Abstract
The present study demonstrates that (1) the simulation of the South American warm season (December–February) climate by an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) is sensitive to the representation of land surface processes, (2) the sensitivity is not confined to the “hot spot” in Amazonia, and (3) upgrading the representation of those processes can produce a significant improvement in AGCM performance. The reasons for sensitivity and higher success are investigated based on comparisons between observational datasets and simulations by the AGCM coupled to either a simple land scheme that specifies soil moisture availability or to the Simplified Simple Biosphere Model (SSiB) that allows for consideration of soil and vegetation biophysical process. The context for the study is the UCLA AGCM. The most notable simulation improvements are along the lee of the Andes in the lower troposphere, where poleward flow transports abundant moisture from the Amazon basin to high latitudes, and in the monsoon region where the intensity and pattern of precipitation and upper level ice water content are more realistic. It is argued that a better depiction of the Chaco Low, which is controlled by local effects of land surface processes, decisively contributes to the superior model performance with low-level flows in central South America. The better representation of the atmospheric column static stability and large-scale moisture convergence in tropical South America contribute to more realistic precipitation over the monsoon region. The overall simulation improvement is, therefore, due to a combination of different regional processes. This finding is supported by idealized AGCM experiments.
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1 Introduction
Precipitation changes over South America projected in different climate change scenarios by climate models participating in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report (IPCC AR4, IPCC 2007) show large spread both in sign and magnitude (Fig. 3.3 of the report). The different ways in which climate models represent land surface processes and associated sensitivity to changes in land surface conditions is one of the principal contributions to this spread (e.g. Marengo et al. 2003; Koster et al. 2004; Dirmeyer et al. 2006, 2009). Zeng and Neelin (1999) working in a simple theoretical framework suggested that sensitivity of precipitation over land to underlying surface conditions depends on different nonlinear processes, such as cloud radiative and evaporation feedbacks. The importance of these processes, in turn, strongly depends on the background state, i.e., the model’s climatology. Therefore, a realistic model climatology is crucial prerequisite for reliable climate projections. The present study demonstrates that different representations of land surface processes in an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) can result in significantly different simulations of South American warm season climate. In our case, the most comprehensive parameterization of land surface processes we use obtains the most successful of the two simulations.
The South American Monsoon System (SAMS) is a key feature of the warm season (December–February) climate over South America. SAMS starts developing during the southern spring when intense convection shifts rapidly from northwestern South America to the southern Amazon Basin and Brazilian Highlands (Nogués–Paegle et al. 2002; Mechoso et al. 2004; Vera et al. 2006a, b). The upper-level Bolivian high—Nordeste trough system becomes firmly established during mid-summer. The low-level circulation transports moisture westward from the tropical Atlantic to the Amazon basin, and then southeastward toward the extra-tropics into the Chaco Low region. Near the eastern slopes of the Andes Mountains, the monsoon circulation includes the South American low-level jet (SALLJ) (Byerle and Paegle 2002; Campetella and Vera 2002). Another outstanding component of SAMS is the South American Convergence Zone (SACZ, Kodama 1992), which extends southeastward from Amazonia over the Atlantic Ocean. SAMS starts decaying in February, and continues to weaken throughout the southern fall as convection gradually retreats toward the equator. Additional details on SAMS climatology are provided in Nogués–Paegle et al. (2002), Mechoso et al. (2004), Vera et al. (2006a, b), and references therein.
Several modeling studies on SAMS have been made with AGCMs. On the basis of idealized AGCM experiments, Lenters and Cook (1995) find that the summer precipitation maxima in the Amazon, SACZ, and northwestern South America can be obtained with zonally uniform SSTs and without topographic elevations; realistic topography improves the position and strength of precipitation of those features. Zhou and Lau (2002) compare the SAMS climatology simulated by six AGCMs. The models capture major features of SAMS, such as SACZ and low-level circulations. The magnitude of the Atlantic subtropical high and Chaco Low, however, tends to be overestimated. The too intense Chaco Low is associated with a too strong southerly flow along the Andes. Large rainfall errors around the Andes and SACZ extension over the western Atlantic are indicative of the AGCMs difficulties with the representation of steep mountains and convective processes. Meehl et al. (2006) show that some AGCMs tend to underestimate precipitation in northern coastal Brazil and French Guiana, and attribute such a feature to insufficient model resolution. Vera et al. (2006a, b) find in seven World Climate Research Programme’s phase three of coupled model intercomparison project (WCRP-CMIP3) models increased precipitation over the northern Andes and southeastern South America and decreased precipitation along the southern Andes in the period of 2070–2099 relative to 1970–1999. In central Amazonia, there is no consensus in sign changes of precipitation projections. Lin et al. (2009) evaluate the intraseasonal variability of summer precipitation over South America in 14 WCRP-CMIP3 coupled GCMs: most of these models underestimate seasonal mean precipitation over SAMS region and all models underestimate the total intraseasonal variability. Bombardi and Carvalho (2009) also examine the SAMS variability as well as the onset, end, and total rainfall during southern summer in WCRP-CMIP3 coupled models. According to their results, most models misrepresent the ITCZ and therefore do not capture the actual annual cycle of precipitation over the Amazon and northwest South America for the period of 1981–2000. They also find that the most coherent feature observed in the models for the A1B scenario is a reduction in precipitation over central-eastern Brazil during the southern summer for the period of 2081–2100. The models, however, do not produce statistically significant changes in SAMS onset and demise dates.
