Abstract
We studied the relationship between the dominant patterns of sea surface temperature (SST) variability in the North Pacific and the North Atlantic. The patterns are known as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). In the analysis we used two different observational data sets for SST. Due to the high degree of serial correlation in the PDO and AMO time series, various tests were carried out to assess the significance of the correlations. The results demonstrated that the correlations are significant when the PDO leads the AMO by 1 year and when the AMO leads the PDO by 11–12 years. The possible physical processes involved are discussed, along with their potential implication for decadal prediction.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Alexander MA, Deser C (1995) A mechanism for the recurrence of wintertime midlatitude SST anomalies. J Phys Oceanogr 25:122–137
Alexander MA, Deser C, Timlin MS (1999) The reemergence of SST anomalies in the North Pacific Ocean. J Clim 12:2419–2433
Alexander MA, Bladé I, Newman M, Lanzante JR, Lau N-C, Scott JD (2002) The atmospheric bridge: the influence of ENSO teleconnections on air-sea interaction over the global oceans. J Clim 15:2205–2231
Bretherton CS, Widmann M, Dymnikov VP, Wallace JM, Bladé I (1999) The effective number of spatial degrees of freedom of a time-varying field. J Clim 12:1990–2009
Chiang JCH, Vimont DJ (2004) Analogous Pacific and Atlantic meridional modes of tropical atmosphere-ocean variability. J Clim 17:4143–4158
Czaja A, Frankignoul C (2002) Observed impact of atlantic SST anomalies on the North Atlantic Oscillation. J Clim 15:606–623
Delworth TL, Mann ME (2000) Observed and simulated multidecadal variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Clim Dyn 16:661–676
Deser C, Blackmon M (1993) Surface climate variations over the North Atlantic Ocean during winter: 1900–1989. J Clim 6:1743–1753
Dong B, Sutton RT, Scaife AA (2006) Multidecadal modulation of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variance by Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperatures. Geophys Res Lett 33:L08705. doi:10.1029/2006GL025766
Enfield DB, Mestas-Nunez AM, Trimble PJ (2001) The Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental US. Geophys Res Lett 28:2077–2080
Eshel G (2003) Forecasting the North Atlantic Oscillation using North Pacific surface. Mon Wea Rev 131:1018–1025
Frankignoul C (1985) Sea surface temperature anomalies, planetary waves and air-sea feedbacks in the middle latitude. Rev Geophys 23:357–390
Frankignoul C, Sennéchael N (2007) Observed influence of North Pacific SST anomalies on the atmospheric circulation. J Clim 20:592–606
Honda M, Nakamura H, Ukita J, Kousaka I, Takeuchi K (2001) Interannual seesaw between the Aleutian and Icelandic lows. Part I: seasonal dependence and life cycle. J Clim 14:1029–1042
Kaplan A, Cane MA, Kushnir Y, Celment AC, Blumenthal MB, Rajagopalan B (1998) Analyses of global sea surface temperature 1856–1991. J Geophys Res 103:18567–18589
Katz RW (1982) Statistical evaluation of climate experiments with general circulation models: a parametric series modeling appoach. J Atmos Sci 39:1446–1455
Kushnir Y, Robinson WA, Blade I, Hall NMJ, Peng S, Sutton R (2002) Atmospheric GCM response to extratropical SST anomalies: synthesis and evaluation. J Clim 15:2233–2256
Kutzbach JE (1970) Large-scale features of monthly mean Northern Hemisphere anomaly maps of sea-level pressure. Mon Wea Rev 98:708–716
Lau NC, Nath MJ (2001) Impact of ENSO on SST variability in the North Pacific and North Atlantic: seasonal dependence and role of extratropical sea–air coupling. J Clim 14:2846–2866
Liu ZY, Wu L (2004) Atmospheric response to North Pacific SST: the role of ocean–atmosphere coupling. J Clim 17:1859–1882
Liu ZY, Liu Y, Wu L, Jacob R (2007) Seasonal and long-term atmospheric response to reemerging North Pacific Ocean variability: a combined dynamical and statistical assessment. J Clim 20:955–980
Mantua NJ, Hare SR, Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Francis RC (1997) A Pacific interdecadal climate oscillation with impacts on salmon production. Bull Am Meteorol Soc 78:1069–1079
