Reasoning about climate uncertainty
- Judith CurryAffiliated withSchool of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology Email author
This paper argues that the IPCC has oversimplified the issue of uncertainty in its Assessment Reports, which can lead to misleading overconfidence. A concerted effort by the IPCC is needed to identify better ways of framing the climate change problem, explore and characterize uncertainty, reason about uncertainty in the context of evidence-based logical hierarchies, and eliminate bias from the consensus building process itself.
- Reasoning about climate uncertainty
- Open Access
- Available under Open Access This content is freely available online to anyone, anywhere at any time.
Volume 108, Issue 4 , pp 723-732
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- Judith Curry (1)
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- 1. School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, 30332-0340, USA