To illustrate the performance of contemporary AGCMs on SAMS simulations we present in Fig. 1 the mean warm season (December–February mean) precipitation over South America for the period 1979–2000 as obtained from the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) experiment from the WCRP-CMIP3 multi-model datasets (see Table 1 for a list of models). Figure 1 also displays precipitation distributions from the Daily Precipitation Grid for South America (SA19, Liebmann and Allured 2005), Climate Prediction Center merged analysis of precipitation (CMAP, Xie and Arkin 1997), and Tropical Rain Measuring Mission (TRMM, Kummerow et al. 2000). The mean precipitation pattern from observational datasets shows a center of intense precipitation in central Amazonia with a highest value of around 11 mm day−1. TRMM and CMAP depict the SACZ with values between 6 to 8 mm day−1. All the WCRP-CMIP3 AGCMs reproduce the main features of SAMS to some extent. There are, however, significant errors and inter-model differences. Most simulations underestimate precipitation in central Amazonia, except for HADGEM1, NCAR-PCM1, high resolution MICRO32, and CNRM-CM3. Moreover, these uncoupled models either underestimate or even fail to reproduce the SACZ as reported in previous analysis of WCRP-CMIP3 coupled models (e.g. Vera et al. 2006a, b, 20C3M).
It is well known that land surface processes affect the atmosphere through exchanges of energy and water in the planetary boundary layer (PBL), which ultimately affect the large-scale flow, precipitation and cloudiness. Many studies with numerical models have documented a positive feedback between soil moisture and precipitation (e.g. Mintz 1984; Beljaars et al. 1996; Pal and Eltahir 2001; Collini et al. 2008). Accordingly, precipitation leads to enhanced soil moisture and further increases in rainfall. For example, Collini et al. (2008) investigate the sensitivity of SAMS to initial conditions in soil moisture by performing one-month long runs with a regional mesoscale model. They find that precipitation is more sensitive to initial reductions of soil moisture than to increases, and discuss mechanisms of positive feedback. In one mechanism, the soil moisture reduction leads to smaller latent heat flux and larger sensible heat flux. These two effects lead to a drier and warmer boundary layer, which in turn reduces the atmospheric instability. Further, the deeper (and drier) boundary layer is related to a stronger and higher South American low-level jet (SALLJ), which transports less moisture since the atmosphere is drier. The combination of reduced convective instability and reduced moisture flux convergence act concurrently to diminish the precipitation in the SAMS core. For this region, Grimm et al. (2007) argue that peak precipitation is negatively correlated with soil moisture in the antecedent spring season. Vegetation biophysical processes can also affect the energy and water fluxes over land surfaces. From results of AGCM experiments, Xue et al. (2006) propose that including both explicit vegetation and soil processes results in more successful simulations of SAMS than when only the latter process are taken into account. According to their results, consideration of vegetation process produces more realistic values of the surface Bowen ratio (i.e., the ratio of sensible to latent heat flux), which affects the large-scale circulation and precipitation.
The present study shows that an improved simulation of SAMS climatological precipitation and circulations can be obtained by upgrading land surface processes in the UCLA AGCM without any other model change. The reasons for improvement are investigated. Our approach uses both observational and reanalysis datasets, and simulations by the AGCM. The remainder of the text is organized into five sections. Section 2 provides a brief introduction to the observational and reanalysis datasets, and models used in this study. Section 3 discusses the impact of land surface processes on the simulated warm season climate of South America, and Sect. 4 examines the mechanisms for regional impact. Section 5 presents a summary and our conclusions.
2 Datasets and models
2.1 Reanalysis and observational datasets
We use global datasets from European center for medium-range weather forecasts (ECMWF) ERA40 (Uppala et al. 2005). The ERA40 covers the period from mid-1957 to 2001 and its high vertical coverage up to 1 mb allows for plotting vertical cross section of large-scale heat and moisture budget residuals (Yanai et al. 1973) suitable for AGCM verification. Although the widely usage and well recognition of this dataset, caution should be exercised since some problems of this dataset regarding the region of interest, such as cold bias of temperature, and low bias in precipitation over the Amazon were reported in previous study (Betts et al. 2005; Fernandes et al. 2008).
