Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Landslide risk perception: a case study in Southern Italy

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Landslides Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Perceptions of risk are a key issue when seeking to develop systems, practices and policies to protect local populations. This is particularly evident when risk mitigation strategies involve non-structural measures such as relocation and warning systems which presuppose the active involvement of the communities in question. This study adopts an interdisciplinary approach to studying the perceptions, knowledge and opinions on landslide risk amongst residents in Sarno, a small town in Southern Italy which was hit by disastrous landslides on 5–6 May 1998. The paper presents the results of a survey conducted in the months of March, April and May 2013 using a purpose-designed questionnaire. The survey was conducted using face-to-face interviews with 100 residents, 60 of whom live inside the so-called “red zone”, a territory declared at high residual risk soon after the events of 1998. The questionnaire included questions relating to perceived risk exposure, trust in institutions responsible for risk management, evaluations of risk mitigation measures and the early-warning strategy. The results of the study clearly emerges, amongst other issues, that the organisms which are responsible for risk management in Sarno need to develop more effective communication strategies in order to transmit knowledge about the actions implemented to reduce landslide risk in the area.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11
Fig. 12
Fig. 13
Fig. 14
Fig. 15
Fig. 16

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Albanesi C, Pietrantoni L, Zani B, Cicognani E, Prati G, Porretta B (2011) La comunicazione istituzionale dei rischi, Linee guida. http://www.rischio.unibo.it/wp-content/uploads/2011/04/Linee_Guida.pdf. Accessed 26 August 2014 (in Italian)

  • Ballantyne M, Paton D, Johnston D, Kozuch M, Daly M (2000) Information on volcanic and earthquake hazards: the impact on awareness and preparation. Inst. Geol. Nucl. Sci. Rep. No. 2

  • Beck U (1992) Risk society. Towards a new modernity. Sage, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Bubeck P, Botzen WJW, Aerts JCJH (2012) A review of risk perceptions and other factors that influence flood mitigation behavior. Risk Anal 32(9):1481–1495

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Budetta P, De Riso R (2004) The mobility of some debris flows in pyroclastic deposits of the northwestern Campanian region (southern Italy). Bull Eng Geol Environ 63(4):293–302

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • BURC (2006). Zonazione delle aree comprese tra l’attuale linea rossa e la nuova perimetrazione. Ordinanza N. 4561 del Commissariato di governo per l’Emergenza Idrogeologica nella regione Campania, Boll. Uff. Reg. Campania N.50 del 6/11/2006 (in Italian)

  • Cascini L (2004) The flowslides of May 1998 in the Campania region, Italy: the scientific emergency management. Riv Ital Geotecnica 2:11–44

    Google Scholar 

  • Cascini L (2005) La gestione scientifica dell’emergenza idrogeologica del maggio 1998 nella Regione Campania. Rubbettino editore, Soveria Mannelli (in Italian)

  • Cascini L, Cuomo S, Sorbino G (2005) Flow-like mass movements in pyroclastic soils: remarks on the modelling of triggering mechanisms. Riv Ital Geotecnica 4:11–31

    Google Scholar 

  • Cascini L, Cuomo S, Guida D (2008) Typical source areas of May 1998 flow-like mass movements in the Campania region, Southern Italy. Eng Geol 96:107–125

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cascini L, Cuomo S, Pastor M, Sacco C (2013a) Modelling the post-failure stage of rainfall-induced landslides of the flow-type. Can Geotech J 50(9):924–934

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cascini L, Sorbino G, Cuomo S, Ferlisi S (2014) Seasonal effects of rainfall on the shallow pyroclastic deposits of the Campania region (southern Italy). Landslides 11(5):779–792

  • CNR-IRPI (2013) Indagine sulla percezione del rischio degli eventi idrogeologici. Indagine DOXA per CNR PERUGIA S.13019c. http://vglobale.it/public/files/2013/DOXA-CNR-IRPI.pdf. Accessed 26 August 2014 (in Italian)

  • Crosta GB, Dal Negro P (2003) Observations and modelling of soil slip—debris flow initiation processes in pyroclastic deposits: the Sarno 1998 event. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 3(1):53–69

