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Ethnic Polarization and Human Development: The Conditional Effects of Minority Language Recognition

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Abstract

The literature suggests ethnic diversity has a negative effect on development. Yet, we also know that government policies—e.g., recognizing multiple languages in minority-sizable areas—can attenuate these effects. In this paper, we ask: What are the socioeconomic implications of minority language recognition? We leverage a legal stipulation in Romania as a quasi-experiment: Minority languages are recognized as official in areas where the minority constitutes more than 20% of the population. We argue the recognition of minority languages builds social trust and facilitates efficiency in economic exchanges—mollifying the otherwise detrimental consequences of diversity. Using data at the municipality level, we find that in areas where only Romanian is recognized, ethnic diversity has a negative effect on development—a result consistent with the literature. This effect, however, is absent in areas where a minority language is recognized. The implications suggest that lowering the threshold for language recognition could promote even further development.

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Notes

  1. While the territoriality principle is about the de jure recognition of minority languages, there are de facto challenges when it comes to implementation. The first has to do with time. While recognition is enshrined per the Romanian Constitution (Article 120), formal implementation conditions and processes are enumerated in different laws. One of these laws includes the 2001 Law of Local Public Administration—which specifically notes the 20% threshold for recognition. Localities were required to implement these linguistic reforms shortly after the adoption of the law (November 27, 2001)— before the 2001 census results were made public. Thus, recognition decisions were made according to the 1992 census. And until recently (2019 Emergency Government Ordinance, Number 57), the laws did not specify any procedures for updating the list of the municipalities above the 20% threshold. The second challenge is finances. While the European Charter on Regional and Minority Languages stipulates that national governments should bear the costs of language recognition at local levels, this is far from reality in Romania (Horváth and Toró 2018: 208). First, per Governmental Decision (1206/2001, Article 17), it is the local budgets that support minority language use (Toró 2020). Second, since implementation costs can be formidable (e.g., the maintenance of bilingual personnel), minority language recognition can prove to be a sizeable financial investment for some Romanian municipalities (Horváth et al. 2021).

  2. All maps are presented with scales determined by Jenks natural breaks optimization—a method that seeks to minimize variance within classes but maximize it between them.

  3. For a comparison of basic types of diversity indices, see Németh et al. 2020. We associate fractionalization with competing rather than cooperating bottom-up initiatives.

  4. Fragmentation carries the notion of division created under external pressure—managed from above—compelled rather than voluntary.

  5. The true EPI values are likely to be lower (although not by much) than the calculated ones since there may be under-counting of the Roma population. For the census, identification is based on self-reporting. As such, Romas may choose not to identify as such to avoid stigma (Csata et al. 2021a).

  6. Note that in the Transylvanian case, ethnic self-classification and language use coincide to a very large extent (Veres 2011). In fact, language is a very strong—if not outright an inseparable—element of ethnic identity among Hungarians.

  7. https://data.gov.ro/dataset/registrul-national-ong (Accessed 16 July 2020).

  8. http://www.2016bec.ro/rezultate-finale-10-06-2016/index.html (Accessed 16 July 2020).

  9. A regression discontinuity design was not feasible due to a low number of observations around the cutoff point, raising concerns about sufficient power to detect effects.

  10. See https://atlo.team/hungarianmoney-en/

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Csata, Z., Hlatky, R. & Liu, A.H. Ethnic Polarization and Human Development: The Conditional Effects of Minority Language Recognition. St Comp Int Dev 58, 79–102 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s12116-022-09362-z

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