We also use several observational datasets including SA19, CMAP, TRMM and CloudSat (Stephens et al. 2008; and Woods et al. 2008). The CMAP data consists of monthly analyses of global precipitation, in which observations from raingauges are merged with precipitation estimates from several satellite-based algorithms (infrared and microwave). The coverage period for CMAP in this study is from 1979 to 2006. SA19 is based on information provided by approximately 7,900 South American meteorological stations during the period 1940 to mid-2006, and is synthesized into daily fields. The TRMM and CloudSat are both NASA’s satellite missions for rainfall and clouds observation. The retrieval algorithm for TRMM is 3B42 with 3-hourly temporal resolution, and covers from November 1997 to the present date. Followed Waliser et al.(2009), CloudSat RO4 (Stephens et al. 2008) ice water content (IWC) filtered out retrievals that were associated with convective cloud types (using CloudSat cloud classification) or that were flagged as exhibiting surface precipitation are used for model-data comparison (details referred to Woods et al. 2008; Waliser et al. 2009). The product for CloudSat covers from June 2006 to the present date.
2.2 Atmospheric model: UCLA AGCM
The University of California Los Angeles (UCLA) AGCM includes advanced parameterizations of the major physical processes in the atmosphere. The parameterization of cumulus convection, including its interaction with the planetary boundary layer (PBL), follows the prognostic version of Arakawa and Schubert (1974) presented by Pan and Randall (1998). The parameterization of radiative processes is based on Harshvardhan et al. (1987, 1989), and the parameterization of PBL processes is based on the mixed-layer approach of Suarez et al. (1983), as revised by Li et al. (2002). Surface heat fluxes are calculated following the bulk formula proposed by Deardorff (1972) and modified by Suarez et al. (1983). The model also includes the parameterizations of prognostic cloud liquid water and ice (Köhler 1999), and the impact of cumulus cloud fraction on radiative calculations. A more detailed AGCM description is given in Arakawa (2000) and Mechoso et al. (2000), or online at http://www.atmos.ucla.edu/~mechoso/esm/agcm.html.
In the present study, we use model version 7.1 with a horizontal resolution of 2.5° latitude and 2° longitude, and 29 vertical levels. The distributions of green house gases, sea ice, SST, surface albedo, surface roughness, and ground wetness are all prescribed corresponding to a monthly varying climatology.
2.3 Land surface models
The AGCM incorporates a simple land surface scheme for prediction of ground temperature over land. The algorithm is based on energy balance of net surface shortwave radiation, net surface longwave radiation, sensible heat, and latent heat fluxes. The distribution of potential evaporation for the calculation of surface evaporation is prescribed based on observational data and adjustments according to model results (“tuning”).
As an alternative for the simple land component, the AGCM incorporates the first generation of the Simplified Simple Biosphere Model (SSiB; Xue et al. 1991). This version of SSiB has three soil layers and one vegetation layer. Soil moisture of the three soil layers, interception water store for the canopy, deep soil temperature, ground temperature, and canopy temperature are predicted based on the water and energy balance at canopy and soil. Three aerodynamic resistances are introduced to control the heat and water fluxes between the canopy layer air space and (1) canopy leaves, (2) soil surface, and (3) the reference PBL height. The values of these resistances are determined in terms of vegetation properties, ground conditions and bulk Richardson number based on the Monin–Obukhov similarity theory (Paulson 1970; Businger et al. 1971; Deardorff 1972; Sellers et al. 1986; Xue et al. 1991; 1996a). The surface albedo has diurnal variations based on the change of net solar radiation in the canopy layer due to vegetation properties. Several data sources (Dorman and Sellers, 1989; Xue et al. 1996b) have been used to determine the vegetation types that specify monthly climatological land surface properties (e.g., leaf area index, green leaf fraction and surface roughness length).
SSiB provides the AGCM with momentum, sensible and latent heat fluxes, radiative skin temperature (ground temperature in the AGCM with the simple scheme), and surface albedo. The AGCM provides SSiB with terrain pressure, precipitation, incoming short wave and long wave radiative fluxes at surface, and solar zenith angle, as well as pressure, velocity, moisture, and temperature in the PBL. The land scheme is treated as another component of the AGCM, for which the time step is 1 h in the present study.
