ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND
Although prior randomized trials have demonstrated that procalcitonin-guided antibiotic therapy effectively reduces antibiotic use in patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), uncertainties remain regarding use of procalcitonin protocols in practice.
OBJECTIVE
To estimate the cost-effectiveness of procalcitonin protocols in CAP.
DESIGN
Decision analysis using published observational and clinical trial data, with variation of all parameter values in sensitivity analyses.
PATIENTS
Hypothetical patient cohorts who were hospitalized for CAP.
INTERVENTIONS
Procalcitonin protocols vs. usual care.
MAIN MEASURES
Costs and cost per quality adjusted life year gained.
KEY RESULTS
When no differences in clinical outcomes were assumed, consistent with clinical trials and observational data, procalcitonin protocols cost $10–$54 more per patient than usual care in CAP patients. Under these assumptions, results were most sensitive to variations in: antibiotic cost, the likelihood that antibiotic therapy was initiated less frequently or over shorter durations, and the likelihood that physicians were nonadherent to procalcitonin protocols. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses, incorporating procalcitonin protocol-related changes in quality of life, found that protocol use was unlikely to be economically reasonable if physician protocol nonadherence was high, as observational study data suggest. However, procalcitonin protocols were favored if they decreased hospital length of stay.
CONCLUSIONS
Procalcitonin protocol use in hospitalized CAP patients, although promising, lacks physician nonadherence and resource use data in routine care settings, which are needed to evaluate its potential role in patient care.
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Acknowledgements
Funding
Supported by the NIAID (R01AI 076256)
Prior presentations
Presented in part at the 2012 Annual Meeting of the Society of General Internal Medicine.
Conflict of interest
Dr. Zimmerman and Dr. Nowalk have a research grant from Merck to study the HPV vaccine.
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Smith, K.J., Wateska, A., Nowalk, M.P. et al. Cost-Effectiveness of Procalcitonin-Guided Antibiotic Use in Community Acquired Pneumonia. J GEN INTERN MED 28, 1157–1164 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11606-013-2400-x
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11606-013-2400-x