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cruden DM, Varnes DJ (1996) Landslides: investigation and mitigation. Chapter 3-Landslide types and processes. Transp. Res. Board Spec. Rep. No. 247

  • D’Alisa G (2012) Human –from the (Quasi)Northern Campania Region. CLICO Work. Pap. No. 14

  • D’Ambrosio D, Di Gregorio S, Iovine G, Lupiano V, Rongo R, Spataro W (2003) First simulations of the Sarno debris flows through cellular automata modelling. Geomorphology 54:91–117

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Del Prete M, Guadagno FM, Hawkins AB (1998) Preliminary report on the landslides of 5 May 1998, Campania, southern Italy. Bull Eng Geol Environ 57:113–129

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dow K, Cutter SL (2000) Public orders and personal opinions: household strategies for hurricane risk assessment. Environ Hazards 2:143–155

  • Finlay PJ, Fell R (1997) Landslides: risk perception and acceptance. Can Geotech J 34(2):169–188

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grothmann T, Reusswig F (2006) People at risk of flooding: why some residents take precautionary action while others do not. Nat Hazards 38(1–2):101–120

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guadagno FM, Celico PB, Esposito L, Perriello Zampelli S, Scarascia Mugnozza G (1999) The debris flows of 5–6 May 1998 in Campania, Southern Italy. Landslide News 12:5–7

    Google Scholar 

  • Guadagno FM, Revellino P, Grelle G (2011) The 1998 Sarno landslides: conflicting interpretations of a natural event. Ital. J. Eng. Geol. Environ. – Book 71–81

  • Hungr O, Evans SG, Bovi MJ, Hutchinson JN (2001) A review of the classification of landslides of the flow type environmental. Eng Geosci 7(3):221–238

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kouabenan DR (2006) Beliefs and the perception of risks and accidents. Risk Anal 18(3):243–252

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lash S (2000) Risk culture. In: Adam B, Beck U, Van Loon J (eds) The risk society and beyond: critical issues for social theory. Sage, London, pp 47–62

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Lin S, Shaw D, Ho MC (2008) Why are flood and landslide victims less willing to take mitigation measures than the public? Nat Hazards 44(2):305–314

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lindell MK, Perry RW (2000) Household adjustment to earthquake hazard: a review of research. Environ Behav 32(4):491–501

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lombardi M (2005) La comunicazione dei rischi naturali - Un confronto internazionale. Vita e Pensiero, Milano (in Italian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Martino R, Papa MN (2008) Variable-concentration and boundary effects on debris flow discharge predictions. J Hydraul Eng 134:1191–1404

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nathan F (2008) Risk perception, risk management and vulnerability to landslides in the hill slopes in the city of La Paz. Bolivia A preliminary statement. Disasters 32:337–357

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Olivares L, Picarelli L (2003) Shallow flowslides triggered by intense rainfalls on natural slopes covered by loose unsaturated pyroclastic soils. Geotechnique 53(2):283–288

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Oramas Dorta D, Toyos G, Oppenheimer C, Pareschi MT, Sulpizio R, Zanchetta G (2007) Empirical modelling of the May 1998 small debris flows in Sarno (Italy) using LAHARZ. Nat Hazards 40(2):381–396

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pagano L, Picarelli L, Rianna G, Urciuoli G (2010) A simple numerical procedure for timely prediction of precipitation-induced landslides in unsaturated pyroclastic soils. Landslides 7(3):273–289

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Papa MN, Medina V, Ciervo F, Bateman A (2013) Derivation of critical rainfall thresholds for shallow landslides as a tool for debris flow early warning systems. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 17(10):4095–4107

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pareschi MT, Favalli M, Giannini F, Sulpizio R, Zanchetta G, Santacroce R (2000) May 5, 1998, debris flows in circum-vesuvian areas (southern Italy): insights for hazard assessment. Geology 28(7):639–642

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Paton D (2008) Community resilience: integrating individual, community and societal perspective. In Gow K, Paton D (eds) The Phoenix of Natural Disasters: Community Resilience 13–21

  • Paton D, Johnston D (2001) Disasters and communities: vulnerability, resilience and preparedness. Disaster Prev Manag: Int J 10(4):270–277