2.4 Experimental design and overview of AGCM performance
To assess our AGCM’s ability to represent the mean climate, we examine results of two 30-year long simulations using monthly-varying SST from the climatology compiled by Reynolds and Smith (1995). One is a control simulation using the simple land scheme (AGCM/SLS hereafter); the other simulation is made with the AGCM coupled to the SSiB land surface model (AGCM/LSM hereafter). The initial conditions were taken from a previous, multi-year model run starting from 1 October 1982 (see Köhler 1999).
We start by comparing the December–February mean sea level pressure (SLP) from the ERA40 Reanalysis (Fig. 2a) and the simulations (Fig. 2b, c). The overall features of the field are well captured in the outputs. The unrealistically low values in the Himalayan and Andes regions are artifacts of the numerical extrapolation in the presence of steep terrain (Köhler 1999). The two simulations produce qualitatively similar results, but there are clear regional differences. For example, in AGCM/LSM, the subtropical highs in the Southern Pacific, Southern Atlantic and Indian Oceans are slightly better captured than in AGCM/SLS.
Figure 3 shows annual mean precipitation from the CMAP dataset (Fig. 3a) and the simulations (Fig. 3b, c). Both simulations capture the outstanding features of the global precipitation distributions: ITCZ, South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ), SACZ, main monsoon, and extratropical storm tracks. The global mean values from the simulations (3.6 mm day−1 for AGCM/SLS and 3.4 mm day−1 for AGCM/LSM) are substantially larger than in CMAP (2.7 mm day−1); surface evaporation is also too high in the simulations (not shown here). A comparison between precipitation in AGCM/SLS and AGCM/LSM clearly shows that the latter obtains a more realistic pattern, in which the positive biases observed in the former are reduced over most land areas. Xue et al. (2010) report a similar result and indicate that including vegetation biophysical processes also results in more realistic values of the simulated Bowen ratio.
We next narrow down on South America and compare the simulated December–February mean precipitation with the corresponding distributions in SA19, TRMM, and CMAP (Fig. 1). We also contrast our results with those from the AMIP models. Both simulations capture most of the main features in the precipitation field, except for the too high values in central Amazonia. AGCM/LSM is more successful in reproducing the observed precipitation pattern than AGCM/SLS, and arguably than the most successful AMIP model. The strong overestimation of precipitation over the Amazon basin in AGCM/SLS is significantly reduced in AGCM/LSM. The location and intensity of SACZ is also better simulated in the latter run.
The results demonstrate state-of-the-art performance of both AGCM/SLS and AGCM/LSM, albeit intensity precipitation is on the high side even considering the uncertainty of observational estimates. We concentrate on the simulated South American climate in the remainder of this paper.
3 Impact of land surface processes on the South American climate
3.1 Impact on heat and moisture fluxes
Figure 4 shows the December–February mean differences between AGCM/LSM and AGCM/SLS in surface sensible heat flux (Fig. 4a), surface evaporation (Fig. 4b), precipitation (Fig. 4c), vertically integrated moisture flux convergence (Fig. 4d), total cloud cover (Fig. 4e), surface albedo (Fig. 4f), and net longwave and shortwave fluxes at surface (Fig. 4g, h). Regions where differences are statistically significant at the 95% confidence level are shaded. AGCM/LSM obtains significantly higher sensible heat flux and lower surface evaporation (or latent heat flux with the conversion of latent heat of vaporization) than AGCM/SLS, mostly in southern South America. There are three local maxima of sensible heat flux located around 70°W, 60°W and 45°W. A study with the NCEP GCM has suggested that the sensible heat fluxes over the savanna and shrub lands over that area have important impact on the SAMS moisture flow (Xue et al., 2006). A similar feature is found in the present study, as shown later in Sect. 3.3. The precipitation is significantly weaker over most tropical and sub-tropical South America, which suggests weaker convection in those regions. The SACZ region, however, shows stronger precipitation. The pattern of precipitation differences is consistent with that of vertically integrated moisture flux convergence and total cloud cover. In general, the surface albedo is slightly larger all over the continent, consistent with the findings of Xue et al. (2010). The net surface longwave radiation is higher due to increased ground temperature (not shown here). The net surface shortwave radiation is affected by both the surface albedo and cloud cover. Lower cloud cover is consistent with increased incoming short wave radiation, but higher surface albedo reflects more shortwave radiation to the atmosphere. In this case, the cloud cover effect is larger since the regions with positive differences are mostly positively correlated with regions with lesser cloud cover. The overall AGCM response to the upgraded representation of land surface processes agrees with the conceptual analysis by Zeng and Neelin (1999) for the tropical deforestation problem.
In the following sub sections, we focus on the impact land surface processes on the simulated precipitation and low level circulations.
