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Using Data From Seed-Dispersal Modelling to Manage Invasive Tree Species: The Example of Fraxinus pennsylvanica Marshall in Europe

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Abstract

Management strategies to control invasive species need information about dispersal distances to predict establishment potential. Fraxinus pennsylvanica is a North American anemochorous tree species that is invasive in many Central European floodplain forests. To predict seed-dispersal potential, the stochastic model WaldStat was used, which enables different options for directionality (isotropic and anisotropic) to be simulated. In this article, we (1) show empirical results of fructification and seed dispersal for this tree species. The model predicts approximately 250,000 seeds for one F. pennsylvanica tree. These results were used to (2) calculate species-specific dispersal distances and effects of wind direction. To consider the influence of wind on dispersal potential of the tree species, long-distance dispersal (LDD [95th percentile dispersal distance]) was calculated. Mean dispersal distances varied between 47 and 66 m. LDD values modelled along the main wind direction ranged from 60 to 150 m. Seed production, dispersal distance, and direction data were (3) incorporated into theoretical management scenarios for forest ecosystems. Finally (4), we discuss management options and the practical relevance of model scenarios in relation to the accuracy of spatial dispersal predictions. Further analyses should be focused on possible, well-adapted management concepts at stand level that could restrict the potential spread of invasive species.

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Acknowledgments

This study was supported and funded by the German Federal Environmental Foundation. Thanks to Konrad Wälder from TU-Bergakademie Freiberg for making WaldStat available. We thank three anonymous reviewers who gave valuable and appreciated comments.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Technische Universität Dresden–Institute for General Ecology and Environmental Protection, Pienner Straße 7, 01737, Tharandt, Germany

    Doreen Schmiedel

  2. Technische Universität Dresden–Institute of Silviculture and Forest Protection, Pienner Str. 8, 01737 Tharandt, Germany

    Franka Huth & Sven Wagner

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  1. Doreen Schmiedel
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  2. Franka Huth
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  3. Sven Wagner
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Correspondence to Doreen Schmiedel.

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Schmiedel, D., Huth, F. & Wagner, S. Using Data From Seed-Dispersal Modelling to Manage Invasive Tree Species: The Example of Fraxinus pennsylvanica Marshall in Europe. Environmental Management 52, 851–860 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00267-013-0135-4

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