hospitals by exploiting a Florida pilot program that required Medicaid recipients in five counties to enroll in managed care. The results suggest this mandate led to a small reduction in safety-net hospitals’ average ratio of payment-to-cost. There is also some evidence that the effect on safety-net hospitals was disproportionate. This disproportionality was such that hospitals nearest the margin were pushed the furthest towards the edge.

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Notes

  1. With the exception of emergency departments.

  2. Per the Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act of 2015.

  3. Under the ACA, Medicaid Disproportionate Share Hospital (DSH) payments were originally set to be reduced by $500M in FY2014, $600M in FY2015 and FY2016, $1.8B in FY2017, $5B in FY2018, $5.6B in FY2019, and $4B in FY2020. Medicaid DSH cuts have since been delayed. In the revised schedule outlined in the Medicare Access and CHIP Reauthorization Act of 2015, Medicaid DSH allotments will be reduced by $2B in FY2018, $3B in FY2019, $4B in FY2020, $5B in FY2021, $6B in FY2022, $7B in FY2023, and $8 in both FY2024 and FY2025.

  4. PSNs’ fee-for-service rates were originally set to phase into capitated rates at a designated time. However, this change never occurred due to strong lobbying.

  5. Over time, the list of Medicaid HMOs and PSNs available to Medicaid enrollees fluctuated. There were also changes in enrollment breakdowns, with increasing relative enrollment in PSNs. Additionally, an “Opt Out” program was made available so that individuals could use (what would have been) the dollar value of their Medicaid benefits to enroll in employer-provided coverage. There was little participation in this program.

  6. http://safetynetsflorida.org/ (Accessed February 2014).

  7. Other sources of payment account for 5.2% of the full sample.

  8. Individuals without a recorded Florida county of residency account for 3.5% of the full sample.

  9. A limitation of these uninsured statistics is that the payment and cost levels provided by the Kaiser Family Foundation include, but are not specific to, hospitals.

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Correspondence to Lindsey Woodworth.

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Thanks to Sarah Hamersma, Jonathan Hamilton and Ann Stevens for helpful comments, and Roger Blair and the Florida Center for Health Information and Policy Analysis for assistance in obtaining the data used in this study. The Florida Agency for Health Care Administration disclaims responsibility for any analysis, interpretations, or conclusions created as a result of the data provided. Support for this project was provided by Grant Number T32HS022236 from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality (AHRQ) through the Quality, Safety, and Comparative Effectiveness Research Training (QSCERT) Program.

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Woodworth, L. A Leak in the Lifeboat: The effect of Medicaid managed care on the vitality of safety-net hospitals. J Regul Econ 50, 251–270 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11149-016-9312-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11149-016-9312-8

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