3.2 Impact on precipitation in central Amazonia
To gain quantitative insight on the relationship between weaker precipitation in AGCM/LSM and accompanying changes in surface energy and water fluxes, we examine the large-scale heat and moisture budget residuals represented by the apparent heat source Q 1 and apparent moisture sink Q 2 (Yanai et al. 1973; Hung 2003). These residuals are defined by the following expressions:
where θ is the potential temperature, q is mixing ratio, \( {\bar{\mathbf{v}}} \) is horizontal velocity, ω is vertical velocity in the pressure coordinate, L is latent heat of vaporization, \( \kappa = Rc_{p}^{ - 1} \) with R being the gas constant and c p the specific heat capacity of dry air at constant pressure, and \( p_{0} = 1 , 0 0 0{\kern 1pt} {\,\text{mb}} \). Overbars represent the running horizontal average over a large-scale area. The expressions for Q 1 and Q 2 can also be rewritten as
where Q R is the radiative heating rate, c and e are condensation and evaporation per unit mass of air, respectively, and s is dry static energy. The primes represent the deviation from the average indicated by the overbars. The terms on the right hand side of Eq (3) represent, therefore, the total effect of radiative heating, latent heat released by net condensation, and horizontal and vertical convergence of sensible heat fluxes due to sub-grid scale eddies, such as cumulus convection and turbulence. The terms on the right hand side of Eq (4) represent the total effect of net condensation, and divergence of eddy moisture flux due to sub-grid scale eddies.
Figure 5 shows latitude-height sections of December–February mean Q 1 (top three panels) and Q 2 (bottom three panels) zonally averaged between 70°W and 50°W (contours), as well as their standard deviation (shaded) for the ERA40 Reanalysis and the simulations. The units have been converted into (K day−1) by multiplying c −1 p . In central Amazonia, the Q1 profile from ERA40 shows a strong heating center around 500 mb, with largest values between 5°S and 15°S. Q1 from AGCM/SLS and AGCM/LSM have similar vertical structure, except that the maximum center is shifted by 2–4°. The Q 2 profile from ERA40 in central Amazonia has a similar structure to that of Q 1. The corresponding Q 2 profiles from AGCM/SLS and AGCM/LSM are also similar, except that maximum values are around the 700 mb level, which is below the level of maximum Q 1. This profile structure of Q 1 and Q 2 indicates a dominant contribution of heating by condensation processes due to convective activity (e.g., Luo and Yanai 1984; Yanai and Tomita 1998). The magnitude of the heating represented by Q 1 in central Amazonia from AGCM/LSM is significantly weaker than that from AGCM/SLS, and thus is closer to the ERA40 values. The heating due to saturation condensation from the Q 2 profile is also weaker in the lower troposphere, which also suggests a dryer lower troposphere and less condensation. The weaker convection in AGCM/LSM is consistent with the reduced precipitation in central Amazonia shown in Fig. 4a. It is worth knowing that stronger interannual variability in convection is evident in AGCM/LSM since the standard deviation of Q 1 and Q 2 from AGCM/LSM are generally larger than that from AGCM/SLS.
Another evidence of convection intensity is given by the amount and distribution of upper tropospheric IWC. Ice clouds formation at the upper tropical troposphere by AGCMs is highly correlated with the moisture flux detrainment of cumulus convection. Regions with strong deep convection generally show high amount of IWC. The IWC from AGCM/SLS in central Amazonia is much larger than that in the observational estimates from the CloudSat (Fig. 6), which suggests that simulated convection is too strong locally. The values from AGCM/LSM compare better, which is consistent with more realistic convection strength. The center of maximum values, however, is slightly displaced to the west. These features are in agreement with those from the Q 1 and Q 2 analyses.
According to this analysis, upgrading the representation of land surface processes affects both near surface meteorological fields and the static stability of the entire atmospheric column over South America. Over central Amazonia, in particular, the more stable and drier atmosphere in AGCM/LSM results in weaker convection and precipitation. The causal link becomes established because the cumulus parameterization in the AGCM is based on the quasi-equilibrium assumption, according to which convection intensity is determined by the convective available potential energy (CAPE) that depends on the static stability of the atmospheric column.
3.3 Impact on the low-level circulation
Figure 7 shows the December–February mean 850 mb velocity and wind speed from the ERA40 reanalysis (Fig. 7a) and the simulations (Fig. 7b, c). Overall, both simulations successfully capture the outstanding patterns in the reanalysis. Large-scale features, such as the intensity and distribution of equatorial trade winds and subtropical Atlantic high, are well represented in the model fields. The simulated northeasterly winds into the core region of SAMS around 10°S are slightly strong, however. Of high relevance to this study, a clear intensification of low level winds is found along the lee of Andes from 10°S to 20°S. As expected, the strong and mesoscale core of the SALLJ is missed due to insufficient model resolution. Nevertheless, the AGCM/LSM performance is clearly superior to AGCM/SLS in the SALLJ region.
