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Role of surface warming in the northward shift of tropical cyclone tracks over the South China Sea in November

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Abstract

Tropical cyclones (TCs) formed in the Northwest Pacific Ocean (NWP) can cross the South China Sea (SCS) sometimes. It is found that the TC tracks in the SCS in November are shifted to the north after 1980 compared with those before 1980. Both data analyses and numerical simulations show that the surface warming in the SCS may contribute to this more northward shift. The warming produces a cyclonic atmosphere circulation anomaly in the northwestern SCS and an associated southerly in the central SCS steering the TCs to the north.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. The First Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao, 266061, China

    Jia Sun & Dahai Liu

  2. Laboratory for Regional Oceanography and Numerical Modeling, Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology, Qingdao, 266061, China

    Jia Sun & Dahai Liu

  3. Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China

    Guihua Wang

  4. Key Laboratory of Coastal Disaster and Defense of Ministry of Education, Hohai University, Nanjing, 210098, China

    Juncheng Zuo

  5. Guangdong Key Laboratory of Coastal Ocean Variability and Disater Prediction, Guangdong Ocean University, Zhanjiang, 524088, China

    Zheng Ling

Authors
  1. Jia Sun
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  2. Guihua Wang
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  3. Juncheng Zuo
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  4. Zheng Ling
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  5. Dahai Liu
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Guihua Wang.

Additional information

Foundation item: The National Basic Research Program (973 Program) of China under contract Nos 2013CB430301, 2013CB430302, 2012CB955601, and 2012CB955601; the National Science and Technology Major Project under contract No. 2016ZX05057015; the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract Nos 41276018 and 41376038; the Global Air-Sea Interaction Project of State Oceanic Administration under contract Nos GASI-03-01-01-09 and GASI-03-01-01-02; the National program on Global Change and Air-Sea interaction under contract Nos GASI-IPOVAI-01-05 and GASI-IPOVAI-04.

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Sun, J., Wang, G., Zuo, J. et al. Role of surface warming in the northward shift of tropical cyclone tracks over the South China Sea in November. Acta Oceanol. Sin. 36, 67–72 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s13131-017-1061-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s13131-017-1061-8

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