Meehl GA, Julie MA, Warren GS (1998) Global scale decadal climate variability. Geophys Res Lett 25:3983–3986
Mikolajewicz U, Crowley TJ, Schiller A, Voss R (1997) Modelling teleconnections between the North Atlantic and North Pacific during the Younger Dryas. Nature 387:384–387
Minobe S (1999) Resonance in bidecadal and pentadecadal climate oscillations over the North Pacific: role in climatic regime shifts. Geophys Res Lett 26:855–858
Okumura YM, Deser C, Hu AX, Timmermann A, Xie SP (2009) North Pacific Climate response to freshwater forcing in the Subarctic North Atlantic: oceanic and atmospheric pathways. J Clim 22:1424–1445
Pierce DW, Barnett TP, Schneider N, Saravanan R, Dommenget D, Latif M (2001) The role of ocean dynamics in producing decadal climate variability in the North Pacific. Clim Dyn 18:51–70
Rayner NA et al (2003) Global analyses of sea surface temperature, seaice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century. J Geophys Res 108(D14):4407. doi:10.1029/2002JD002670
Timlin MS, Alexander MA, Deser C (2002) On the reemergence of North Atlantic SST anomalies. J Clim 15:2707–2712
Timmermann A, An S-I, Krebs U, Goosse H (2005) ENSO suppression due to weakening of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. J Clim 18:3122–3139
van Loon H, Madden RA (1983) Interannual variations of mean monthly sea-level pressure in January. J Appl Meteorol 22:687–692
von Storch H, Zwiers FW (1999) Statistical analysis in climate research. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
Wen N, Liu ZY, Liu QY (2010) Observed atmospheric responses to global SST variability modes: a unified assessment using GEFA. J Clim 23:1739–1759
White WB, Cayan DR (1998) Quasi-periodicity and global symmetries in interdecadal upper ocean temperature variability. J Geophys Res 103(C10):21335–21354
Wu L, Liu ZY, Gallimore R, Jacob R, Lee D, Zhong YF (2003) Pacific decadal variability: the Tropical Pacific mode and the North Pacific mode. J Clim 16:1101–1120
Wu L, He F, Liu ZY (2005) Coupled ocean–atmosphere response to north tropical Atlantic SST: Tropical Atlantic dipole and ENSO. Geophys Res Lett 32:L21712. doi:10.1029/2005GL024222
Wu L, He F, Liu ZY, Li C (2007) Atmospheric teleconnections of tropical Atlantic variability: interhemispheric, tropical–extratropical, and cross-basin interactions. J Clim 20:856–870
Xie S-P, Tanimoto Y (1998) A pan-Atlantic decadal climate oscillation. Geophys Res Lett 25:2185–2188
Xie S-P, Okumura Y, Miyama T, Timmermann A (2008) Influences of Atlantic climate change on the Tropical Pacific via the Central American Isthmus. J. Clim 21:3914–3928
Zhang R, Delworth TL (2007) Impact of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation on North Pacific climate variability. Geophys Res Lett 34:L23708. doi:10.1029/2007GL031601
Zhang Y, Wallace JM, Battisti DS (1997) ENSO-like interdecadal variability: 1900–93. J Clim 10:1004–1020
Zhang R, Delworth TL, Held IM (2007):Can the Atlantic Ocean drive the observed multidecadal variability in Northern Hemisphere mean temperature? Geophys Res Lett 34:L02709. doi:10.1029/2006GL028683
Acknowledgements
This work was funded by the DOE and the Chinese MOST no. GYHY200906016, NSF of China 40830106, and Peking University. We thank two anonymous reviewers for their constructive and helpful comments. Discussions with Dr. Feng He are appreciated. Kaplan SST V2 data are provided by NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, USA, from their website at http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/.HADISST data were downloaded from UK Meteorological Office, Hadley Centre. The article was supported by CCR publication no. 998.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Wu, S., Liu, Z., Zhang, R. et al. On the observed relationship between the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation. J Oceanogr 67, 27–35 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10872-011-0003-x
Received:
Revised:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10872-011-0003-x