We next look into the moisture transport in SALLJ region, which is crucial to the position and intensity of the SACZ (Marengo et al. 2004 and references there in), and to convection in the northwestern sector of La Plata Basin. Figure 8 shows a December–February mean vertical cross-section of meridional moisture flux at 20°S. At lower levels, the ERA40 Reanalysis shows two local enhancements of the northerlies; one is along the lee of the Andes and the other one is along the lee of the Brazilian Highlands. AGCM/SLS shows only one maximum west of the Brazilian Highlands, and unrealistic southerlies along the lee of the Andes. AGCM/LSM shows a much more realistic meridional moisture transport except for a slightly weaker magnitude, consistently with the better simulation of low level winds in this region. The better SACZ intensity and position is consistent with the improvement of moisture transport in SALLJ region.
In order to investigate the reason for better representation of winds in SALLJ regions in the AGCM/LSM, we plot in Fig. 7d the difference of December–February mean SLP between AGCM/LSM and AGCM/SLS. The difference field shows a local minimum on the lee of the Andes around 30°S. This region corresponds to the position of the Chaco Low, which is a thermal feature that develops over the central part of the continent during the southern summer. The Chaco Low is stronger in AGCM/LSM, which generates an anomalous cyclonic circulation at low levels. Consistently, the low-level flows at 850 mb, especially the northwesterlies on the lee of the Andes, are strengthened and become closer to those in the ERA40 Reanalysis.
During the mature stage of SAMS, the Chaco Low develops mostly with the contribution of surface turbulent sensible heat flux (Zhou and Lau 1998). Figure 9 displays December–February mean surface sensible and Bowen ratio (contours) from the ERA40 Reanalysis and the simulations, as well as their standard deviation. Over South America, the reanalysis (Fig. 9a) shows a center of maximum sensible heat flux between 30°S and 40°S with 100 W m−2 in magnitude. AGCM/SLS (Fig. 9b) obtains a weaker value east of the Andes around 30°S; the reduction is at least 20 W m−2. AGCM/LSM (Fig. 9c) performs significantly better and the corresponding values of Bowen ratio reveal a more realistic partition of sensible and latent heat fluxes than in AGCM/SLS. Therefore, upgrading the representation of land surface processes improves the simulated Chaco Low and low-level winds, sensible heat flux and Bowen ratio.
The standard deviation of sensible heat flux in Fig. 9, as in Fig. 5, also shows larger values and stronger interannual variability from AGCM/LSM than those from AGCM/SLS. The values either in AGCM/LSM or AGCM/SLS, however, are much smaller than that from ERA40, especially in the northern part of the South America. The larger signal of standard deviation in ERA40 can be explained as the influences of the interannual or decadal variability from both the atmosphere and ocean sides, while both AGCM experiments are performed with monthly-varying SST from the climatology.
4 On the mechanism of regional impact of land surface processes
The simulations described in Sect. 3 demonstrate that an upgrade in the representation of land surface processes in the AGCM results in an improved simulation of the warm season climate over South America. The analysis identifies two contributors to this success. First, improved surface heat fluxes in central Amazonia results in increased vertical stability of the atmospheric column, which reduces local precipitation to more realistic values. Second, a similar improvement in central South America results in a better intensity of Chaco Low and associated low-level wind system including the SALLJ region. In this section we examine whether these two contributors act either independently or interact with each other.
Our approach is based on performing two idealized experiments. First, the AGCM is coupled to SSiB globally except in South America poleward of 20°S, where the simple land surface scheme is used. In this experiment, which we will refer to as AGCM/SOUTH20S, surface fluxes are degraded in locations that include that of the Chaco Low. In the second idealized experiment, the AGCM coupling to SSiB is performed everywhere, except over South America equatorward of 20°S. In this experiment, which we refer to as AGCM/NORTH20S, surface fluxes are degraded in central Amazonia. Both experiments are five-years long and use prescribed, time-varying, monthly mean SSTs from an observed climatology (Reynolds and Smith 1995). The descriptions in this section are made taking the AGCM/LSM fields as reference.
The results from the first idealized experiment are fairly straightforward to interpret. Figure 10 presents differences between AGCM/LSM and AGCM/SOUTH20S (SSiB everywhere except over South America poleward of 20°S). The magnitudes are small outside the region where the treatment of land surface processes is degraded. It is apparent that the enhanced Chaco Low (Fig. 10d) is associated with local enhancements of surface heat flux (Fig. 10a), which are due to the different effects of local land surface processes. The northwesterlies in the SALLJ region are improved, but winds further north in central Amazonia (Fig. 10e) are hardly modified. The distribution of 850 mb velocity on the lee of the Andes from AGCM/SOUTH20S shows weaker northwesterlies, and unrealistic southerlies are even present around 20°S–30°S. The results of this idealized experiment, therefore, suggest that the improvement in the intensity of Chaco Low and associated low-level flows are controlled by local effects of land surface processes.
