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A study of rainfall singularities, cyclonic disturbances and sea-level pressure over Southern India

Eine Studie der Niederschlagssingularitäten, der zyklonalen Störungen und des Bodenluftdruckes über Südindien

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Summary

Bowen's meteor hypothesis on rainfall singularities was seriously critisized by some and attributed to the occurrence of local cyclones around the dates of those singularities and also to long-term variations in pressure pattern. This aspect is examined in the present study by making use of frequency distribution method, considering five day periods, and cross-spectral technique of (i) cyclonic disturbances of Bay of Bengal, (ii) the daily average values of sea-level pressure of Bay of Bengal, and (iii) the total daily values of rainfall in Tamil Nadu, South India, during October–December, 1961–1970. The study made does not support the hypothesis that the rainfall singularities observed in an earlier study [1] were influenced by the cyclonic disturbances and long-term variations in pressure pattern. Power spectral analysis of rainfall and sea-level pressure revealed a common 15-day periodicity significant at 99 per cent level. The rainfall and sea-level pressure showed maximum correlation over a 15-day period with a relative phase of 5 days, rainfall preceding sea-level pressure.

Zusammenfassung

Bowen's Hypothese eines Zusammenhanges zwischen Niederschlagssingularitäten und Meteoritenschwärmen wurde vielfach ernstlich kritisiert. Für den Zusammenhang wurden eher örtliche Zyklonen und langzeitige Veränderungen in der Luftdruckverteilung verantwortlich gemacht, die im Zeitraum dieser Singularitäten auftraten. Diese Aspekte werden hier unter Verwendung von Häufigkeitsverteilungen während fünftägiger Perioden und von Querspektrumanalysen untersucht, wobei (a) zyklonale Störungen in der Bucht von Bengalen, (b) tägliche Mittelwerte des Bodendruckes in der Bucht von Bengalen und (c) die täglichen Niederschlagssummen in Tamil Nadu, Südindien, während der Monate Oktober–Dezember 1961–1970 betrachtet wurden. Die Ergebnisse unserer Studie widersprechen der Hypothese, daß die schon früher [1] beschriebenen Nieder schlagssingularitäten entweder von zyklonalen Störungen oder von langzeitigen Luft-druckschwankungen beeinflußt werden. Spektralanalysen des Niederschlages und des Bodendruckes zeigen beide eine 15-tägige Periodizität, die im 99-Prozentbereich signifikant ist. Niederschlag und Bodendruck besaßen maximale Korrelationen während 15-tägiger Perioden, die um 5 Tage phasenverschoben waren, wobei der Niederschlag dem Bodendruck voranlief.

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Reddy, R.S., Ramana Murty, B.V. A study of rainfall singularities, cyclonic disturbances and sea-level pressure over Southern India. Arch. Met. Geoph. Biocl. A. 30, 99–109 (1981). https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02258678

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