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Paton D, Johnston D, Gough J, Dowrick D, Daly M, Baddon L, Batistich T, Wood I (1999) Auckland volcanic risk project: report 1. ARC Tech. Publ. No. 126

  • Peters E, Slovic P (1996) The role of affect and worldviews as orienting dispositions in the perception and acceptance of nuclear power. J Appl Soc Psychol 26(16):1427–1453

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Picarelli L, Olivares L, Avolio B (2008) Zoning for flowslide and debris flow in pyroclastic soils of Campania region based on “infinite slope” analysis. Eng Geol 102:132–141

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Plattner T, Plapp T, Hebel B (2006) Integrating public risk perception into formal natural hazard risk assessment. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci 6:471–483

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Renn O (1988) Three decades of risk research: accomplishments and new challenges. J Risk Res 1(1):49–71

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Revellino P, Guadagno FM, Hungr O (2008) Morphological methods and dynamic modelling in landslide hazard assessment of the Campania Apennine carbonate slope. Landslides 5(1):59–70

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rogers RW, Cacioppo JT, Petty R (1983) Cognitive and physiological processes in fear appeals and attitude change: a revised theory of protection motivation In Social psychophysiology: Sourcebook 153–177

  • Rubin GJ, Page LA, Morgan O, Pinder RJ, Riley P, Hatch S et al (2007) Public information needs after the poisoning of Alexander Litvinenko with polonium-210 in London: cross sectional telephone survey and qualitative analysis. Br Med J 335:1143–1146

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Salvati P, Bianchi C, Fiorucci F, Giostrella P, Marchesini I, Guzzetti F (2014) Perception of flood and landslide risk in Italy: a preliminary analysis. Nat Hazards Earth Syst Sci Discuss 2:3465–3497

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Scolobig A, Bayer J, Cascini L, Ferlisi S (2011). Design and testing: a risk communication strategy and a deliberative process for choosing a set of mitigation and prevention measures. Project Safe Land "Living with landslide risk in Europe, D. 5.7

  • Scotto di Santolo AS, Evangelista A (2009) Some observations on the prediction of the dynamic parameters of debris flows in pyroclastic deposits in the Campania region of Italy. Nat Hazards 50:605–622

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Solana MC, Kilburn CRJ (2003) Public awareness of landslide hazards: the Barranco de Tirajana, Gran Canaria, Spain. Geomorphology 54(1–2):39–48

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sorbino G, Sica C, Cascini L (2010) Susceptibility analysis of shallow landslides source areas using physically based models. Nat Haz 53(2):313–332

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tulloch J, Lupton D (2003) Risk and everyday life. Sage, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Versace P, Altomare P, Serra M (2008a) Interventi strutturali per la riduzione del rischio di colata - Il modello Sarno. Quad CAMIlab 3(3):1–54 (in Italian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Versace P, Caruso A, Cassetti M, Capparelli G (2008b) Il Presidio Territoriale e la gestione dell’emergenza a Sarno. Quad CAMIlab 3(3):55–84 (in Italian)

    Google Scholar 

  • Wachinger G, Renn O (2010). Risk perception and natural hazards. CapHaz-Net WP3 Report, DIALOGIK Non-Profit Institute for Communication and Cooperative Research, Stuttgart. http://caphaz-net.org/outcomes-results/CapHaz-Net_WP3_Risk-Perception2.pdf. Accessed 27 August 2014

  • Wagner K (2007) Mental models of flash floods and landslides. Risk Anal 27:671–682

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • World Economic Forum (2015) Global risks 2015, 10th edition. World Economic Forum Report ref: 090115

  • Wynne B (2002) Risk and environment as legitimatory discourses of technology: reflexivity inside Out? Curr Sociol 50(3):459–477

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zinn JO (2004) Literature review: sociology and risk. SCARR Working Paper 2004/1. http://www.kent.ac.uk/scarr/papers/Sociology%20Literature%20Review%20WP1.04%20Zinn.pdf. Accessed 27 August 2014

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Michele Calvello.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Calvello, M., Papa, M.N., Pratschke, J. et al. Landslide risk perception: a case study in Southern Italy. Landslides 13, 349–360 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-015-0572-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-015-0572-7

Keywords

Navigation