Interpreting the results from the second idealized experiments require more elaboration. Figure 11 shows the differences between AGCM/LSM (SSiB everywhere) and AGCM/NORTH20S (no SSiB in South America equatorward of 20°S) in surface sensible and latent heat fluxes (Fig. 11a, b, respectively), precipitation (Fig 11c), and velocity at the 850 mb level (Fig. 11d). The magnitudes in the panels of Fig. 11 are larger north of 20°S. In this region, sensible heat flux decreases and evaporation slightly increases in AGCM/NORTH20S. The precipitation increases in central Amazonia, as the static stability of the atmosphere decreases. The situation is different in the SACZ region, where precipitation increases slightly. The magnitudes of the differences in sensible and latent heat fluxes and in moisture flux convergence south of 20°S are generally small. The small differences in 850 mb winds south of 20°S indicate that land surface processes equatorward of that latitude have little impact on the low-level flows in central South America. The differences of precipitation in central Amazonia in the panels of Fig. 11c are about one-half those between AGCM/LSM and AGCM/SLS (Fig. 4). It appears, therefore, that the differences over tropical South America between AGCM/LSM and AGCM/LSL cannot be interpreted solely in terms of local changes of static stability in the atmospheric column.
Recycled precipitation in the Amazon is important and the amount can account for 25% of observed precipitation (Eltahir and Bras 1994). Nevertheless, the source of moisture for convection in tropical South America is mainly provided by the trade winds, which bring moist air from tropical Atlantic Ocean. Part of the moisture in the Amazon basin is then transported southeastward toward the SACZ region and La Plata Basin. We plot in Fig. 12 the December–February mean of vertically integrated moisture flux from AGCM/SLS and AGCM/NORTH20S, as well as their differences. Both AGCM/SLS (Fig. 12a) and AGCM/NORTH20S (Fig. 12b) capture the overall pattern. There are, however, differences between the two simulations (Fig. 12c). Figure 12c shows that moisture convergence in the core of SAMS is stronger in AGCM/SLS than in AGCM/NORTH20S. The stronger precipitation and moisture flux convergence in AGCM/SLS could be explained by the stronger positive feedback between the two processes. There is also a hint of less moisture transport around 20°S–30°S in the SALLJ regions in AGCM/SLS since the AGCM/NORTH20S has better low-levels flows on the lee of the Andes around 20°S–30°S due to the local effect of land surface processes, evidenced in AGCM/SOUTH20S. Therefore, the precipitation difference between AGCM/SLS and AGCM/LSM in tropical South America must be attributed to both changes in static stability of the atmospheric column due to local changes in land surface processes, and to changes in large-scale moisture convergence due to changes in the large-scale flow (trades) and the regional flow in the Chaco Low region.
This analysis suggests that the improved simulation of the warm season climate over South America requires a better representation of surface processes over the entire continent. Although a higher success is desirable in the monsoon region in view of the teleconnections with other climate features such as the subtropical highs (e.g., Rodwell and Hoskins 2001), the full potential improvement requires consideration of the subtropics.
5 Summary and conclusions
The distributions of continental masses, orography and SSTs combine to define the characteristics of the SAMS, which is a key feature of South America in the warm season climate. The summertime upper-level anticyclone/low-level heat low that characterizes a monsoon circulation is in spatial quadrature in longitude with ascent on the eastern side and subsidence on the western side (Chen 2003). This configuration of phase allows for a largely Sverdrup-type balance between the vorticity source associated with diabatically forced continental-scale vertical motion, and advection of planetary vorticity. The low-level poleward motion associated with the Sverdrup balance feeds warm moist air into the convective regions in a positive feedback. The SAMS comprises convection over Amazonia and the SACZ; along the eastern scarp of the Andes, where the SALLJ develops with strongest winds over Bolivia. The SALLJ transports considerable moisture between the Amazon and La Plata basins and is present throughout the year (e.g., Berbery and Barros 2002; Byerle and Paegle 2002; Campetella and Vera 2002). It has been suggested that AGCM difficulties with this mesoscale feature are a major impediment to the successful simulation of the SAMS. According to this suggestion, very high model resolutions would be required to overcome such impediment. The present paper does not challenge the notion that the mesoscale features of the SALLJ and associated development of mesoscale convective systems—the strongest in the world. However, we demonstrate that upgrading land surface processes in an AGCM to include representation of both soil and vegetation processes produces a major improvement in the simulated climatology of surface fluxes, low-level circulations, and precipitation that define SAMS. We also examine how these improvements are achieved.
Our conclusion is based on comparison between two 30-year long experiments of the UCLA AGCM using either a very simple land scheme (AGCM/SLS) or coupled to a much more comprehensive representation of land surface processes provided by SSiB (AGCM/LSM). The comparison concentrates on the South American continent during the warm season. In this section of the paper and for easiness of presentation we will refer to AGCM/SLS as the “uncoupled case” and to AGCM/LSM as the “coupled case”.
In the coupled case, the surface sensible heat flux generally increases and the surface latent heat flux (or evaporation) generally decreases over South America in reference to the uncoupled case. This represents an improvement since simulated fields in the coupled case are closer to the ERA40 Reanalysis. The Bowen ratio, which is the ratio of sensible heat flux to latent heat flux, is also improved.
In addition, the low-level wind distribution is improved in the coupled case, especially along the lee side of the Andes in the SALLJ region. The SACZ is also improved, consistently with the better transport of moisture flux in the SALLJ region. Based on the experiments with the globally coupled AGCM, and the same coupled AGCM except for the region of South America poleward of 20°S—where it is uncoupled—the results suggest that the improvement of the large scale flows are consistent with the better intensity of the Chaco Low, which is associated with better simulated surface sensible heat flux in the southern South America.
The coupled case produces more realistic precipitation amounts in central Amazonia than the uncoupled case, in which values are higher. The reduction is due to decreased convection as indicated by the analyses of large-scale heat and moisture budget residuals represented by apparent heat source Q 1 and moisture sink Q 2, as well as by the cloud IWC in the upper troposphere. The heating profile from AGCM uncoupled shows stronger heating at mid-tropospheric levels in central Amazonia, while that from AGCM coupled is closer to estimates from ERA40. The experiments with the globally coupled AGCM, and the same coupled AGCM except for the region of South America equatorward of 20°S where it is uncoupled, indicate that the mechanisms for improvement of precipitation are complex and not necessarily local. Almost one-half of the precipitation difference between AGCM/SLS and AGCM/LSM in tropical South America are attributed to the changes in the atmospheric column static stability due to the changes of local land surface processes. The other half of the difference is attributed to changes in the large-scale moisture convergence. The reasons for this are due to less intense positive feedback between precipitation, and moisture convergence, as well as more moisture source been transported out of the core of monsoon regions.
With the advanced land surface model incorporated in the AGCM, both the surface heat flux (Fig. 9) and the convection (Fig. 5) show larger interannual variability in the coupled case. This suggests the land surface processes can not only affect the mean climatology of the atmosphere but also the intensity of interannual or even longer time scale variability.
It is difficult to draw an analogy between our findings and those of Collini et al. (2008). First, our experiments are performed in a climate mode while those of Collini et al. (2008) examine an initial value problem. Second, although SSiB recognizes soil moisture explicitly, the simple land surface scheme only does it indirectly through the prescribed potential evapotranspiration. Third, our changes are variable in space, while theirs are spatially uniform. Nevertheless we could attempt a parallel on the basis of the sensible heat fluxes. Collini et al. (2008) obtain increased surface sensible heat fluxes and decreased latent fluxes as a result of negative initial perturbations in soil moisture; we obtain differences of the same sign between the coupled and uncoupled cases. In both cases, the warmer and drier atmosphere is interpreted as reducing the atmospheric instability. Therefore, our findings suggest a caveat in the interpretation of regions with strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation (Koster et al. 2004) as indicators of where land surface processes have strong impacts on the circulation. Koster et al. (2004) identify central Amazonia as a “hot spot” in reference to the regions where soil moisture anomalies have substantial impact on precipitation during the northern summer. Our results confirm the “hot spot” labeling of that region for the southern summer, and suggest that a region with different characteristics (Chaco Low) can also provide important contribution to the circulation. Contemporaneous AGCMs use parameterization of land surface processes that are closer to SSiB than to the simple land surface models. The results of idealized experiments such as those presented here would help to evaluate model performance.
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Acknowledgments
We thank Dr Thomas Toniazzo for useful comments on this paper and suggesting the experiments presented in Sect. 4. We also thank the Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI) and the WCRP’s Working Group on Coupled Modeling (WGCM) for making available the WCRP CMIP3 multi-model dataset. Computing resources were provided from the NCAR computational and information systems laboratory. This research was supported by NOAA under grant NA07OAR4310236.
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Open Access This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Noncommercial License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.0), which permits any noncommercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and source are credited.
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Ma, HY., Mechoso, C.R., Xue, Y. et al. Impact of land surface processes on the South American warm season climate. Clim Dyn 37, 187–203 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0813-3
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-010-0813-3